What is decline?
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@nonpartizan said in What is decline?:
Just a note of positivity that might give some optimism.
The AB try was a thing of beauty.
90 seconds of possession, 28 passes, one cross kick, 12 of the 15 players touched the ball ..... The ball traveled across the full width of the pitch over 4 times.
Im not sure any other country can score that try. Maybe they could but I think there is still exceptionalism in kiwi rugby with regards to the skills.
I feel like we are underperforming as opposed to there being a gulf developing. We show glimpses of our true potential. But our tactics and selection are holding us back. Us rolling over on Saturday was particularly galling
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@nonpartizan We got smashed by 33 points. The All Blacks scored one try, but the Springboks opposition scored six. There's no points for style. There's no sugar-coating that we got annihilated.
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@stodders said in What is decline?:
@Chris-B said in What is decline?:
@stodders That's the thing.
Where in our whole system do we still have competitive advantages compared to the rest of the world?
If that is the case, maybe it is time to bring in some outside influences. Are there any South African coaches who want to unlock the potential of the All Blacks like Tony Brown is doing for the Boks
Look at the Bok coaching team:
Rassie - South Africa
Jerry Flannery - Ireland
Tony Brown - NZ
Felix Jones - Ireland
Mzwandile Stick - South Africa
Deon Davids - South Africa
Daan Human - South AfricaThe Boks are back on top, and in order to stay there, they are harnessing some of the leading minds from around the world. This also helps develop the South African coaches within the coaching set up with the latest, greatest thinking.
If South Africa recognised they no longer had a mortgage on intellectual property, why should it be any different for NZ? The aim needs to be to return the ABs to being the no.1 ranked team. I think it is well past time for NZ to seek external influences to do that.
If that feels like an admission of failure, then so be it. Who cares. NZ rugby needs the best and brightest minds working together. There isn't a foreign coach that wouldn't be intrigued to work with the ABs because of the legacy of NZ rugby. NZRU should strike now whilst the attraction is still strong.
Although this seems like a smart thing to do, it will likely not happen for many years if ever. The reality is that your team had made it back to #1 in the world, that is pretty good. The brains trust will find reasons to persistâŚ.and that may well pay off.
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@W32 said in What is decline?:
@stodders said in What is decline?:
@Chris-B said in What is decline?:
@stodders That's the thing.
Where in our whole system do we still have competitive advantages compared to the rest of the world?
If that is the case, maybe it is time to bring in some outside influences. Are there any South African coaches who want to unlock the potential of the All Blacks like Tony Brown is doing for the Boks
Look at the Bok coaching team:
Rassie - South Africa
Jerry Flannery - Ireland
Tony Brown - NZ
Felix Jones - Ireland
Mzwandile Stick - South Africa
Deon Davids - South Africa
Daan Human - South AfricaThe Boks are back on top, and in order to stay there, they are harnessing some of the leading minds from around the world. This also helps develop the South African coaches within the coaching set up with the latest, greatest thinking.
If South Africa recognised they no longer had a mortgage on intellectual property, why should it be any different for NZ? The aim needs to be to return the ABs to being the no.1 ranked team. I think it is well past time for NZ to seek external influences to do that.
If that feels like an admission of failure, then so be it. Who cares. NZ rugby needs the best and brightest minds working together. There isn't a foreign coach that wouldn't be intrigued to work with the ABs because of the legacy of NZ rugby. NZRU should strike now whilst the attraction is still strong.
Although this seems like a smart thing to do, it will likely not happen for many years if ever. The reality is that your team had made it back to #1 in the world, that is pretty good. The brains trust will find reasons to persistâŚ.and that may well pay off.
The no. 1 team in the world just got humped by 33 points at home by the no. 2 team. It doesnât happen often.
The Wallabies beating the Boks at Ellis Park had similarities, with the team that led the first half succumbing without scoring in the second half. The Boks ended up losing the physical contest and imploded. Everything clicked for the Wallabies and the Boks couldnât make anything stick after a brilliant first 20 mins.
HoweverâŚthat was the Boks first game. They have got better as the 4N has gone on, performance wise.
The ABs have been up/down, up/down so far. Erratic doesnât even come close to describing the ABs performances.
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@sparky said in What is decline?:
@nonpartizan We got smashed by 33 points. The All Blacks scored one try, but the Springboks opposition scored six. There's no points for style. There's no sugar-coating that we got annihilated.
Agreed, certainly not trying to make it appear that the result is anything other than catastrophic.
In the context of the thread (about the decline of NZ rugby from a macro/big picture standpoint versus this single game) I was just saying that the ball in hand skills are still there. They can construct a try on par with what, for example the 1997 or the 2013 All Blacks could do, if that makes sense?
