AFL 2025
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@barbarian your prediction come to pass, the implosions is huge and Goodwin is our first coaching casualty.
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given all that has happened you just know there is all sorts of shit just waiting to be spilled now no one has to worry about their job.
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Can’t wait for the bleating from some disgruntled Dees players. The Petraca stuff is just the tip of the iceberg too
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So the Board have made one big decision.
The next is a realistic look at their list and where they think the team is on the cycle. Is there legs for one more go at it before rebuild? or is it rebuild now? because that shapes who they chase.
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They've got to get rid of Clayton Oliver. Currently on $1.7m a season and worth about a fifth of that.
If it was the NBA you'd trade him out to a tanking team with a few picks attached, but it's not so easy in the AFL. They will have to eat a big chunk of his salary, you'd think.
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That Oliver contract has gone very bad, but, at least from the outside it looked perfectly reasonable at the time.
There are a few others they have to look at as well. How many kms are left in Gawn, May and Viney's legs? Will Petracca ever be 2023 Petracca ever again?
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oof it's worse than i thought
Gawn, May and Melksham are all 34 (or as close to it)
McDonald is 33
by the start of next season Viney, Lever and Petracca will be 30 or 31Their "best" player is also their only gun south of 30 in Pickett.
Now, Collingwood are proving that champion vets still have a role to play in the game, but you need young talent to balance it out. Melbourne don't have that.
That job might be a trap
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@mariner4life said in AFL 2025:
That Oliver contract has gone very bad, but, at least from the outside it looked perfectly reasonable at the time.
There are a few others they have to look at as well. How many kms are left in Gawn, May and Viney's legs? Will Petracca ever be 2023 Petracca ever again?
Oliver was definitely worth that at the time and given other clubs were circling, it had to be done. But there are other players who on big overs that they should’ve been more circumspect on.
I like Petraca and don’t mind Gawn, but any time another Melbourne team is under the pump it’s great, it means my team isn’t
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The main problem is Oliver being back-ended. I get why you do that, it does allow you to keep top-end talent for a while, but this is the risk.
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Ok we can say it now, Collingwood are in strife. Belted last night, they have now lost 4 of their last 5 to teams in the 8, with only a bye against Richmond in the win column. They were two games clear at the top, and now they need a huge form reversal just to make top 4, and Melbourne could knock them out of the 8 all together on the last weekend if they don't wake up.
Stop Naicos, stop Collingwood.
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@mariner4life and it was all across the park that they had struggles. The Hawks talks were killing it.
Real test for the Pies coaches to see if they can be ruthless with some of their selections.
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Fucking stupid Lions
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Dogs got the win they needed, but their problem was, the only top 8 teams to lose were in the top 4. So their equation still hasn't changed. Win out, hope someone else loses.
Adelaide had to fight harder than expected but they got theirs.
Geelong barely got out of 2nd gear to beat the Dons.
Freo toughed out at Port
The Suns keep doing things they have never done, and that's go away and win the ones they are supposed to. They are looking good for top 4.
GWS of course pumped North.The Lions are now in danger and need to win both against Freo and Hawthorn to get top 4, and win at least one to even make the 8! Also the fixture can get absolutely fucked. We've had double ups against Geelong, Collingwood, Gold Coast, Hawthorn and the Dogs. Geelongs double ups against the top 9? Lions and GWS. And they will only leave Victoria 5 times all year.
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Looms as an awesome last few rounds. Top teams hanging on, few teams at the bottom who might have something to prove. Nobody really in full tank mode.
You'd have to think the Lions get one of the next two. Surely. Maybe? Would still rather be them than the Dogs.
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Our best is still the best in the comp, but our injury toll is horrific, and Lachie Neale is a huge out. We should get the 1 we need to play finals and that might be enough as the top 8 is incredibly even.
But even if we miss i can't wait for the finals, every team will be thinking they are a chance.
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@barbarian said in AFL 2025:
as long as you are in the eight.
If the table I'm looking at is right we are. Yay, yay.
We on 64, 9th placed Bulldogs on 52 with two games left, best they can do then is 60.
Game this week v Collingwood for the minor premiership, give or take mathematicals.
Also, if the ladder I'm looking at is right, why have GC and Essendon only played 20 games, and everybody else has played 21?
