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Super Rugby - The Future

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  • mariner4lifeM Online
    mariner4lifeM Online
    mariner4life
    wrote on last edited by
    #136

    That's sort of how I got 8
    And I liked a 15 team comp, seemed like a nice number.

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    • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

      Can NZ afford 350 fully professional players? Because that's what 10 teams looks like

      gt12G Offline
      gt12G Offline
      gt12
      wrote on last edited by
      #137

      @mariner4life said in Super Rugby - The Future:

      Can NZ afford 350 fully professional players? Because that's what 10 teams looks like

      That's a really good point.

      If we looked at Japan with 12 in their first division and based it off that, then:

      Japan 12 (6 and 6)
      NZ 8 (4 and 4)
      OZ incl 2 PI sides 6 (3 and 3)

      Club Premier: 13 teams
      Club Championship: 13 teams

      13 week round robin then 2-3 weeks of finals.

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      • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

        Can NZ afford 350 fully professional players? Because that's what 10 teams looks like

        KiwiwombleK Online
        KiwiwombleK Online
        Kiwiwomble
        wrote on last edited by
        #138

        @mariner4life said in Super Rugby - The Future:

        Can NZ afford 350 fully professional players? Because that's what 10 teams looks like

        if we're bringing Japan into the mix then there has to be more revenue streams to tap

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • TimT Away
          TimT Away
          Tim
          wrote on last edited by
          #139

          Whenever the idea of including Japan in a competition comes up, I think it's useful to try to separate how much money Japanese companies put into club salaries, operations, and facilities from what TV and other revenues the competition brings in. Not the easiest thing to find, but I've seen a figure for Japan League One 2022 revenue of US$25M [1], and an estimate of US$27M for 2023 in the NZ Herald (vague, and I can't find the article).

          This doesn't seem like much money, and any more games will need to be weighed against other opportunities like more international games. I have a lot of doubt about Japanese club rugby being of much use to us.

          @gt12 Can you find some better sources?

          [1] https://media.sportbusiness.com/news/japans-rugby-league-one-reports-financial-surplus-in-first-year/

          gt12G nzzpN 2 Replies Last reply
          0
          • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

            Can NZ afford 350 fully professional players? Because that's what 10 teams looks like

            DuluthD Offline
            DuluthD Offline
            Duluth
            wrote on last edited by
            #140

            @mariner4life said in Super Rugby - The Future:

            Can NZ afford 350 fully professional players? Because that's what 10 teams looks like

            Possibly. A 10 team comp would also mean an amateur NPC

            There’s around $14 million spent in the current eco system that frees up.. some sponsors would drop out others would join. I would think the new comp would be more attractive

            But yes 8 would be safer

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            • mariner4lifeM Online
              mariner4lifeM Online
              mariner4life
              wrote on last edited by
              #141

              I am firmly of the opinion, and have said it numerous times, that the future of the NPC (ie provincial rugby) is as a fully amateur representative competition. This still costs money though. Flights and Accommodation at the very least.

              DuluthD 1 Reply Last reply
              2
              • mariner4lifeM Online
                mariner4lifeM Online
                mariner4life
                wrote on last edited by
                #142

                Put it on FTA TV and that, even reduced, broadcast deal should pay for most of it.

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

                  I am firmly of the opinion, and have said it numerous times, that the future of the NPC (ie provincial rugby) is as a fully amateur representative competition. This still costs money though. Flights and Accommodation at the very least.

                  DuluthD Offline
                  DuluthD Offline
                  Duluth
                  wrote on last edited by Duluth
                  #143

                  @mariner4life

                  They've suggested regional pools to keep travel down. That'll probably happen. Long bus rides and people sleeping in their own beds more often

                  mariner4lifeM antipodeanA 2 Replies Last reply
                  1
                  • TimT Away
                    TimT Away
                    Tim
                    wrote on last edited by Tim
                    #144

                    Found this interesting as to how the Sky TV deal is structured:

                    Subsequently, NZR has agreed to pay $8m this year and next to Rugby Australia as a retrospective revenue sharing agreement now that they are joint-owners of Super Rugby Pacific and the latter was only able to strike a A$29m-a-year rights deal with Channel 9.