Coaching is clearly the issue, there is enough talent to produce better results.
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@sparky said in What is decline?:
@nonpartizan We got smashed by 33 points. The All Blacks scored one try, but the Springboks opposition scored six. There's no points for style. There's no sugar-coating that we got annihilated.
Yup pretty much this. There are no positives for any ABs side that loses by a record margin. None.
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@canefan said in What is decline?:
We still have some of the best coaches in the world.
Yup, overseas.
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@nonpartizan said in What is decline?:
Just a note of positivity that might give some optimism.
The AB try was a thing of beauty.
90 seconds of possession, 28 passes, one cross kick, 12 of the 15 players touched the ball ..... The ball traveled across the full width of the pitch over 4 times.
Im not sure any other country can score that try. Maybe they could but I think there is still exceptionalism in kiwi rugby with regards to the skills.
TBF most countries want to score that try in a quarter of the phases
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@Kirwan said in What is decline?:
Sititi has not been good.
A huge talent, has what it takes physically and mentally, I actually see him as a future captain, but he has been severely mis-managed.
The coaches were hailed last year for bringing him in, but the reality is he was only there because they could not bring themselves to select Sotutu. To add to that, after a scratchy appearance off the bench, he was thrown in to start at 6 (as the cupboard was bare due to the coaches awful selections) which is an insane thing to do to a complete rookie. The fact that he didn't completely drown is a credit to him as a player, but at the same time he was part of a trio that got outplayed every single match.
Now he's been told to go and put on weight, likely to accommodate trying to play him with Ardie, and he's had injury issues and a lack of form/confidence as a result. Talk about fucking ruining one of the most promising talents we've had in a while!
A professional head coach would have selected Ardie and Sotutu as the 8s last year, and had Sititi in and around the camp to learn as much as he can with an eye to the future. But instead these morons just picked him off the back of one performance against the Canes, despite being taught a lesson in the final by far more experienced loosies, and threw him in the deep end at 6 with nothing more than a prayer.
We don't have a professional head coach right now. The sooner was can appoint one the better.
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@No-Quarter said in What is decline?:
@Kirwan said in What is decline?:
Sititi has not been good.
A huge talent, has what it takes physically and mentally, I actually see him as a future captain, but he has been severely mis-managed.
The coaches were hailed last year for bringing him in, but the reality is he was only there because the coaches could not bring themselves to select Sotutu. To add to that, after a scratchy appearance off the bench, he was thrown in to start at 6 (as the cupboard was bare due to the coaches awful selections) which is a completely insane thing to do to a complete rookie. The fact that he didn't completely drown is a credit to him as a player, but at the same time he was part of a trio that got outplayed every single match.
Now he's been told to go and put on weight, likely to accommodate trying to play him with Ardie, and he's had injury issues and a lack of form/confidence as a result. Talk about fucking ruining one of the most promising talents we've had in a while!
A professional head coach would have selected Ardie and Sotutu as the 8s last year, and had Sititi in and around the camp to learn as much as he can with an eye to the future. But instead these morons just picked him off the back of one performance against the Canes, despite being taught a lesson in the final by far more experienced loosies, and threw him in the deep end at 6 with nothing more than a prayer.
We don't have a professional head coach right now. The sooner was can appoint one the better.
Our coach is a vibes guy. He'd be a good Ryder cup captain, but you wouldnt want him as your caddie.
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@No-Quarter said in What is decline?:
@Kirwan said in What is decline?:
Sititi has not been good.
A huge talent, has what it takes physically and mentally, I actually see him as a future captain, but he has been severely mis-managed.
The coaches were hailed last year for bringing him in, but the reality is he was only there because the coaches could not bring themselves to select Sotutu. To add to that, after a scratchy appearance off the bench, he was thrown in to start at 6 (as the cupboard was bare due to the coaches awful selections) which is an insane thing to do to a complete rookie. The fact that he didn't completely drown is a credit to him as a player, but at the same time he was part of a trio that got outplayed every single match.
Now he's been told to go and put on weight, likely to accommodate trying to play him with Ardie, and he's had injury issues and a lack of form/confidence as a result. Talk about fucking ruining one of the most promising talents we've had in a while!
A professional head coach would have selected Ardie and Sotutu as the 8s last year, and had Sititi in and around the camp to learn as much as he can with an eye to the future. But instead these morons just picked him off the back of one performance against the Canes, despite being taught a lesson in the final by far more experienced loosies, and threw him in the deep end at 6 with nothing more than a prayer.
We don't have a professional head coach right now. The sooner was can appoint one the better.
Wish I could like this more than once, nail on the head.
