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Rough tips and other bets...

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  • Chris B.C Chris B.

    @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

    @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

    Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

    There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

    One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
    The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

    So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

    One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

    Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

    I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

    I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

    https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

    JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by JK
    #1385

    @Chris-B said in Rough tips and other bets...:

    @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

    @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

    Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

    There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

    One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
    The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

    So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

    One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

    Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

    I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

    I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

    https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

    SA are $2.75 at the moment, only a 4.5point head start. So three options.

    1. Let it ride....@$22k on the line....well really its just the $50 outlay (or so I keep telling myself)
    2. Chuck approx $8k on SA at $2.75 meaning $22k return and $14k profit for either winner
    3. Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

    Interested in any other ideas tho.

    Decisions...decisions

    The ticket....

    alt text

    Billy WebbB Chris B.C 3 Replies Last reply
    0
    • JKJ JK

      @Chris-B said in Rough tips and other bets...:

      @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

      @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

      Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

      There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

      One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
      The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

      So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

      One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

      Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

      I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

      I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

      https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

      SA are $2.75 at the moment, only a 4.5point head start. So three options.

      1. Let it ride....@$22k on the line....well really its just the $50 outlay (or so I keep telling myself)
      2. Chuck approx $8k on SA at $2.75 meaning $22k return and $14k profit for either winner
      3. Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

      Interested in any other ideas tho.

      Decisions...decisions

      The ticket....

      alt text

      Billy WebbB Offline
      Billy WebbB Offline
      Billy Webb
      wrote on last edited by
      #1386

      @JK sounds like you're a winner whatever way it goes JK. Sweet work fella.

      JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • Billy WebbB Billy Webb

        @JK sounds like you're a winner whatever way it goes JK. Sweet work fella.

        JKJ Offline
        JKJ Offline
        JK
        wrote on last edited by
        #1387

        @Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:

        @JK sounds like you're a winner whatever way it goes JK. Sweet work fella.

        Thanks mate. Love having a crack at this sort of stuff.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • JKJ JK

          @Chris-B said in Rough tips and other bets...:

          @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

          @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

          Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

          There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

          One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
          The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

          So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

          One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

          Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

          I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

          I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

          https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

          SA are $2.75 at the moment, only a 4.5point head start. So three options.

          1. Let it ride....@$22k on the line....well really its just the $50 outlay (or so I keep telling myself)
          2. Chuck approx $8k on SA at $2.75 meaning $22k return and $14k profit for either winner
          3. Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

          Interested in any other ideas tho.

          Decisions...decisions

          The ticket....

          alt text

          Billy WebbB Offline
          Billy WebbB Offline
          Billy Webb
          wrote on last edited by
          #1388

          @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

          @Chris-B said in Rough tips and other bets...:

          @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

          @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

          Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

          There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

          One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
          The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

          So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

          One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

          Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

          I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

          I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

          https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

          SA are $2.75 at the moment, only a 4.5point head start. So three options.

          1. Let it ride....@$22k on the line....well really its just the $50 outlay (or so I keep telling myself)
          2. Chuck approx $8k on SA at $2.75 meaning $22k return and $14k profit for either winner
          3. Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

          Interested in any other ideas tho.

          Decisions...decisions

          The ticket....

          alt text

          Fark me. That is one helluva bet coming in there!

          But the Boks are going to win. So make your call accordingly 😉

          Billy WebbB 1 Reply Last reply
          2
          • JKJ JK

            @Chris-B said in Rough tips and other bets...:

            @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

            @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

            Nah mate small stakes for random shit like that.

            There are two bets actually, both have the same 3 legs down and both have roosters to win as 4th leg. They both have different final legs which will discuss IF 4th leg gets up, along with possible hedge options to lock in a return. Oh and both can't win.

            One is $50 to $16,037 so ony $321.75 to $1
            The other is $25 to $22,095 so $884.81 to $1

            So the Roosters got up which means my multis are still live. Tense game!

            One (the $50 one) has final leg as All Blacks to win world cup. The other ($25) has England to win.