                    A longer-term revenue sharing formula between the two will be agreed for the next broadcast deal, which means that almost certainly given the low profile of rugby in Australia, New Zealand will end up subsidising its Ta$man partner.

                    Historically NZR has been able to limit the amount of Super Rugby and Rugby Championship money it shares with its Sanzaar partners, by working with Sky to inflate the book value of the NPC.

                    It is believed that the current deal has attributed a nominal value of $45m-a-year to the NPC, but NZR has endangered its ability to continue with this practice by wrongly telling its provincial unions in late March that Sky had indicated it wouldn’t bid for the competition’s rights in the next broadcast cycle.

                    “Future broadcast revenue values for the NPC will be significantly lower than previous broadcast agreements, on the basis that Sky TV is not expected to wish to bid for rights to broadcast every NPC / FPC [Farah Palmer Cup] game moving forward,” the communication said.

                    The information was wrong, Sky has not made any indication it will pull out, but it has told investors it wants to reduce production costs from 52 per cent of its total costs to 47 per cent, suggesting that the NPC may in future be filmed with fewer cameras and potentially with remote commentary, making it hard to credibly present an inflated value to Australia as a ploy to share less Super Rugby revenue.

                    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/rugby/inside-nzrs-broadcast-deal-with-sky-and-problems-theyll-face-securing-a-better-one/ESX5FVS4OFCK5DHNV3RQHEDRMA/

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                    • DuluthD Duluth

                      @mariner4life

                      They've suggested regional pools to keep travel down. That'll probably happen. Long bus rides and people sleeping in their own beds more often

                      mariner4lifeM Online
                      mariner4lifeM Online
                      mariner4life
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #145

                      @Duluth said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                      @mariner4life

                      They've suggested regional pools to keep travel down. That'll probably happen. Long bus rides and people sleeping in their own beds more often

                      fuck yes! bring back some of the fun element!

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      1
                      • BovidaeB Offline
                        BovidaeB Offline
                        Bovidae
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #146

                        SR squads currently have 38 players. Having only a single player contract to play in one competition will actually mean a salary cap can be enforced.

                        There are rules around travel in the NPC. IIRC teams travel by bus if it's 4 h or less. Only the Blues and Chiefs would fall into that category in SR.

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                        • TimT Tim

                          Whenever the idea of including Japan in a competition comes up, I think it's useful to try to separate how much money Japanese companies put into club salaries, operations, and facilities from what TV and other revenues the competition brings in. Not the easiest thing to find, but I've seen a figure for Japan League One 2022 revenue of US$25M [1], and an estimate of US$27M for 2023 in the NZ Herald (vague, and I can't find the article).

                          This doesn't seem like much money, and any more games will need to be weighed against other opportunities like more international games. I have a lot of doubt about Japanese club rugby being of much use to us.

                          @gt12 Can you find some better sources?

                          [1] https://media.sportbusiness.com/news/japans-rugby-league-one-reports-financial-surplus-in-first-year/

                          gt12G Offline
                          gt12G Offline
                          gt12
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #147

                          @Tim

                          I can't find many better sources, but I think it is fair to say that even if the competition is in the black, the companies are putting up plenty above that.

                          In response to a question from Nikkei Business:

                          W杯の盛り上がりをラグビーチームの収益性改善にどうつなげていくと考えているか
                          How do you think the excitement of the World Cup will lead to improved profitability for rugby teams?

                          Some of the answers from companies are pretty funny as it shows that these are primarily sponsorship activities. Three of the top four just ignored it, and I like this from Kobe:

                          そもそもチーム運営は収益事業ではないので、収益改善には結びつかない。In the first place, managing a team is not a revenue-generating business, so it does not lead to improved profitability.

                          KiwiwombleK 1 Reply Last reply
                          4
                          • gt12G gt12

                            @Tim

                            I can't find many better sources, but I think it is fair to say that even if the competition is in the black, the companies are putting up plenty above that.

