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Rough tips and other bets...

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Sports Talk
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  • Salacious CrumbS Offline
    Salacious CrumbS Offline
    Salacious Crumb
    wrote on last edited by Salacious Crumb
    #1368

    I just printed off the past performance sheet for the Cox. I was hearing for the past couple weeks that Lys Gracieux was the best Japanese import to ever hit the Spring Carnival, three lengths better than Mer de Grace, nigh on unbeatable etc., which may yet be true. But Mer de Grace travelled to Melbourne with 5 or 6 straight wins under her belt. Lys Gracieux has three wins in her past ten starts. Lots of prestige graded stakes in there certainly, and plenty of placings in those, but hardly unbeatable. Magic Wand hasn’t won in a year (!!!), but placings in huge races across the world, including several close runner-up placings to American champion Bricks and Mortar, and 2-time Arc champ Enable; must be one of the most travelled horses on the planet and gets a claim on the purse almost everywhere she goes. Draws barrier 3 and opens at 13/1 - watch the board. Looks like a great betting race. I’ll spend the next hour handicapping and place a couple wagers closer to race time.

    SmudgeS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • Salacious CrumbS Salacious Crumb

      I just printed off the past performance sheet for the Cox. I was hearing for the past couple weeks that Lys Gracieux was the best Japanese import to ever hit the Spring Carnival, three lengths better than Mer de Grace, nigh on unbeatable etc., which may yet be true. But Mer de Grace travelled to Melbourne with 5 or 6 straight wins under her belt. Lys Gracieux has three wins in her past ten starts. Lots of prestige graded stakes in there certainly, and plenty of placings in those, but hardly unbeatable. Magic Wand hasn’t won in a year (!!!), but placings in huge races across the world, including several close runner-up placings to American champion Bricks and Mortar, and 2-time Arc champ Enable; must be one of the most travelled horses on the planet and gets a claim on the purse almost everywhere she goes. Draws barrier 3 and opens at 13/1 - watch the board. Looks like a great betting race. I’ll spend the next hour handicapping and place a couple wagers closer to race time.

      SmudgeS Offline
      SmudgeS Offline
      Smudge
      wrote on last edited by
      #1369

      @Hooroo is a bundle of nerves but his nervousness is resulting in a lot of beers on the table, so that's a positive outcome.

      JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
      4
      • SmudgeS Smudge

        @Hooroo is a bundle of nerves but his nervousness is resulting in a lot of beers on the table, so that's a positive outcome.

        JKJ Offline
        JKJ Offline
        JK
        wrote on last edited by
        #1370

        @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

        @Hooroo is a bundle of nerves but his nervousness is resulting in a lot of beers on the table, so that's a positive outcome.

        Wouldn’t expect anything less!

        Make sure you tell him I’ve loaded up. It’s sure to help!

        SmudgeS 1 Reply Last reply
        1
        • JKJ Offline
          JKJ Offline
          JK
          wrote on last edited by
          #1371

          Also having a decent crack at fast talking in the next at Randwick. Could setup my day or force me to go do something else for a bit

          JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • JKJ JK

            @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

            @Hooroo is a bundle of nerves but his nervousness is resulting in a lot of beers on the table, so that's a positive outcome.

            Wouldn’t expect anything less!

            Make sure you tell him I’ve loaded up. It’s sure to help!

            SmudgeS Offline
            SmudgeS Offline
            Smudge
            wrote on last edited by
            #1372

            @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

            @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

            @Hooroo is a bundle of nerves but his nervousness is resulting in a lot of beers on the table, so that's a positive outcome.

            Wouldn’t expect anything less!

            Make sure you tell him I’ve loaded up. It’s sure to help!

            We've anchored Polly in the Terminating Pick6.

            taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
            1
            • JKJ JK

              Also having a decent crack at fast talking in the next at Randwick. Could setup my day or force me to go do something else for a bit

              JKJ Offline
              JKJ Offline
              JK
              wrote on last edited by JK
              #1373

              @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

              Also having a decent crack at fast talking in the next at Randwick. Could setup my day or force me to go do something else for a bit

              I’ve seen some shit rides in my time but that was just gross

              1 Reply Last reply
              1
              • SmudgeS Smudge

                @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                @Hooroo is a bundle of nerves but his nervousness is resulting in a lot of beers on the table, so that's a positive outcome.

                Wouldn’t expect anything less!

                Make sure you tell him I’ve loaded up. It’s sure to help!

                We've anchored Polly in the Terminating Pick6.

                taniwharugbyT Offline
                taniwharugbyT Offline
                taniwharugby
                wrote on last edited by
                #1374

                @Smudge what does that mean...asking for a friend.

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • B Offline
                  B Offline
                  bayimports
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #1375

                  Polly runs third, hope @Hooroo enjoys rest of the day..still got Ricky to come

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  1
                  • Salacious CrumbS Offline
                    Salacious CrumbS Offline
                    Salacious Crumb
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #1376

                    Re: Cox that was a great win for the Japanese champ. Te Akau Shark came from last to snatch 3rd.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    1
                    • mariner4lifeM Offline
                      mariner4lifeM Offline
                      mariner4life
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #1377

                      That was impressive

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • JKJ Offline
                        JKJ Offline
                        JK
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #1378

                        Very impressive by the Japanese horse. Lane said didn’t it didn’t like the track too much but still had too much for them

                        Awesome ride by opie to sneak the shark the short way home. Got 50odd % of the first 4 but paid bugger all.

                        Best return of the day was fluking cheif ironside in the crystal mile.

