All Blacks v Argentina II
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More from Dagg
“You look at our chases at the moment, and Rieko, this isn’t a plot on him as a person, but he just can’t get up and chase and put pressure on the ball, like you look at him and he’s getting up and he’s kind of just half hearted into the into the jump,” Dagg said on Sport Nation’s Breakfast with Scotty & Izzy. “He’s not winning it, he’s not brave, he’s not courageous, and he’s not getting up and trying to put a knee in the bloke, like, that’s what you’ve got to do.” “It’s a 50-50 play, and right now it’s a 70-30 play, because opposition would have seen that and it’s gonna continue to come throughout the rest of the year and if we do not fix that, it’s gonna be a difficult season.” Dagg gives credit to Argentina whose kicks were accurate, and not too far that their chasers couldn’t get up and contest. “Argentina, they kicked really well, they weren’t kicking it too long, and I think that’s the problem at the moment. from our own kicks, we are kicking it too long and there’s not enough height on it. “So you’re not giving our chasers a genuine option to get up and disrupt, I’ve got to be completely honest, there’s only one bloke there at the back at the moment they can catch high ball, and you’re relying heavily on a Will Jordan to get up and and do what’s asked of him.”
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I'm not a fan of Squidge, because although he is entertaining, makes really good points and provides excellent analysis, it's just impossible to keep up with him
half the time.But ...
After France I he posted an analysis of how the ABs were setting up attack with four forwards creating ... something fuck I don't know, some voodoo drawing the defence half an inch closer and tricking the Frogs into missing tackles when they decide to pass wide or some shit.
Made a degree of sense at the time.
I don't watch rugby with any degree of detail. I watch which team is getting over the gainline, catching passes, making breaks etc. Not HOW they are doing it. I couldn't tell you how teams defend, just if they are. Hell, do I LOOK like @Mauss ?
But, i kinda looked out for that pattern again on the weekend, and didn't see it. Wondered if that was a deliberate ploy and they were trying some other pattern that real analysts of the game could spot, or perhaps we just dropped so much ball we didn't execute up for it.
Any thoughts from the hive mind of the Fern?
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@booboo said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
@pakman said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
@booboo It did strike me that the ABs might have indulged in some sandbagging.
Powder dehydration?
Dessication
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@booboo said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
After France I he posted an analysis of how the ABs were setting up attack with four forwards creating ... something fuck I don't know, some voodoo drawing the defence half an inch closer and tricking the Frogs into missing tackles when they decide to pass wide or some shit.
Made a degree of sense at the time.
I think you're referring to the flat pods teams are using nowadays? It's something you see a lot and mostly has to do with the fact that the pace of the game requires pods to form on the fly rather than being pre-set like they used to be. Nick Bishop has a good, short article on it for the Rugby Site.
‘The quickening’ allowed less time for the offence to regroup and drop into set pod formations like the 2-4-2 or the 1-3-3-1, and these are now rare birds at elite level. While one forward will likely continue to drop to either edge in multi-phase play, the roles of the other six forwards in between them are far more fluid than they used to be.
As for the second Test against Argentina, it looked like the ABs didn't want to play with too much width between the 22s and wanted to target the area around the ruck (see the Ratima snipes before going off). But they made so many errors in possession - at set piece and in the air - that it's hard to know what the plan was exactly. They had way too little ball to do anything meaningful with it.
Like I tried to convey in my own wonky analysis, they were very good inside the ARG 22 and pretty terrible everywhere else. Not sure how that constitutes sandbagging, though.
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@Mauss said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
@booboo said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
After France I he posted an analysis of how the ABs were setting up attack with four forwards creating ... something fuck I don't know, some voodoo drawing the defence half an inch closer and tricking the Frogs into missing tackles when they decide to pass wide or some shit.
Made a degree of sense at the time.
I think you're referring to the flat pods teams are using nowadays? It's something you see a lot and mostly has to do with the fact that the pace of the game requires pods to form on the fly rather than being pre-set like they used to be. Nick Bishop has a good, short article on it for the Rugby Site.
‘The quickening’ allowed less time for the offence to regroup and drop into set pod formations like the 2-4-2 or the 1-3-3-1, and these are now rare birds at elite level. While one forward will likely continue to drop to either edge in multi-phase play, the roles of the other six forwards in between them are far more fluid than they used to be.
As for the second Test against Argentina, it looked like the ABs didn't want to play with too much width between the 22s and wanted to target the area around the ruck (see the Ratima snipes before going off). But they made so many errors in possession - at set piece and in the air - that it's hard to know what the plan was exactly. They had way too little ball to do anything meaningful with it.
Like I tried to convey in my own wonky analysis, they were very good inside the ARG 22 and pretty terrible everywhere else. Not sure how that constitutes sandbagging, though.
When we got ball from broken play, ideally I’d have liked 10 to pass straight to 13 and truck ball up wide with wing/Jordan/Jordie running lines off and a wide loosie to hit any rucks. Instead pattern seemed to be BB pass to forward then pause and the moment was lost.
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@pakman said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
When we got ball from broken play, ideally I’d have liked 10 to pass straight to 13 and truck ball up wide with wing/Jordan/Jordie running lines off and a wide loosie to hit any rucks. Instead pattern seemed to be BB pass to forward then pause and the moment was lost.
That just sounds like you want Leicester Fainga'anuku to be at 13 which, to be fair, is something that needs to be tried this year at some point. But I'm not sure that's a style of play that suits Proctor's skillset all that much.
The current pattern isn't that effective with so few genuine ball carriers amongst the forwards (Parker can be a bit inconsistent in that area and didn't make a lot of physical impact against the Pumas). Vaa'i had a good start against the French in Dunedin (8 carries) but has since really fallen off in that area (avg. 2.6 carries per game). An on-form Sititi is needed somewhere in the back row and Jordie needs to up his physicality at 12. Some of the latter's carries in midfield were way too soft which led to easy turnovers for Argentina.
