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2025 All Blacks v France series

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allblacksfrance
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  • KiwiwombleK Offline
    KiwiwombleK Offline
    Kiwiwomble
    wrote on last edited by
    #124

    Obviously a single stat doesn't paint a whole picture, but you have to start somewhere, as @sparky says there might be a reason...but its a starting point. 12's wouldnt have to cover the same width as a 13 normally so Gilbert couldnt use the same excuse as Reiko ...so when judging Gilbert we're a step closer to "not the best defender"

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • F Frank

      @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

      Main difference with Fainga'anuku is his defensive accuracy. When he was at the Crusaders it was between 55% - 75%. He's bumped that up to 75.6% at Toulon this year. It's an improvement.

      But if you look at the other midfield contenders he'd be near the bottom in Super Rugby:

      Midfield Players by Tackle Success
      93.3% Anton Lienert-Brown
      91.3% Billy Proctor
      91.3% Braydon Ennor
      89.1% AJ Lam
      88.7% Xavi Taele
      88.4% Quinn Tupaea
      86.1% Riley Higgins
      85.9% Peter Umaga-Jensen
      84.7% Levi Aumua
      83.1% David Havili
      83.0% Bailyn Sullivan
      80.6% Rieko Ioane
      80.0% Daniel Rona
      80.0% Gideon Wrampling
      79.7% Tanielu Tele'a
      78.8% Lalomilo Lalomilo

      I thought Rieko's tackle success would be higher.
      I took his defense to be one of his strengths.

      antipodeanA Online
      antipodeanA Online
      antipodean
      wrote on last edited by
      #125

      @Frank said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

      @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

      Main difference with Fainga'anuku is his defensive accuracy. When he was at the Crusaders it was between 55% - 75%. He's bumped that up to 75.6% at Toulon this year. It's an improvement.

      But if you look at the other midfield contenders he'd be near the bottom in Super Rugby:

      Midfield Players by Tackle Success
      93.3% Anton Lienert-Brown
      91.3% Billy Proctor
      91.3% Braydon Ennor
      89.1% AJ Lam
      88.7% Xavi Taele
      88.4% Quinn Tupaea
      86.1% Riley Higgins
      85.9% Peter Umaga-Jensen
      84.7% Levi Aumua
      83.1% David Havili
      83.0% Bailyn Sullivan
      80.6% Rieko Ioane
      80.0% Daniel Rona
      80.0% Gideon Wrampling
      79.7% Tanielu Tele'a
      78.8% Lalomilo Lalomilo

      I thought Rieko's tackle success would be higher.
      I took his defense to be one of his strengths.

      Rieko's numbers would be down given the ground he makes to even attempt covering tackles. While laughably those stats suggest Proctor is a better defender and we all know that's not true.

      Chris B.C BonesB 2 Replies Last reply
      4
      • antipodeanA antipodean

        @Frank said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

        @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

        Main difference with Fainga'anuku is his defensive accuracy. When he was at the Crusaders it was between 55% - 75%. He's bumped that up to 75.6% at Toulon this year. It's an improvement.

        But if you look at the other midfield contenders he'd be near the bottom in Super Rugby:

        Midfield Players by Tackle Success
        93.3% Anton Lienert-Brown
        91.3% Billy Proctor
        91.3% Braydon Ennor
        89.1% AJ Lam
        88.7% Xavi Taele
        88.4% Quinn Tupaea
        86.1% Riley Higgins
        85.9% Peter Umaga-Jensen
        84.7% Levi Aumua
        83.1% David Havili
        83.0% Bailyn Sullivan
        80.6% Rieko Ioane
        80.0% Daniel Rona
        80.0% Gideon Wrampling
        79.7% Tanielu Tele'a
        78.8% Lalomilo Lalomilo

        I thought Rieko's tackle success would be higher.
        I took his defense to be one of his strengths.

        Rieko's numbers would be down given the ground he makes to even attempt covering tackles. While laughably those stats suggest Proctor is a better defender and we all know that's not true.

        Chris B.C Online
        Chris B.C Online
        Chris B.
        wrote on last edited by
        #126

        @antipodean A sort of "Glenn Phillips Effect"?

        Glenn drops quite a few catches because he gets his hands to chances other people don't.

        WurzelW 1 Reply Last reply
        7
        • antipodeanA antipodean

          @Frank said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

          @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

          Main difference with Fainga'anuku is his defensive accuracy. When he was at the Crusaders it was between 55% - 75%. He's bumped that up to 75.6% at Toulon this year. It's an improvement.

          But if you look at the other midfield contenders he'd be near the bottom in Super Rugby:

          Midfield Players by Tackle Success
          93.3% Anton Lienert-Brown
          91.3% Billy Proctor
          91.3% Braydon Ennor
          89.1% AJ Lam
          88.7% Xavi Taele
          88.4% Quinn Tupaea
          86.1% Riley Higgins
          85.9% Peter Umaga-Jensen
          84.7% Levi Aumua
          83.1% David Havili
          83.0% Bailyn Sullivan
          80.6% Rieko Ioane
          80.0% Daniel Rona
          80.0% Gideon Wrampling
          79.7% Tanielu Tele'a
          78.8% Lalomilo Lalomilo

          I thought Rieko's tackle success would be higher.
          I took his defense to be one of his strengths.

