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Tipping 2020

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved TSF Competitions
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  • mikedogzM mikedogz

    I don't put much thought into Superbru and I do better :man_shrugging:

    KiwiPieK Offline
    KiwiPieK Offline
    KiwiPie
    wrote on last edited by
    #312

    @mikedogz In Superbru, it is very difficult to score for margins so getting results correct is crucial. In KP's tipping, getting the correct margin range is much more important

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    • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

      Some NPC Tipping Stats to keep you going until tipping starts up again in late summer

      Average finishing positions in NPC Tipping (minimum 4 seasons)

      b9c760a8-cf64-4021-a637-2d2ed7d85235-image.png

      Best percentage of top 10 finishes in NPC Tipping

      f5439b74-c124-405d-8ce4-7050ba68654b-image.png

      Best percentage of top 3 finishes in NPC Tipping

      2ecd31bd-69e2-4824-8901-9ffbf634f4f1-image.png

      Most seasons without a top 10 finish
      10 Waynes World & Richie

      And finally for this edition - players to appear in every season of NPC Tipping (since 2006) - ordered by their average finishing position.
      Donsteppa 14.5
      Justin77 15.1
      TR 19.4
      Hooroo 19.8
      Dogmeat 23.0
      DK 24.2
      Joan and Mary 24.3

      There are 10 players who have only missed 1 season, 6 of those missed the very first season.
      Sportboy 25.2

      broughieB Offline
      broughieB Offline
      broughie
      wrote on last edited by
      #313

      @KiwiPie Do you have a stat that shows who makes the most upward movement from week one to the finish. I am sure I would be top ten there.

      KiwiPieK 1 Reply Last reply
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      • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

        @Higgins it was a hunch as was picking the Taniwha for the semi - them's the breaks

        HigginsH Offline
        HigginsH Offline
        Higgins
        wrote on last edited by
        #314

        @KiwiPie I'd completely overlooked your Taniwha selection and you going that way opened the door for me to sneak through close to the end. Alas it was not to be.................

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        • taniwharugbyT Offline
          taniwharugbyT Offline
          taniwharugby
          wrote on last edited by
          #315

          oh I forgot all about that comp for the 2nd half of it I think...no surprises I came last then!

          KiwiwombleK 1 Reply Last reply
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          • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

            oh I forgot all about that comp for the 2nd half of it I think...no surprises I came last then!

            KiwiwombleK Online
            KiwiwombleK Online
            Kiwiwomble
            wrote on last edited by
            #316

            @taniwharugby said in Tipping 2020:

            oh I forgot all about that comp for the 2nd half of it I think...no surprises I came last then!

            missing one week (and generally poor choices) was enough to be near the bottom

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            • broughieB broughie

              @KiwiPie Do you have a stat that shows who makes the most upward movement from week one to the finish. I am sure I would be top ten there.

              KiwiPieK Offline
              KiwiPieK Offline
              KiwiPie
              wrote on last edited by
              #317

              @broughie said in Tipping 2020:

              @KiwiPie Do you have a stat that shows who makes the most upward movement from week one to the finish. I am sure I would be top ten there.

              On which comp? Superbru or the real TSF Tipping?

              broughieB 1 Reply Last reply
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              • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

                @broughie said in Tipping 2020:

                @KiwiPie Do you have a stat that shows who makes the most upward movement from week one to the finish. I am sure I would be top ten there.

                On which comp? Superbru or the real TSF Tipping?

                broughieB Offline
                broughieB Offline
                broughie
                wrote on last edited by
                #318

                @KiwiPie The real TSF tipping of course. What other comp is there?

                KiwiPieK 1 Reply Last reply
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                • broughieB broughie

                  @KiwiPie The real TSF tipping of course. What other comp is there?

                  KiwiPieK Offline
                  KiwiPieK Offline
                  KiwiPie
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #319

                  @broughie You were 34th after week 1 and never lower than 14th in any week after that. Higgins was 37th after week 1 and didn't reach the top 20 until week 4. In contrast Dice was 6th after week 1 and then no lower than 2nd for the rest of the weeks.

                  broughieB 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

                    @broughie You were 34th after week 1 and never lower than 14th in any week after that. Higgins was 37th after week 1 and didn't reach the top 20 until week 4. In contrast Dice was 6th after week 1 and then no lower than 2nd for the rest of the weeks.

                    broughieB Offline
                    broughieB Offline
                    broughie
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #320

                    @KiwiPie I am a notorious slow starter.