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The back five seems to me the key. I like the idea of Holland and Barrett to start, with Lakai or Jacobson at 7, Vaa’i 6 and RD at 8. Then at 60 Patty T in for Scooter. Vaa’i to 5, Parker or Finau to 6 and Sititi on at 8. RD either moves to 7 or gets an early shower.
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@antipodean said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
Nah thats a bullshit take.
The bloke coming from furthest back calls "my ball" as he is arriving onto it at pace and with full vision.
It was ever thus.
Our highball work is shite and both Barretts in that photo are persona non grata with me, but the photo proves nothing.
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@Mauss said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
@pakman Ball reaches the backline within 3 phases. Didn’t really know how to abbreviate that.
Not sure I understand. Ball off top of lineout, passed 9 to 10. Is that BLin3? Or does it have to get back to backlaine AGAIN within 3 phases?
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@pakman said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
The back five seems to me the key. I like the idea of Holland and Barrett to start, with Lakai or Jacobson at 7, Vaa’i 6 and RD at 8. Then at 60 Patty T in for Scooter. Vaa’i to 5, Parker or Finau to 6 and Sititi on at 8. RD either moves to 7 or gets an early shower.
I’d agree that the back 5 is key but, to be honest, I can’t really figure it out. Holland has done really well since the start of the Test season but I feel like he might be coming back to earth a bit in recent games. But then again, he’s become crucial for the lineout as well as restarts so can you afford to put him on the bench?
I don’t think Ardie Savea is direct enough to be an 8. He makes a lot of metres and beats a lot of defenders but he uses a lot of footwork and hesitation moves to make these metres, which often breaks the rhythm. Sititi is much more of a head down, smash into collisions-type player which is what I think you need in that spot. I think the Savea-Lio-Willie combo worked well, and I think the Savea-Sititi combo is that on steroids.
It's annoying how blindside remains a thing. I don’t like agreeing with Nick Bishop because he comes across as incredibly smug but it’s hard to argue against the evidence here:
Those are just way too many soft shoulders from Vaa’i on show here. And when you’ve basically been bullied in the physical exchanges in ARG II, then you need to draw your conclusions for the Springbok Tests.
So after all that, and with a complete lack of confidence, I’d go: 4. Barrett 5. Vaa’i 6. Parker/Finau 7. Savea 8. Sititi 19. Holland 20. Parker/Finau 21. Lakai. But to be honest, I don’t really know anymore.
The pack is in dire need of some real bastards - that Argentina side is filled with them, even amongst the backs, like that yappy midget Mateo Carreras - but it's hard to see where they'll come from. Dane Coles needs to set up a school somewhere.
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@pakman said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
Not sure I understand. Ball off top of lineout, passed 9 to 10. Is that BLin3? Or does it have to get back to backlaine AGAIN within 3 phases?
No, it's a bit of a strange metric to distinguish between possessions off lineout or scrum (1) which were meant to be kept amongst the forwards, or (2) which were meant for a backline play.
But it's difficult to make this distinction because you'd often have the forwards keep the ball for a few phases (for example, through a peel or blindside play off the lineout) before releasing the ball to the backline. The ball was always meant to go wide but was kept amongst the forwards for a few phases in order to condense the defence before initiating the backs' strike.
So this "within 3 phases" was basically my way of saying: was the set piece strike meant to come into the backline or not? Does that make sense?
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Jason Ryan is a good tight five coach but he's been average with the loose forwards. Last year it was said that Robertson was choosing the loose forwards but Ryan has final responsibility.
I honestly have no clue who the preferred loose trio is at this stage and one of our few world class players has been shunted between 7 and 8 all year - often in the same game.
Our loose forwards have largely been riding the coat tails of the tight five.
Our loose trio was most effective this year at the breakdown in the last 20 minutes in the last French test.
Vaai as good as he's been will I believe always be vulnerable defending off the side of the scrum from runners like Matera. I recall one year the exact same scenario with the Pumas and Papali'i got there and made the tackle, then got up and tackled again immediately. Vaai just doesn't have that speed off the scrum or off the deck.
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@pakman said in All Blacks v Argentina II:
@Mauss So if BLin3 is 'no', the forwards coddled the ball a while before letting the backs have a go?
If BLin3 is no, that means the forwards have basically kept possession, for example, mauling it inside the 22. Or they've done a peel and then resorted to pick-and-go's. Or they mauled and then the 9 has gone for a box-kick. So the backline was never really set up as a way of moving the ball up-field.
If BLin3 is yes, that means that the ball was released to the backline within 3 phases. So for example: 5+1 lineout, Savea detaches and the ball is released to the backline. Like those first phase strikes the ABs liked to use last season, or the Jordie Barrett pass out the back to looping players, and so on.
I was trying to figure out a way of measuring how the ABs really want to move the ball-upfield between the halfway line and the opposition 22: do they want to use the backline (like Scotland) or the forwards (like France)? And it turns out, it was basically a messy combination of the two.
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@Mauss I've been thinking something similar for the back five.
Barrett, Vaa'i, Parker, Savea, Sititi (with Sititi on the flank for defensive scrums).
Holland/Lord/Tuipulotu, Lakai/Finau as your reserves (assuming a traditional 5:3 split) depending on the opposition.
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@Mauss The problem with RD at 7, is that he seems generally to seagull.
Yes, he sometimes chooses to go for the jackal, in particular close to our line. But seldom does the cleaning, and doesn't make efforts to slow the ball.
I want to hear, 'Hands off, 7'! Would have been a huge help on Saturday!