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@nonpartizan said in What is decline?:
@Nepia said in What is decline?:
@gt12 said in What is decline?:
This reminds of the days when guys like Zinzan couldn't get a good run (under a Canterbury coach....), then when a coach came along and found a way to take advantage of their skills, we suddenly could play rugby in the way that others may only dream of.
I don't want to be that guy ... as I be that guy.
The Cantab coach actually dropped Buck for Zinny, then the Otago coach refused to pick him until Fitzy convinced him to give him a chance.
Is there a story about how Mains called Zinny because he was trying to get hold of Robin or something along those lines? I seem to recall reading that or may have heard it on a podcast.
Yeah, it's in Zinny's book.
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@Kirwan said in What is decline?:
@antipodean said in What is decline?:
I wonder if the decline is systemic in that so many New Zealanders are playing and coaching OS, so the competition to progress to first class rugby isn't there to the extent it used to be.
I am constantly surprised to see technical deficiencies in players though. How can up and coming scrum halves not model their passing on Aaron Smith? How do backline players not have a Cory fend, Ma'a wide ranging skillset and Dagg like security for the high ball?
But putting that aside, there's the selection ethos of the current coach who shuns outstanding competence in a position for the ability to play multiple? So instead of the bench being a risk management exercise, the entire team is from the loose forwards backwards.
We don't have that many players good enough to play multiple positions to Test standard.
Watch the Bok, Argie and even the Wallabies backline passing. Done at pace, from depth, in front of the player and often running into space.
It's quite the contrast watching us play.
Although the Boks did pass behind the player quite a bit which contributed to their high error rate.
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@No-Quarter Nailed it!
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@nonpartizan said in What is decline?:
Im not sure any other country can score that try. Maybe they could but I think there is still exceptionalism in kiwi rugby with regards to the skills.
Yes we still have a skills edge (and probably always will); but it's tiny now.
Not like two decades ago when it could win us games. Some times by huge margins against teams that were actually quite good.
Now, if we dont get the basics right, the skills edge aint enough to get us out of the shit.
We score one beautiful try, then let in six.But, if we get rock solid in the basics (kicking/catching/set piece etc), then the skills edge (now slight), will continue to provide a point of difference.
That exceptionalism (now arrogance) is the issue, naive to think it's still going to get the job done consistently.Haha, like when we play Fiji, the last thing we do is run out and throw the ball around!
That'd be asking for trouble!No team is ever going to take us on in an up tempo passing game.
If a team ever thought that would work against us, then we really would be in trouble. -
@mohikamo said in What is decline?:
@nonpartizan said in What is decline?:
Im not sure any other country can score that try. Maybe they could but I think there is still exceptionalism in kiwi rugby with regards to the skills.
Yes we still have a skills edge (and probably always will); but it's tiny now.
im not sure we do, our passing is slow and flat footed and tackling sloppy
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@mohikamo said in What is decline?:
@nonpartizan said in What is decline?:
Im not sure any other country can score that try. Maybe they could but I think there is still exceptionalism in kiwi rugby with regards to the skills.
Yes we still have a skills edge (and probably always will); but it's tiny now.
Not like two decades ago when it could win us games. Some times by huge margins against teams that were actually quite good.
Now, if we dont get the basics right, the skills edge aint enough to get us out of the shit.
We score one beautiful try, then let in six.But, if we get rock solid in the basics (kicking/catching/set piece etc), then the skills edge (now slight), will continue to provide a point of difference.
That exceptionalism (now arrogance) is the issue, naive to think it's still going to get the job done consistently.Haha, like when we play Fiji, the last thing we do is run out and throw the ball around!
That'd be asking for trouble!No team is ever going to take us on in an up tempo passing game.
If a team ever thought that would work against us, then we really would be in trouble.Good post. A couple thoughts -
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One thing that clearly needs to be coached at super rugby level and below is winning high balls. V France, South Africa and Argentina it has been exposed as a clear deficiency in the kiwi game. This is indisputable and needs to be fixed. Maybe you even select for it at lower levels ie don't take a single outside back to next year's under 20 world cup who isn't great under the high ball. It has to become an area of emphasis.
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Kiwi diaspora. Surely there is a way to partner with a northern union or a handful of clubs where kiwi coaches and players go on loan to gain experience whilst still being affiliated to the NZR. kind of like an exchange student programme..... Ofc similar to what Jordie just did but even earlier in his career. That way these players and coaches can get exposed to a different rugby environment and be more equipped to play against different styles instead of just the super rugby bubble 24/7. Push players out of their Christchurch/Wellington etc comfort zones and have them learn about rugby and life in a different milieu.
Even if it just half a season, six months or whatever it would prevent from intellectual stagnation that can occur when you are in an echo chamber.
I genuinely think that some of these problems can be solved if you go back to the drawing board and think creatively.
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