                        Worst was that donkey out at kembla. Been told that it will win when it runs in the city at juicy odds.....apparently

                        mariner4lifeM B 2 Replies Last reply
                        0
                        • JKJ JK

                          Very impressive by the Japanese horse. Lane said didn’t it didn’t like the track too much but still had too much for them

                          Awesome ride by opie to sneak the shark the short way home. Got 50odd % of the first 4 but paid bugger all.

                          Best return of the day was fluking cheif ironside in the crystal mile.

                          Worst was that donkey out at kembla. Been told that it will win when it runs in the city at juicy odds.....apparently

                          mariner4lifeM Offline
                          mariner4lifeM Offline
                          mariner4life
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #1379

                          @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                          Very impressive by the Japanese horse. Lane said didn’t it didn’t like the track too much but still had too much for them

                          Awesome ride by opie to sneak the shark the short way home. Got 50odd % of the first 4 but paid bugger all.

                          Best return of the day was fluking cheif ironside in the crystal mile.

                          Worst was that donkey out at kembla. Been told that it will win when it runs in the city at juicy odds.....apparently

                          I watched that kembla donkey. It needs some improvement

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • mariner4lifeM Offline
                            mariner4lifeM Offline
                            mariner4life
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #1380

                            I've had a good weekend and bolstered the accounts for next weekend

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • JKJ JK

                              Very impressive by the Japanese horse. Lane said didn’t it didn’t like the track too much but still had too much for them

                              Awesome ride by opie to sneak the shark the short way home. Got 50odd % of the first 4 but paid bugger all.

                              Best return of the day was fluking cheif ironside in the crystal mile.

                              Worst was that donkey out at kembla. Been told that it will win when it runs in the city at juicy odds.....apparently

                              B Offline
                              B Offline
                              bayimports
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #1381

                              @JK ha ha i backed that thing at kembla, I used to know some dodgy harness racing trainer in Hamilton, who used to used country races just to lose and then when the odds where good enough send it to Alex park to 30-1 minimum. Could never trust him, but if you hit the right race, you were guaranteed a good collect. Guy probably banned by now if he was still around

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              1
                              • JKJ JK

                                @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

                                There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

                                One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
                                The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

                                So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

                                One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

                                Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

                                I will be taking great interest in most gams from here on in!

                                Chris B.C Offline
                                Chris B.C Offline
                                Chris B.
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #1382

                                @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

                                There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

                                One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
                                The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

                                So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

                                One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

                                Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

                                I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

                                I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

                                https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

                                JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • HoorooH Offline
                                  HoorooH Offline
                                  Hooroo
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #1383

                                  Had a great weekend on the punt. The Polly ride annoyed me as we were screaming for the jockey to let her role forward earlier. Nothing came from the back apart from her and she went down a neck. Frustrating.

                                  Went to dinner at Ortega to celebrate her prep and decided to flag the rugby. That was a good decision.

                                  In the paddock now until December

                                  mariner4lifeM 1 Reply Last reply
                                  4
                                  • HoorooH Hooroo

                                    Had a great weekend on the punt. The Polly ride annoyed me as we were screaming for the jockey to let her role forward earlier. Nothing came from the back apart from her and she went down a neck. Frustrating.

                                    Went to dinner at Ortega to celebrate her prep and decided to flag the rugby. That was a good decision.

                                    In the paddock now until December

                                    mariner4lifeM Offline
                                    mariner4lifeM Offline
                                    mariner4life
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #1384

                                    @Hooroo me too! I turned a couple of my bonus bets in to big winners today. Both my accounts suddenly very healthy

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    1
                                    • Chris B.C Chris B.

                                      @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                      @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                      Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

                                      There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

                                      One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
                                      The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

                                      So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

                                      One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

                                      Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

                                      I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

                                      I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

                                      https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

                                      JKJ Offline
                                      JKJ Offline
                                      JK
                                      wrote on last edited by JK
                                      #1385

                                      @Chris-B said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                      @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                      @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                      Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

                                      There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

                                      One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
                                      The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

                                      So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

                                      One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

                                      Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

                                      I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

                                      I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

                                      https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

                                      SA are $2.75 at the moment, only a 4.5point head start. So three options.

                                      1. Let it ride....@$22k on the line....well really its just the $50 outlay (or so I keep telling myself)
                                      2. Chuck approx $8k on SA at $2.75 meaning $22k return and $14k profit for either winner
                                      3. Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

                                      Interested in any other ideas tho.

                                      Decisions...decisions

                                      The ticket....

                                      alt text

                                      Billy WebbB Chris B.C 3 Replies Last reply
                                      0
                                      • JKJ JK

                                        @Chris-B said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                        @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                        @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                        Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

                                        There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

                                        One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
                                        The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

                                        So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

                                        One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

                                        Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

                                        I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

                                        I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

                                        https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

                                        SA are $2.75 at the moment, only a 4.5point head start. So three options.

                                        1. Let it ride....@$22k on the line....well really its just the $50 outlay (or so I keep telling myself)
                                        2. Chuck approx $8k on SA at $2.75 meaning $22k return and $14k profit for either winner
                                        3. Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

                                        Interested in any other ideas tho.

                                        Decisions...decisions

                                        The ticket....

                                        alt text

                                        Billy WebbB Offline
                                        Billy WebbB Offline
                                        Billy Webb
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #1386

                                        @JK sounds like you're a winner whatever way it goes JK. Sweet work fella.

                                        JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • Billy WebbB Billy Webb

                                          @JK sounds like you're a winner whatever way it goes JK. Sweet work fella.

                                          JKJ Offline
                                          JKJ Offline
                                          JK
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #1387

                                          @Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                          @JK sounds like you're a winner whatever way it goes JK. Sweet work fella.

                                          Thanks mate. Love having a crack at this sort of stuff.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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