2016 TSF NPC Tipping http://www.eglobal.co.nz/tsfnpc16/tsf.htm
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my reasoning for backing Northland was, well, I didn't...I think I have twice this season and maybe 1 time last year, got burnt enough to think if we win, sweet, if not, at least I'll get points in the more important TSF tipping comp!
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With just 2 rounds left, time for some deep analysis.
Strangely enough, the top 4 teams and semi-finalists are the same teams as last season - and they finished in the same positions. Wairarapa Bush were unbeaten last season and haven't lost yet this season, their draw with Wellington last week was the closest they have come to defeat. The last time they lost a game was the 2014 final, 30-29 to Wellington.
Onto the individual battle - let's review the top 10 (11) and their prospects.
Stargazer 330. New to tipping but 4th in Super tipping and won the TSF Cup and so must still be a chance in this comp. May be a little far back to win.
Dogmeat 330. Has been in every tipping comp with little success to date. Was flirting with the lead earlier in the season and immediately collapsed.
Hydro11 334. The reigning Super tipping champ who has struggled for consistency this time around.
Hurrycanes 336. Always near the top with a 6th place finish in Super tipping - can't be ruled out.
Virgil 336. Has had the odd good season but may find this too lofty a position to hold onto.
Gunner 338. Rose sharply by predicting a Northland win last week. Can he carry that momentum onwards?
Victor 340. 2nd overall in NPC last season and in 2013 - has to be a good bet to go one better this time.
Plastered Peni 346. Has done well in NPC in the past, never been in the top 3 though and may fall away?
Triple T 349. Top 10 finish in Super tipping and last season's NPC - part of the Bush team pushing to retain their title.
Joan and Mary 352. Has been in every comp and has only rarely had a top 10 finish - surely this is a step too far?
Broughie 357. Crashed from the top in Week 5 and then hauled himself back up. Had strong seasons in the last 2 tipping comps. His to lose I reckon with points in the bag. -
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20 minutes into the weekend and the scorelines read like the half-times in the football. Easy to list who picked a winner correctly.
Manawatu: Unite, Justin77, FarNthHayden
Ta$man: Bay Imports, African Monkey, Phooey, CorkscrewAbsentee tippers are Hooroo, Midge and Chaz - still time to submit your tips as most people are still on zero.
Wairarapa Bush 0 - 1 BOP
Hawke's Bay 0 - 2 South Island
Harbour-Auckland 0 - 0 Wellington
Counties-Waikato 2 - 2 NorthlandGunner 0 v 0 Langakali
Hurrycanes 0 v 0 Joan and MaryI won't post the top 10 given that none of them have scored a point yet.
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Half-time in the semi-finals and BOP have sneaked into a narrow lead as the Bush showed some love for Northland. HB and South are locked in a tie. 20-20 apiece in both the Cup semi-finals so titanic second halves in prospect. Joan and Mary have edged ahead of Broughie overall as Broughie backed Northland but the gap is still only a single result across the top 3.
For the week so far, African Monkey and Justin77 lead with 25.
Wairarapa Bush 16 - 17 BOP
Hawke's Bay 18 - 18 South Island
Harbour-Auckland 15 - 16 Wellington
Counties-Waikato 15 - 17 NorthlandGunner 20 v 20 Langakali
Hurrycanes 20 v 20 Joan and MaryJoan and Mary 372
Broughie 369
Plastered Peni 366
Triple T 361
Gunner 358
Hurrycanes 356
Virgil 356
Victor 352
Hydro11 346
Dogmeat 345 -
well if you'd had any sense you coulda checked that only 2 of the Northland tippers picked us to win (and one has done that every week anyway) to realise that we were no show...think it has been about 13 or 14 years since we have won down there as well
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@taniwharugby Hey I thought they had maybe turned a corner and could feed off their success last week. I gave them too much credit and I forgot they wear that god awful powder blue jersey.
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60 minutes in and the Bush are back in the lead through the whole team backing Counties while BOP were 50/50. HB and South are still locked together but South have more of a spread with Phooey on 39 and ACT back on 12. The minor placing games are also tied so far.
Waynes World looks to have a decisive lead in the TSL Cup while Higgins and Plastered Peni are tied. Overall Plastered Peni has gone into the lead but only 5 points cover the top 4.
Wairarapa Bush 30 - 27 BOP
Hawke's Bay 27 - 27 South Island
Harbour-Auckland 25 - 25 Wellington
Counties-Waikato 25 - 25 NorthlandWaynes World 32 v 22 Richie
Higgins 35 v 35 Plastered PeniPlastered Peni 381
Joan and Mary 379
Broughie 376
Triple T 376
Victor 367
Hurrycanes 363
Virgil 363
Gunner 360
Phooey 356
Hydro11 353 -
Everything is up to date online now
http://www.eglobal.co.nz/tsfnpc16/tsf.htm
Only 9 points cover the top 5 going into the final weekend - all to play for so make sure you tip on time. Broughie and Triple T are level on top.
3 of the 4 games ended up level which is unusual.
Wairapara Bush beat BOP by virtue of their top 5 scoring 179 to 178 which is about as close as you can get - except that South Island and Hawke's Bay finished dead level on 175 apiece and South Island go through because their non-scorer ACT scored 27 to Stargazer's 24.
Harbour-Auckland beat woeful Wellington and Northland scraped past four man Counties-Waikato 172-169.
Langikali is into the final of the TSF Cup - he will play the winner of Hurrycanes v Joan and Mary - that match is decided by whichever gets ahead first in the final week.
Higgins 50
Justin77 47
African Monkey 47
Phooey 44
Bay Imports 42
Donsteppa 41
Corkscrew 41
Number 10 39
Crucial 39
DK 39
Triple T 37
Plastered Peni 37
Victor 37
mikedogz 37
TaniwhaRugby 37
KP 37
Langakali 34
Tim 34
Waynes World 34
Winger 34
Gunner 32
Bay Boy Tim 32
Richie 32
Unite 32
Kev 32
Stockcar86 30
Broughie 29
Joan and Mary 29
Hurrycanes 29
Virgil 29
Cactus Jack 29
NZZP 28
ACT Crusader 27
Victor A 27
Midge 26
Dingo 26
Allstar 26
Stargazer 24
Dogmeat 24
JK 24
Sontumhill 24
Sportboy 22
Hydro11 21
Buck 21
FarNthHayden 21
Chaz's Raiders 19
Hooroo 14
Adam Bowen 14 -
Never thought a mediocre 27 would be so important
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Right we finally have some points in Week 9 - if you didn't know, a draw means zero for everyone. Most went for the Naki although a fair few went 9-16. A one point lead to Wairarapa Bush over the South Island based on 3 maximums against 2 but not much between them.
Joan and Mary is in the TSL Cup final having scored 10-7 against Hurrycanes to win the semi-final replay - and now leads in the final.
Overall, this is heading for the tightest finish ever - a 3 way tie at the top, 4th 2 points behind and 5th 4 further back. 3 of them are going for a narrow away win tomorrow night, 2 are going for a narrow home win so something will give.
Wairarapa Bush 9 - 8 South Island
Hawke's Bay 7 - 9 BOP
Harbour-Auckland 4 - 8 Northland
Wellington 6 - 9 Counties-WaikatoLangakali 7 v 10 Joan and Mary
Broughie 393
Triple T 393
Plastered Peni 393
Joan and Mary 391
Victor 387
Gunner 377
Virgil 375
Hurrycanes 372
Higgins 372
Phooey 368 -