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                    • HigginsH Offline
                      HigginsH Offline
                      Higgins
                      wrote on last edited by Higgins
                      #321

                      @kiwipie KP, have you devised anything for this Super Season? It will be a bit difficult given there only appear to be four games each week (and only two in the first week which kicks off in just seven days time) so not sure if you can come up with a format to make it challenging given so few games are to be played each week.

                      taniwharugbyT KiwiPieK 2 Replies Last reply
                      2
                      • HigginsH Higgins

                        @kiwipie KP, have you devised anything for this Super Season? It will be a bit difficult given there only appear to be four games each week (and only two in the first week which kicks off in just seven days time) so not sure if you can come up with a format to make it challenging given so few games are to be played each week.

                        taniwharugbyT Offline
                        taniwharugbyT Offline
                        taniwharugby
                        wrote on last edited by taniwharugby
                        #322

                        @Higgins didn't he run it for SRA last year? Seems so long ago...

                        Usual points diff, highest/lowest, tries per match or am I imagining things?

                        Could add in a bonus round where you get option to choose one game to get double points?

                        Obviously comes to KP having time to run it and how many punters join too.

                        Assume usual suspects doing the superbru one again?

                        HigginsH 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

                          @Higgins didn't he run it for SRA last year? Seems so long ago...

                          Usual points diff, highest/lowest, tries per match or am I imagining things?

                          Could add in a bonus round where you get option to choose one game to get double points?

                          Obviously comes to KP having time to run it and how many punters join too.

                          Assume usual suspects doing the superbru one again?

                          HigginsH Offline
                          HigginsH Offline
                          Higgins
                          wrote on last edited by Higgins
                          #323

                          @kiwipie @taniwharugby I'm a starter in Superbru but they are running separate NZ and Aus contests.

                          As an aside SA look to be coming onside with super rugby (with eight team competing) again starting Feb 27 so that will give a decent number of games although I suspect there will be some gigantic scores in the the SA version making picks somewhat easy over there) so that will open up the options for KP if he is to go ahead.
                          https://www.rugbypass.com/news/sa-rugby-rejig-super-rugby-unlocked-to-prepare-players-for-british-and-irish-lions-tour/

                          Only possible problem in SA is that they are operating on a ten day cycle for matches rather than a weekly one so there might have to be a bot of jigging around like the days when the NPC teams used to play three games in a week and made the Tipping Week cut offs different.

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                          • HigginsH Higgins

                            @kiwipie KP, have you devised anything for this Super Season? It will be a bit difficult given there only appear to be four games each week (and only two in the first week which kicks off in just seven days time) so not sure if you can come up with a format to make it challenging given so few games are to be played each week.

                            KiwiPieK Offline
                            KiwiPieK Offline
                            KiwiPie
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #324

                            @Higgins said in Tipping 2020:

                            @kiwipie KP, have you devised anything for this Super Season? It will be a bit difficult given there only appear to be four games each week (and only two in the first week which kicks off in just seven days time) so not sure if you can come up with a format to make it challenging given so few games are to be played each week.

                            As @taniwharugby says, I ran a comp for the 10 rounds of SR Aotearoa last year where I massaged your picks into a maximum of 80 points - 20 points with the usual scoring for the result of each game. 5 points for 8 categories - pick the points for all 4 teams and the number of tries for all 4 teams. I'm happy to do that again and ignore Aus and SA. And no team tipping comp unless we get enough interest to have 8 teams.

                            Last season the final top 10 was

                            Winger 426
                            Joan and Mary 416
                            Virgil 415
                            Kruse 414
                            Langakali 408
                            Higgins 403
                            Dogmeat 402
                            Paj 397
                            TR 395
                            Sportboy 393

                            I'll start a new thread for 2021 in the coming week.

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