            Assuming England beat france and we both win quarters we should meet in the semis and then one progress to final and one live bet. Not sure would have the balls to ride it out so could hedge it with a big bet on the opposition.

            I will be taking great interest in most games from here on in!

            I'd imagine you'd be pretty delighted if Wales win the other semi - Wales at $4.25 a much more attractive hedge than SA at $2.27!

            https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/2003/matches

            SA are $2.75 at the moment, only a 4.5point head start. So three options.

            1. Let it ride....@$22k on the line....well really its just the $50 outlay (or so I keep telling myself)
            2. Chuck approx $8k on SA at $2.75 meaning $22k return and $14k profit for either winner
            3. Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

            Interested in any other ideas tho.

            Decisions...decisions

            The ticket....

            alt text

            Chris B.C Offline
            Chris B.C Offline
            Chris B.
            wrote on last edited by
            #1389

            @JK I guess the sensible thing is to lock in the $14K return - but, where's the fun in that!** 🙂

            You could do a sort of mini hedge on SA - combination of 1 and 2 - by chucking say $1K on South Africa. - so you get something if they win, but you're well invested in England.

            ** The fun is in spending the loot! 🙂

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • B Offline
              B Offline
              bayimports
              wrote on last edited by
              #1390

              yeah the $14k looks the way to go I guess. curious did you have other variations that didn't work? That is one seriously good bet, well done regardless.

              JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • JKJ Offline
                JKJ Offline
                JK
                wrote on last edited by
                #1391

                @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                Try double up and take SA +4.5 @ $1.90. Means $11k bet required and worst case (ie England win by 5 or more) then an $11k return. BUT if SA win or England win by 4 points or less then return would be $22k plus another $10k from the SA +4.5

                Actually option 3 I explained wrong. $32k is only if England win by 4 points of less. Otherwise its $11k if any other result.

                Im hoping more $$ comes for England and odds push out to $3 and 5.5 points head start. Would be a lot better to hedge or play a middle.

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • B bayimports

                  yeah the $14k looks the way to go I guess. curious did you have other variations that didn't work? That is one seriously good bet, well done regardless.

                  JKJ Offline
                  JKJ Offline
                  JK
                  wrote on last edited by JK
                  #1392

                  @bayimports said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                  yeah the $14k looks the way to go I guess. curious did you have other variations that didn't work? That is one seriously good bet, well done regardless.

                  Yeah had same bet with All blacks win. And earlier had 4 others, one with NZ win cricket, one with india win cricket and then eng / nz rwc options. All just on bonus bets that I had to use up back in Feb

                  HoorooH 1 Reply Last reply
                  1
                  • JKJ JK

                    @bayimports said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                    yeah the $14k looks the way to go I guess. curious did you have other variations that didn't work? That is one seriously good bet, well done regardless.

                    Yeah had same bet with All blacks win. And earlier had 4 others, one with NZ win cricket, one with india win cricket and then eng / nz rwc options. All just on bonus bets that I had to use up back in Feb

                    HoorooH Offline
                    HoorooH Offline
                    Hooroo
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #1393

                    @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                    @bayimports said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                    yeah the $14k looks the way to go I guess. curious did you have other variations that didn't work? That is one seriously good bet, well done regardless.

                    Yeah had same bet with All blacks win. And earlier had 4 others, one with NZ win cricket, one with india win cricket and then eng / nz rwc options. All just on bonus bets that I had to use up back in Feb

                    Now you look here!!!!!! You play the $14k and you celebrate a massive win.

                    You’ve made your bed and there is champagne and roses at the bedside! Enjoy that shit!!!!

                    Imagine a 80 min draw and you get nothing!! Take the guaranteed $14k and do some thing elaborate that you wouldn’t otherwise spend the money on!!!

                    Chris B.C 1 Reply Last reply
                    2
                    • HoorooH Hooroo

                      @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                      @bayimports said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                      yeah the $14k looks the way to go I guess. curious did you have other variations that didn't work? That is one seriously good bet, well done regardless.

