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All Blacks 2025

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  • TimT Offline
    TimT Offline
    Tim
    wrote on last edited by
    #2022

    I'll be interesting to see how Numia plays over the next few weeks.

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
    • A Offline
      A Offline
      African Monkey
      wrote on last edited by
      #2023

      I guess they'll also be looking at someone who can play on both sides of the scrum, like Ofa can.

      TimT 1 Reply Last reply
      1
      • A African Monkey

        I guess they'll also be looking at someone who can play on both sides of the scrum, like Ofa can.

        TimT Offline
        TimT Offline
        Tim
        wrote on last edited by
        #2024

        @African-Monkey Mafileo.

        1 Reply Last reply
        2
        • P Offline
          P Offline
          ploughboy
          wrote on last edited by
          #2025

          you know robertson will pic bower

          Landers92L 1 Reply Last reply
          7
          • A Offline
            A Offline
            African Monkey
            wrote on last edited by
            #2026

            Is Saula Ma'u worth a look? Don't think he's the finished article, but I think he has a bit if potential to get better.

            TimT Landers92L 2 Replies Last reply
            1
            • P ploughboy

              you know robertson will pic bower

              Landers92L Do not disturb
              Landers92L Do not disturb
              Landers92
              wrote on last edited by
              #2027

              @ploughboy said in All Blacks 2025:

              you know robertson will pic bower

              You could almost guarantee that, right or wrong, he will go with what he’s more comfortable with. Jase Ryan also has that relationship with him

              1 Reply Last reply
              2
              • A African Monkey

                Is Saula Ma'u worth a look? Don't think he's the finished article, but I think he has a bit if potential to get better.

                TimT Offline
                TimT Offline
                Tim
                wrote on last edited by
                #2028

                @African-Monkey Is he playing better than any of the other tighthead props? Would seem to be well down the list.

                1 Reply Last reply
                1
                • BovidaeB Offline
                  BovidaeB Offline
                  Bovidae
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #2029

                  So you think they won't select Tosi? If it's six props there is only a LH spot available.

                  A 1 Reply Last reply
                  4
                  • A African Monkey

                    Is Saula Ma'u worth a look? Don't think he's the finished article, but I think he has a bit if potential to get better.

                    Landers92L Do not disturb
                    Landers92L Do not disturb
                    Landers92
                    wrote on last edited by Landers92
                    #2030

                    @African-Monkey said in All Blacks 2025:

                    Is Saula Ma'u worth a look? Don't think he's the finished article, but I think he has a bit if potential to get better.

                    I know they’ve already had eyes on him for a year or 2 down the line. The slight surprise AB XV selection last year shows they are watching him.

                    His form this year though is a slight concern, not playing at the level he was last year. His minutes have seen a huge increase as well with Kautai struggling to be available consistently.

                    Still young enough to turn the corner though, there’s a solid player in there. Not in the frame this season though.

                    Victor MeldrewV 1 Reply Last reply
                    2
                    • A African Monkey

                      So from reports, Ofa's injury sounds worse than first thought. Who realistically comes in? Obviously fans of teams are gonna pick their guys to come in, but who sticks out from the rest of the contenders?

                      P Offline
                      P Offline
                      pakman
                      wrote on last edited by pakman
                      #2031

                      @African-Monkey said in All Blacks 2025:

                      So from reports, Ofa's injury sounds worse than first thought. Who realistically comes in? Obviously fans of teams are gonna pick their guys to come in, but who sticks out from the rest of the contenders?

                      Any particular reports, not seen anything? Necks are tricky injuries for props. Was very pleasantly surprised Angus T recovered so well from his.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      2
                      • BovidaeB Bovidae

                        So you think they won't select Tosi? If it's six props there is only a LH spot available.

                        A Offline
                        A Offline
                        African Monkey
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #2032

                        @Bovidae said in All Blacks 2025:

                        So you think they won't select Tosi? If it's six props there is only a LH spot available.