          Rieko's numbers would be down given the ground he makes to even attempt covering tackles. While laughably those stats suggest Proctor is a better defender and we all know that's not true.

          BonesB Offline
          BonesB Offline
          Bones
          wrote on last edited by
          #127

          @antipodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

          we all know that's not true.

          Im not sure we do...

          antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
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          • BonesB Bones

            @antipodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

            we all know that's not true.

            Im not sure we do...

            antipodeanA Online
            antipodeanA Online
            antipodean
            wrote on last edited by
            #128

            @Bones said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

            @antipodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

            we all know that's not true.

            Im not sure we do...

            In the kingdom of the blind

            1 Reply Last reply
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            • R Offline
              R Offline
              reprobate
              wrote on last edited by
              #129

              There are definitely defensive systems which lead to more missed tackles. Any player charged with shooting up in the line to pressure ball carriers and prevent the ball getting wide will miss more than someone sitting back and waiting for the attacker.

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • Chris B.C Chris B.

                @antipodean A sort of "Glenn Phillips Effect"?

                Glenn drops quite a few catches because he gets his hands to chances other people don't.

                WurzelW Offline
                WurzelW Offline
                Wurzel
                wrote on last edited by
                #130

                @Chris-B said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                @antipodean A sort of "Glenn Phillips Effect"?

                Glenn drops quite a few catches because he gets his hands to chances other people don't.

                GP also drops a bizarre number of sitters despite being one of the most athletic fielders to step onto a cricket field

                Chris B.C 1 Reply Last reply
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                • B brodean

                  @frugby said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                  Tackles success not always the best way to measure how good a defender someone is.

                  It's not the only way but when you're at the bottom it's not good no matter what way you spin it.

                  F Online
                  F Online
                  frugby
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #131

                  @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                  @frugby said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                  Tackles success not always the best way to measure how good a defender someone is.

                  It's not the only way but when you're at the bottom it's not good no matter what way you spin it.

                  Not necessarily. Need to also consider how many tackles are being attempted, and how bad these missed tackles are. You also need to factor in, that if you don't attempt a tackle, you don't miss one either - so there is no stat which tells you a guy makes shit defensive reads.

                  Ioane attempted 108 tackles, 7.4% of which were dominant (which I would say is relevant for a midfielder).

                  Lienert-Brown has only attempted 30, 3.3% of which were dominant.

                  Proctor has only attempted 67 and is actually tackling at 86.6%, but is high for dominant tackles at 14.9% - but again, Proctor only played a handful of games, with only 2/7 being derbies (including one against the Highlanders)

                  Ennor 38 attempts, with high dominant tackles

                  Lam, Taelea, Tupaea, Higgins, Umaga-Jensen & Havili are all second-fives, so in theory are defending less space - shouldn't be comparing them on pure tackle success rate.

                  I think the biggest praise you could pay to Rieko, is the Blues conceded the least tries of anyone - that doesn't happen if your centre can't defend.

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                  • B Do not disturb
                    B Do not disturb
                    brodean
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #132

                    Midfield Players including overseas:

                    Tackle Success
                    93.3% Anton Lienert-Brown
                    91.3% Billy Proctor
                    91.3% Braydon Ennor
                    90.0% Jordie Barrett
                    89.1% AJ Lam
                    88.7% Xavi Taele
                    88.4% Quinn Tupaea
                    87.0% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                    86.1% Riley Higgins
                    85.9% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                    84.7% Levi Aumua
                    83.1% David Havili
                    83.0% Bailyn Sullivan
                    80.6% Rieko Ioane
                    80.0% Daniel Rona
                    80.0% Gideon Wrampling
                    79.7% Tanielu Tele'a
                    78.8% Lalomilo Lalomilo
                    75.6% Leicester Fainga'anuku
                    69.2% Tamati Tua

                    Tackles Per 80 Minutes
                    18.82 David Havili
                    13.02 Xavi Taele
                    12.45 Lalomilo Lalomilo
                    11.85 Quinn Tupaea
                    11.4 Levi Aumua
                    10.65 Gideon Wrampling
                    10.31 Billy Proctor
                    10.0 Jordie Barrett
                    9.93 Riley Higgins
                    9.65 Timoci Tavatavanawai
                    9.41 AJ Lam
                    9.04 Peter Umaga-Jensen
                    8.91 Bailyn Sullivan
                    8.12 Tanielu Tele'a
                    8.03 Daniel Rona
                    7.26 Rieko Ioane
                    7.19 Anton Lienert-Brown
                    7.16 Tamati Tua
                    6.89 Braydon Ennor
                    5.7 Leicester Fainga'anuku

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • KiwiwombleK Offline
                      KiwiwombleK Offline
                      Kiwiwomble
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #133

                      everyone storming in defending RI....@brodean didn't criticise him from what i read, was just in the list of other midfielders when working out where Fainga'anuku would sit....ie who is he overtaking from that list

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                      • taniwharugbyT Offline
                        taniwharugbyT Offline
                        taniwharugby
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #134

                        And often a missed tackle can be that someone else mis-read the line or missed thier tackle and you are wrong footed trying to cover thier miss.