                            In response to a question from Nikkei Business:

                            W杯の盛り上がりをラグビーチームの収益性改善にどうつなげていくと考えているか
                            How do you think the excitement of the World Cup will lead to improved profitability for rugby teams?

                            Some of the answers from companies are pretty funny as it shows that these are primarily sponsorship activities. Three of the top four just ignored it, and I like this from Kobe:

                            そもそもチーム運営は収益事業ではないので、収益改善には結びつかない。In the first place, managing a team is not a revenue-generating business, so it does not lead to improved profitability.

                            KiwiwombleK Online
                            KiwiwombleK Online
                            Kiwiwomble
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #148

                            @gt12 do you think there are japanese companies that might not be in a position to have their own team like current japanese ones...but would be down for backing an existing team from NZ as a major sponsor playing against teams owned by the competitors?

                            gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • KiwiwombleK Kiwiwomble

                              @gt12 do you think there are japanese companies that might not be in a position to have their own team like current japanese ones...but would be down for backing an existing team from NZ as a major sponsor playing against teams owned by the competitors?

                              gt12G Offline
                              gt12G Offline
                              gt12
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #149

                              @Kiwiwomble said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                              @gt12 do you think there are japanese companies that might not be in a position to have their own team like current japanese ones...but would be down for backing an existing team from NZ as a major sponsor playing against teams owned by the competitors?

                              If we were playing in their competition I imagine that the sponsorship opportunities would be pretty good.

                              We already have some firms that sponsor the ABs who might jump to Super teams in that case as well.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              2
                              • TimT Tim

                                Whenever the idea of including Japan in a competition comes up, I think it's useful to try to separate how much money Japanese companies put into club salaries, operations, and facilities from what TV and other revenues the competition brings in. Not the easiest thing to find, but I've seen a figure for Japan League One 2022 revenue of US$25M [1], and an estimate of US$27M for 2023 in the NZ Herald (vague, and I can't find the article).

                                This doesn't seem like much money, and any more games will need to be weighed against other opportunities like more international games. I have a lot of doubt about Japanese club rugby being of much use to us.

                                @gt12 Can you find some better sources?

                                [1] https://media.sportbusiness.com/news/japans-rugby-league-one-reports-financial-surplus-in-first-year/

                                nzzpN Offline
                                nzzpN Offline
                                nzzp
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #150

                                @Tim said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                                Whenever the idea of including Japan in a competition comes up, I think it's useful to try to separate how much money Japanese companies put into club salaries, operations, and facilities from what TV and other revenues the competition brings in.

                                Japan has the largest single country viewing record for a rugby game of around 60M or so.

                                If the product is good, it should (:D) generate good revenue.

                                TimT 1 Reply Last reply
                                3
                                • nzzpN nzzp

                                  @Tim said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                                  Whenever the idea of including Japan in a competition comes up, I think it's useful to try to separate how much money Japanese companies put into club salaries, operations, and facilities from what TV and other revenues the competition brings in.

                                  Japan has the largest single country viewing record for a rugby game of around 60M or so.

                                  If the product is good, it should (:D) generate good revenue.

                                  TimT Away
                                  TimT Away
                                  Tim
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #151

                                  @nzzp Yeah, but is that for a test match at their world cup, or for a domestic match? We already have an agreement to play tests against them regularly, and the domestic figures don't look particularly impressive.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  1
                                  • DuluthD Duluth

                                    @gt12 said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                                    Without really thinking, I wonder whether we should (1) add some Japanese teams to a cross-over super competition that acts as a club Championship / Plate (maybe we might need a bowl) with teams seeded based on their J-League and home competition results. That would be 'Super' rugby in my model and teams would play with their 'home' teams with quite big squads.

                                    In place of NPC, I would (2) add two-three super teams (which would be the shit fight) and play a local competition with our 'super' sides , under which I'd run 'reserve' super sides, and players could go up and down as needed. Australia could do the same thing and I would suggest they take on Moana Pasifika to add teams. This competition would be the qualification for which division you play in for Super rugby club championship.