                        No they will, my question though is who replaces Ofa in the squad if he doesn't recover?

                        My other point is whether they look for someone to play on both sides of the scrum, like Ofa has the ability to.

                        BovidaeB 1 Reply Last reply
                        1
                        • TimT Tim

                          @African-Monkey Norris, Mafileo, Fusitua?

                          antipodeanA Offline
                          antipodeanA Offline
                          antipodean
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #2033

                          @Tim said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @African-Monkey Norris, Mafileo, Fusitua?

                          I like Norris' work this season - he's doing a good job in the scrum but is he doing enough around the field for the All Blacks?

                          MaussM 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • sparkyS Offline
                            sparkyS Offline
                            sparky
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #2034

                            Will Jordan with a MCL injury so a doubt for the France series.

                            antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • sparkyS sparky

                              Will Jordan with a MCL injury so a doubt for the France series.

                              antipodeanA Offline
                              antipodeanA Offline
                              antipodean
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #2035

                              @sparky said in All Blacks 2025:

                              Will Jordan with a MCL injury so a doubt for the France series.

                              If it's a partial he'll be fine.

                              P 1 Reply Last reply
                              1
                              • antipodeanA Offline
                                antipodeanA Offline
                                antipodean
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #2036

                                And in a "Lies, damned lies, and statistics" report, Havili will definitely make the All Blacks. Heaps of carries, tackles, defenders beaten in the loss to the Chiefs. Big effort both sides of the ball.

                                Landers92L 1 Reply Last reply
                                3
                                • antipodeanA antipodean

                                  @sparky said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Will Jordan with a MCL injury so a doubt for the France series.

                                  If it's a partial he'll be fine.

                                  P Offline
                                  P Offline
                                  pakman
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #2037

                                  @antipodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @sparky said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Will Jordan with a MCL injury so a doubt for the France series.

                                  If it's a partial he'll be fine.

                                  I’d rather he took time to get it 100% right.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • antipodeanA antipodean

                                    And in a "Lies, damned lies, and statistics" report, Havili will definitely make the All Blacks. Heaps of carries, tackles, defenders beaten in the loss to the Chiefs. Big effort both sides of the ball.

                                    Landers92L Do not disturb
                                    Landers92L Do not disturb
                                    Landers92
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #2038

                                    @antipodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    And in a "Lies, damned lies, and statistics" report, Havili will definitely make the All Blacks. Heaps of carries, tackles, defenders beaten in the loss to the Chiefs. Big effort both sides of the ball.

                                    Yet Tupaea outplayed him completely. No doubt Razor will find a spot for his pet though

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    6
                                    • Landers92L Landers92

                                      @African-Monkey said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      Is Saula Ma'u worth a look? Don't think he's the finished article, but I think he has a bit if potential to get better.

                                      I know they’ve already had eyes on him for a year or 2 down the line. The slight surprise AB XV selection last year shows they are watching him.

                                      His form this year though is a slight concern, not playing at the level he was last year. His minutes have seen a huge increase as well with Kautai struggling to be available consistently.

                                      Still young enough to turn the corner though, there’s a solid player in there. Not in the frame this season though.

                                      Victor MeldrewV Offline
                                      Victor MeldrewV Offline
                                      Victor Meldrew
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #2039

                                      @Landers92 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      I know they’ve already had eyes on him for a year or 2 down the line. The slight surprise AB XV selection last year shows they are watching him.

                                      Good to know there's some sensible future planning in place. We now need to give AB newbies some actual game time.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • A African Monkey

                                        @Bovidae said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        So you think they won't select Tosi? If it's six props there is only a LH spot available.

                                        No they will, my question though is who replaces Ofa in the squad if he doesn't recover?

                                        My other point is whether they look for someone to play on both sides of the scrum, like Ofa has the ability to.

