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Black Caps v Pakistan

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  • MN5M Offline
    MN5M Offline
    MN5
    replied to Bovidae on last edited by MN5
    #1150

    @Bovidae said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    Here is the updated table.

    Screen Shot 2021-01-13 at 12.29.55.png

    Grrrrrr........fuck that series in Oz annoys me !!!!!!!!!

    So correct me if I'm wrong but if England didn't drop a test to the Windies ( as they shouldn't have to be honest ) would they be ahead of the BCs ?

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  • L Offline
    L Offline
    LABCAT
    wrote on last edited by
    #1151

    No, if England had beaten West Indies they would have 332 points from 480 so a percentage of 69.16%.

    I believe that the Australia/SA series hasn't yet been completely confirmed yet so may be still cancelled. If India beat Australia in Brisbane, Australia drop below 70% so I think that is our best chance at the moment.

    MN5M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MN5M Offline
    MN5M Offline
    MN5
    replied to LABCAT on last edited by
    #1152

    @LABCAT said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    No, if England had beaten West Indies they would have 332 points from 480 so a percentage of 69.16%.

    I believe that the Australia/SA series hasn't yet been completely confirmed yet so may be still cancelled. If India beat Australia in Brisbane, Australia drop below 70% so I think that is our best chance at the moment.

    I’m not the sharpest tool in the shed and that table makes absolutely no sense to me

    KiwiMurphK 1 Reply Last reply
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  • KiwiMurphK Offline
    KiwiMurphK Offline
    KiwiMurph
    replied to MN5 on last edited by KiwiMurph
    #1153

    @MN5 said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    @LABCAT said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    No, if England had beaten West Indies they would have 332 points from 480 so a percentage of 69.16%.

    I believe that the Australia/SA series hasn't yet been completely confirmed yet so may be still cancelled. If India beat Australia in Brisbane, Australia drop below 70% so I think that is our best chance at the moment.

    I’m not the sharpest tool in the shed and that table makes absolutely no sense to me

    The table on wikipedia might be easier.

    The 'PC' column is the total points contested for each team - in NZ's case 600 - so NZ are on 420 points out of 600 possible points - which is why they are sitting at 70%.

    alt text

    The reason for this is points are given differently depending on the length of the series.

    See below.

    alt text

    MN5M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MN5M Offline
    MN5M Offline
    MN5
    replied to KiwiMurph on last edited by
    #1154

    @KiwiMurph said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    @MN5 said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    @LABCAT said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    No, if England had beaten West Indies they would have 332 points from 480 so a percentage of 69.16%.

    I believe that the Australia/SA series hasn't yet been completely confirmed yet so may be still cancelled. If India beat Australia in Brisbane, Australia drop below 70% so I think that is our best chance at the moment.

    I’m not the sharpest tool in the shed and that table makes absolutely no sense to me

    The table on wikipedia might be easier.

    The 'PC' column is the total points contested for each team - in NZ's case 600 - so NZ are on 420 points out of 600 possible points - which is why they are sitting at 70%.

    alt text

    The reason for this is points are given differently depending on the length of the series.

    See below.

    alt text

    Ah yep, that looks better.

    Is the .5 cos they played at a neutral venue ?

    KiwiMurphK 1 Reply Last reply
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  • KiwiMurphK Offline
    KiwiMurphK Offline
    KiwiMurph
    replied to MN5 on last edited by
    #1155

    @MN5 I think maybe that is referring to a test series that was only half-complete?

    So a 2 test series where it got cancelled after 1 test or something?

    MN5M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MN5M Offline
    MN5M Offline
    MN5
    replied to KiwiMurph on last edited by MN5
    #1156

    @KiwiMurph said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    @MN5 I think maybe that is referring to a test series that was only half-complete?

    So a 2 test series where it got cancelled after 1 test or something?

    You could be right but I thought teams got more for winning away from home or did I imagine that ?

    KiwiMurphK 1 Reply Last reply
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  • KiwiMurphK Offline
    KiwiMurphK Offline
    KiwiMurph
    replied to MN5 on last edited by
    #1157

    @MN5 said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    @KiwiMurph said in Black Caps v Pakistan:

    @MN5 I think maybe that is referring to a test series that was only half-complete?

    So a 2 test series where it got cancelled after 1 test or something?

    You could be right but I thought teams got more for winning away from home or did I imagine that ?

    I can't find any reference to that. The second table above is how points are achieved.

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  • L Offline
    L Offline
    LABCAT
    wrote on last edited by
    #1158

    The .5 series are due to half finished series getting cancelled due to covid.

    There are no extra points for winning away.

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  • boobooB Offline
    boobooB Offline
    booboo
    wrote on last edited by
    #1159

    Not sure how right this guy is ...

    And am assuming his % probabilities are assuming each of the 2,700 odd outcomes have equal chance of occurring, when of course one team is likely to be more favoured over another in any given game, mesding wuth his actual probabilities ...

    Or he MAY be full of shit ...

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