CWC Semi Final - Black Caps v India
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@Damo said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
The "Win Predictor" has India as 70% favourite. Surely it is at least 50:50 now?
A win predictor won't be able to calculate momentum or how the pitch is playing or how we are bowling. It will only be able to look at past results. 5 an over with 7 wickets in hand and you probably should be favourites. Problem for India is they are on the back foot and could easily fold here.
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Qld up 6-2
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@Damo said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
The "Win Predictor" has India as 70% favourite. Surely it is at least 50:50 now?
A win predictor won't be able to calculate momentum or how the pitch is playing or how we are bowling. It will only be able to look at past results. 5 an over with 7 wickets in hand and you probably should be favourites. Problem for India is they are on the back foot and could easily fold here.
@hydro11 said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
@Damo said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
The "Win Predictor" has India as 70% favourite. Surely it is at least 50:50 now?
A win predictor won't be able to calculate momentum or how the pitch is playing or how we are bowling. It will only be able to look at past results. 5 an over with 7 wickets in hand and you probably should be favourites. Problem for India is they are on the back foot and could easily fold here.
In other words it is a total waste of time. I am a little surprised it does not factor in the expected score of a team that is 6/3 after 5 overs (as it then was). That should be a part of the equation for a Win Predictor.
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@Jaguares4real said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
https://twitter.com/harbhajan_singh/status/1148894925741809664
It doesn't matter. It's only a friendly.
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@hydro11 said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
@Damo said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
The "Win Predictor" has India as 70% favourite. Surely it is at least 50:50 now?
A win predictor won't be able to calculate momentum or how the pitch is playing or how we are bowling. It will only be able to look at past results. 5 an over with 7 wickets in hand and you probably should be favourites. Problem for India is they are on the back foot and could easily fold here.
In other words it is a total waste of time. I am a little surprised it does not factor in the expected score of a team that is 6/3 after 5 overs (as it then was). That should be a part of the equation for a Win Predictor.
@Damo said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
In other words it is a total waste of time. I am a little surprised it does not factor in the expected score of a team that is 6/3 after 5 overs (as it then was). That should be a part of the equation for a Win Predictor.
It does factor it in, but it can't tell if 249 was due to the pitch or NZ's batting.
Like any model it's going to work well providing conditions are relatively normal, but this pitch is an outlier.
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@Jaguares4real said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
https://twitter.com/harbhajan_singh/status/1148894925741809664
It doesn't matter. It's only a friendly.
@Crucial said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
@Jaguares4real said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
https://twitter.com/harbhajan_singh/status/1148894925741809664
It doesn't matter. It's only a friendly.
Obsessed.........
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Might be time to give Lachie a crack.
@No-Quarter said in Black Caps v India - Semi Final:
Might be time to give Lachie a crack.
Yes, but for Boult not Henry. Henry should bowl 6-7 on the trot.
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The commentators are dead wrong. India are right to protect Dhoni.
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How's stat?!
Andy Zaltzman
Test Match Special statistician
It is the first time in all international cricket, men's and women's, that the top three have all been out for one.