                                        BovidaeB Offline
                                        BovidaeB Offline
                                        Bovidae
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #2040

                                        @African-Monkey said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        My other point is whether they look for someone to play on both sides of the scrum, like Ofa has the ability to.

                                        It's been a while since Ofa was used as a TH, so I don't think that is a factor.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • antipodeanA antipodean

                                          @Tim said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @African-Monkey Norris, Mafileo, Fusitua?

                                          I like Norris' work this season - he's doing a good job in the scrum but is he doing enough around the field for the All Blacks?

                                          MaussM Offline
                                          MaussM Offline
                                          Mauss
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #2041

                                          @antipodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          I like Norris' work this season - he's doing a good job in the scrum but is he doing enough around the field for the All Blacks?

                                          These are the Opta stats for some of the loosehead candidates – X. Numia, T. Mafileo, O. Norris, J. Fusitua, and G. Bower – on both the attacking and defending side.

                                          Attack
                                          f1f8b49f-2684-405f-9970-3da469b24a2d-image.png
                                          48eb3ae8-ea8d-4b2a-9b24-d175125b4c8b-image.png
                                          ce8e1cb7-22bb-4202-a937-71869998205c-image.png
                                          1e278915-39d0-4a78-85fa-3b635387152c-image.png
                                          3c011c65-7cf1-43e2-86d5-7e85ff7fc8b8-image.png

                                          So on attack, especially as a carrier, Numia seems to offer the most out of the available options, averaging 8.7 carries/80min, while pairing this with the highest percentages in gainline (56.9), dominant carries (52), 2+ tacklers committed (84.5), and tackle evasion (23.1). In contrast, Bower seems to offer the least on attack: while his 7 carries/80min is a respectable number, he scores the lowest on all other percentages, such as dominant carries (7.1), gainline (30), 2+ tacklers committed (60.6) and tackle evasion (6.7).

                                          As a cleaner for attacking rucks, Norris stands out, making 22.6 cleans/80min at a very high rate of effectiveness (91.9%). The others all average around 18-20 cleans/80min, with only Numia having a considerably lower rate at 13 offensive cleans/80min, which can be explained through his higher carrying rate.

                                          Defence
                                          ac79087b-2c69-4c27-8f6c-ac1991b8c337-image.png
                                          d87edd15-66b7-405b-9f48-f3b8a49139dd-image.png
                                          3dc90230-cd0c-43a0-a9fe-38802424b88b-image.png
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                                          bef761ad-998c-45bb-8170-bd761b13ba8d-image.png

                                          In terms of defence, it has to be said that no single candidate looks to be a bad defender. A tackle success rate of 90+% is more than respectable for a prop, and no loosehead from this group dips below that. In terms of volume – Numia: 11.5 tackles/80min; Mafileo: 12.4 tackles/80min; Norris: 15.6 tackles/80min; Fusitua: 17.8 tackles/80min; Bower: 19.4 tackles/80min – Fusitua and Bower score the highest, while Norris puts in the most dominant tackles (5). As far as the defensive ruck is concerned, Numia and Norris offer the most threat in that area, at 16% and 5.7% effectiveness respectively.

                                          The choice
                                          What the selectors eventually pick will most likely come down to their specific requirements. I suspect they’ll look at scrummaging and other set-piece work first, before seeing whether they want a more offensive-carrying profile (Numia), a hardworking cleaner on attack (Norris), a volume defender (Bower/Fusitua) or someone who can effectively scrummage on both sides (Mafileo).

                                          Looking at these profiles, as well as the eye test, it has to be said that loosehead is a position of decent depth right now, as this group doesn’t even take the current AB players into consideration. The biggest question mark will be their scrummaging ability at Test level. And while Norris, Fusitua and Numia have taken considerable leaps in this area in the past two seasons, it still remains to be seen whether they can produce similar results against international tighthead props.

                                          antipodeanA gt12G 2 Replies Last reply
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