                        Stats are great, but there are always variables.

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                        • B Do not disturb
                          B Do not disturb
                          brodean
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #135

                          Sure but when you're at the bottom of the Tackle % and Tackles Made Per 80 Minutes it's not a good look.

                          mariner4lifeM 1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • WurzelW Wurzel

                            @Chris-B said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                            @antipodean A sort of "Glenn Phillips Effect"?

                            Glenn drops quite a few catches because he gets his hands to chances other people don't.

                            GP also drops a bizarre number of sitters despite being one of the most athletic fielders to step onto a cricket field

                            Chris B.C Online
                            Chris B.C Online
                            Chris B.
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #136

                            @Wurzel That is certainly true.

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                            • ChrisC Chris

                              @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                              @Chris said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                              @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                              @frugby said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                              Tackles success not always the best way to measure how good a defender someone is.

                              It's not the only way but when you're at the bottom it's not good no matter what way you spin it.

                              Fainga'anuku will be in the squad as soon as possible Razor got him back for a reason and he was involved in getting Leicester back.

                              Yup I'm not debating that. That's obvious. I'm doubtful it will be in the midfield though. There is a reason why Razor preferred him on the wing and I believe part of it is his defence.

                              Someone said they would move ALB out for Fainga'anuku. While Fainga'anuku is an exceptional attacker, ALB is an exceptional defender. I'm not sure what it is this year but last year ALB had the highest amount of try assists of any midfielder.

                              I don't think ALB will be moved out he is highly rated by the coaching group.
                              Leicester maybe Telea's replacement which may mean Telea will be selected for the French series.

                              N Offline
                              N Offline
                              Nogusta
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #137

                              Leicester maybe Telea's replacement which may mean Telea will be selected for the French series.

                              Mark Telea playing for BaaBaas against the Boks so probably means he won't be involved with ABs this season.

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                              • B brodean

                                Sure but when you're at the bottom of the Tackle % and Tackles Made Per 80 Minutes it's not a good look.

                                mariner4lifeM Online
                                mariner4lifeM Online
                                mariner4life
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #138

                                @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                                Sure but when you're at the bottom of the Tackle % and Tackles Made Per 80 Minutes it's not a good look.

                                why?

                                12s make more tackles in a game than 13s.
                                12s make easier, mostly front on tackles during a game, while 13s make often sweeping tackles as they bounce in to out.
                                Comparing 12s and 13s with basic data like this is a completely meaningless exercise. And that's before you take in to consideration that no two team defends the same way.

                                I would imagine any defensive coach thinking their 13 is tackling above 80% is doing their job to a high standard.

                                B 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

                                  @brodean said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                                  Sure but when you're at the bottom of the Tackle % and Tackles Made Per 80 Minutes it's not a good look.

                                  why?

                                  12s make more tackles in a game than 13s.
                                  12s make easier, mostly front on tackles during a game, while 13s make often sweeping tackles as they bounce in to out.
                                  Comparing 12s and 13s with basic data like this is a completely meaningless exercise. And that's before you take in to consideration that no two team defends the same way.

                                  I would imagine any defensive coach thinking their 13 is tackling above 80% is doing their job to a high standard.

                                  B Do not disturb
                                  B Do not disturb
                                  brodean
                                  wrote on last edited by brodean
                                  #139

                                  @mariner4life

                                  Well 76% is not above 80%

                                  Also if we sorted these out for 12's and 13's he'd still be at the bottom for 13's.

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                                  • mariner4lifeM Online
                                    mariner4lifeM Online
                                    mariner4life
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #140

                                    are we talking about a certain player? i missed that.

                                    B 1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

                                      are we talking about a certain player? i missed that.

                                      B Do not disturb
                                      B Do not disturb
                                      brodean
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #141

                                      @mariner4life said in 2025 All Blacks Squad v France:

                                      are we talking about a certain player? i missed that.

                                      Someone said Leicester Fainga'anuku should be fast tracked into the squad by replacing ALB and I suggested he's more likely to be in as a wing due to his defensive issues.

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                                      • gt12G Offline
                                        gt12G Offline
                                        gt12
                                        wrote on last edited by gt12
                                        #142

                                        On ALB, I love him, but he either starts for me or doesn’t make the 23 - he’s been a penalty magnet off the bench, you cant make the tackles you miss because you are on the sideline with another YC.

                                        Given that he either starts or doesn’t make the 23, I’m not sure he can hold his place - he shouldn’t be rated as top 2 at either 2nd five or center.

                                        I’m not sure he makes the squad even if completely healthy.

                                        B 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • H Offline
                                          H Offline
                                          hikastags
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #143

                                          Hopefully Leicester is soaking up as much as he can whilst he's playing next to Nonu.

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