                                    I think we are drifting towards something a bit like that.

                                    With possible Japanese involvement I wonder if a fix for Moana Pasifika is to resurrect the old Pacific Barbarians concept? It was based in Singapore and coached by Umaga. No one watches them in NZ it's a complete failure. Give them a home, a good stadium and better access to sponsorship money.

                                    The Baabaas didn't do great either but they had no meaningful rugby

                                    WingerW Offline
                                    WingerW Offline
                                    Winger
                                    wrote on last edited by Winger
                                    #152

                                    @Duluth said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                                    I think we are drifting towards something a bit like that.

                                    With possible Japanese involvement I wonder if a fix for Moana Pasifika is to resurrect the old Pacific Barbarians concept? It was based in Singapore and coached by Umaga. No one watches them in NZ it's a complete failure. Give them a home, a good stadium and better access to sponsorship money.

                                    I hope super rugby stays more or less like it is. But with a focus on more even teams

                                    But the Rebel get the boot and then what. Aust still will have one too many teams. So, they will always struggle still. But not by so much

                                    Also, MP is a complete disaster. Maybe this is one option for them

                                    They move to the Aust conference based in Melbourne. Call them the Pacific Rebels say. But helped by NZR for three years as follows
                                    -10 NZ players can play for them and still be eligible for the ABs. Ardie might be interested in joining his brother as one example
                                    -NZ pays a part of their salary (say $50,000 per player)
                                    -Aust have no players who will be eligible for Aust's test side. As they will struggle to support 4 teams
                                    -NZR also appoint the PR managers

                                    An Argie team joins the NZ pool

                                    If after three years PR are still rubbish then kick them out

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • DuluthD Duluth

                                      @gt12 said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                                      Without really thinking, I wonder whether we should (1) add some Japanese teams to a cross-over super competition that acts as a club Championship / Plate (maybe we might need a bowl) with teams seeded based on their J-League and home competition results. That would be 'Super' rugby in my model and teams would play with their 'home' teams with quite big squads.

                                      In place of NPC, I would (2) add two-three super teams (which would be the shit fight) and play a local competition with our 'super' sides , under which I'd run 'reserve' super sides, and players could go up and down as needed. Australia could do the same thing and I would suggest they take on Moana Pasifika to add teams. This competition would be the qualification for which division you play in for Super rugby club championship.

                                      I think we are drifting towards something a bit like that.

                                      With possible Japanese involvement I wonder if a fix for Moana Pasifika is to resurrect the old Pacific Barbarians concept? It was based in Singapore and coached by Umaga. No one watches them in NZ it's a complete failure. Give them a home, a good stadium and better access to sponsorship money.

                                      The Baabaas didn't do great either but they had no meaningful rugby

                                      TimT Away
                                      TimT Away
                                      Tim
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #153

                                      @Duluth Still a long flight from Auckland (10h 45m).

                                      KiwiwombleK taniwharugbyT WingerW 3 Replies Last reply
                                      0
                                      • TimT Tim

                                        @Duluth Still a long flight from Auckland (10h 45m).

                                        KiwiwombleK Online
                                        KiwiwombleK Online
                                        Kiwiwomble
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #154

                                        @Tim said in Super Rugby - The Future:

                                        @Duluth Still a long flight from Auckland (10h 45m).

                                        i use to really worry about that stuff.... mrs womble has a new job where she manages to global team so has done 6 trips to to the US and/or UK in the last six months, and she has to walk in and do her job which is a damn site less fun than playing rugby and whilst she'll be getting paid more than some...its definitely less than lots of others...stuff em, i'd love to be playing rugby for a living

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                                        • TimT Tim

                                          @Duluth Still a long flight from Auckland (10h 45m).

                                          taniwharugbyT Offline
                                          taniwharugbyT Offline
                                          taniwharugby
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #155

                                          @Tim Most Euro sides would do longer when playing in Capetown and vice versa?

                                          TimT Dan54D 2 Replies Last reply
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