                      Yeah had same bet with All blacks win. And earlier had 4 others, one with NZ win cricket, one with india win cricket and then eng / nz rwc options. All just on bonus bets that I had to use up back in Feb

                      Now you look here!!!!!! You play the $14k and you celebrate a massive win.

                      You’ve made your bed and there is champagne and roses at the bedside! Enjoy that shit!!!!

                      Imagine a 80 min draw and you get nothing!! Take the guaranteed $14k and do some thing elaborate that you wouldn’t otherwise spend the money on!!!

                      Chris B.C Offline
                      Chris B.C Offline
                      Chris B.
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #1394

                      @Hooroo Yeah - good advice!

                      That's what I've already done with my comparatively tiny England bet (because I've given the TAB quite a bit of cash with insurance bets in recent times)!

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • Billy WebbB Offline
                        Billy WebbB Offline
                        Billy Webb
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #1395

                        Back in 2007 a mate of mine had the Boks at 14-1 a few months before the RWC started. (Remember we looked really shite before that RWC and Jake White was almost fired just before it).

                        Placed a 100K pound bet on them, figuring he will lay it off as their odds are sure to improve as the tournament progresses.
                        Never did lay off even 1 pence. BIG balls.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        2
                        • mariner4lifeM Offline
                          mariner4lifeM Offline
                          mariner4life
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #1396

                          See the field for the "Golden Eagle" at Rosehill? It's a bit shit for a race with that prize money.

                          JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

                            See the field for the "Golden Eagle" at Rosehill? It's a bit shit for a race with that prize money.

                            JKJ Offline
                            JKJ Offline
                            JK
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #1397

                            @mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                            See the field for the "Golden Eagle" at Rosehill? It's a bit shit for a race with that prize money.

                            Yeah not special. Really like the inevitable but think arcadia queen prob wins.

                            Melody belle opened pretty short for her race but out to $3.50 now. Didnt do much last time in Aus so be interesting to see how she stacks up now 18months on

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • B Offline
                              B Offline
                              bayimports
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #1398

                              Totally agree about the field, would love to have a horse that was good enough before this race also gets a reputation

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • mariner4lifeM Offline
                                mariner4lifeM Offline
                                mariner4life
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #1399

                                whereas the Coolmore might be the race of the spring, and the Empire Rose might not be far behind.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • SmudgeS Offline
                                  SmudgeS Offline
                                  Smudge
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #1400

                                  Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                  I give up.

                                  HoorooH mariner4lifeM 2 Replies Last reply
                                  0
                                  • SmudgeS Smudge

                                    Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                    I give up.

                                    HoorooH Offline
                                    HoorooH Offline
                                    Hooroo
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #1401

                                    @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                    Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                    I give up.

                                    No button so...

                                    "dislike"

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    2
                                    • SmudgeS Smudge

                                      Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                      I give up.

                                      mariner4lifeM Offline
                                      mariner4lifeM Offline
                                      mariner4life
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #1402

                                      @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                      Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                      I give up.

                                      and those moral issues are?

                                      antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

                                        @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                        Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                        I give up.

                                        and those moral issues are?

                                        antipodeanA Offline
                                        antipodeanA Offline
                                        antipodean
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #1403

                                        @mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                        @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                        Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                        I give up.

                                        and those moral issues are?

                                        broken leg something something dog food I guess?

                                        mariner4lifeM 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • antipodeanA antipodean

                                          @mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                          @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                          Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                          I give up.

                                          and those moral issues are?

                                          broken leg something something dog food I guess?

                                          mariner4lifeM Offline
                                          mariner4lifeM Offline
                                          mariner4life
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #1404

                                          @antipodean said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                          @mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                          @Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:

                                          Overhearing members of our work social club discussing the moral issues about running a Melbourne Cup event.

                                          I give up.

                                          and those moral issues are?

                                          broken leg something something dog food I guess?

                                          i was hoping, just maybe, the conversation had moved on from that.

                                          2 miles is a fucking long horse race, maybe that's a conversation that can be held. Not a viewpoint i would really agree with, but at least it's a conversation.

                                          JKJ HoorooH antipodeanA 3 Replies Last reply
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