All Blacks 2025
-
@No-Quarter I'm really asking for proof that previous international coaching experience is a massive advantage. I'm not entirely sure it is - I think a talented provincial coach is preferable to a bog-standard international coach. And a few rebuttals...
Ryan came in with zero international experience and improved the forwards as much as Schmidt did the backs.
They collectively both got thumped by the Jaapies at Twickenham, which was pretty much as bad as losing in Wellington this year.
As I point out above - it is Razor 4 - Schmidt 0 - and you've got to wonder whcich of Razor's 6 losses, Joe would have made enough difference to win?
According to Wiki Joe joined the coaching panel on August 17 2022 and subsequently we shipped losses to:
Argentina 18-25
SA 35-7
France 27-13
SA 12-11Plus a draw with England.
15 wins from 20 = 75%
We've lost to the same group of teams and the percentage is not much better - and with arguably better players.
-
@restofit said in All Blacks 2025:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2025:
It will not be Ryan he is a great mate of Razors and Jason is pretty easy going he wouldn’t step on Razors toes.
That speculation is way off the mark.Hey mate, any info regarding whether Holland will have a replacement or does Ellison becomes the midfield coach?
I haven’t heard anything as yet .
-
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
They collectively both got thumped by the Jaapies at Twickenham, which was pretty much as bad as losing in Wellington this year.
Getting thumped in a throw away game amongst a sea of green is in no way as bad as getting embarrassed at home in the RC, that's a very odd take.
-
-
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
It's not a fucking disaster!
Says the apologist for a record loss. At home.
-
Put aside the ridiculous defence by reference to percentages and "what could've been", the simple fact remains what your eyes are telling you isn't imagined. A team near incapable of scoring in the final quarter, incoherent style of play somehow making us look like the unfit team on the field, poor impact from the bench, record losses, poor selections and a coach that looks mystified in media situations.
Meanwhile our opposition look like they have a clear structure they've bought into and understand.
-
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@Nepia It's certainly Devil's advocacy in terms of the usual Fern circle-jerk.
If your post is an unusual Fern circle-jerk, it's still an interesting one.
I don't think, personally, the numbers by themselves have as much weight as before. Not with strong sides sending B or C squads. Not with the gaps in depth and performance across the top 12 or so teams.
And these discussions have too many subjective post-event criteria.
If we all agreed on what would be good goals beforehand, maybe there'd be less argument afterwards? -
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@Mauss Ha - pointed that at you, because I thought I'd get a well considered response and I'm not disappointed!
You got me. But it’s an interesting discussion so I don’t mind being pulled into it.
But, if you've coached Japan or Italy or Fiji - I reckon that's got minimal additional value compared to coaching the Crusaders. And even those who've coached bigger teams struggle to translate that into meaningful statistics.
I can sympathize with your point because I also think that just having international experience in itself isn’t particularly valuable. John Kirwan coached Italy and Japan; Milton Haig coached Georgia; Alama Ieremia coached Samoa; Wayne Pivac coached Wales. I’m pretty sure that all of these guys would be terrible AB coaches.
But the point is that coaching internationally can make you a better coach: it forces you to adapt your systems to local strengths. Schmidt coached (alongside Cotter) a possession- and forward-based game at Clermont, then turned Leinster into an attacking machine before emphasizing kick- and ruck-heavy game plans with Ireland. Tony Brown turned Japanese fleet-footedness and mobility into an attacking advantage before adapting his attacking shape in order to incorporate big carriers with the Springboks. Cotter emphasizes possession, forward grunt and basics wherever he goes but is able to adapt as well, whether it’s Clermont, Scotland, Fiji or the Blues.
So this brings us back to Robertson. I agree that you don’t need experiences in order to know or learn certain things. But, looking at the current AB team, Robertson seems to have not understood one of the primary lessons of coaching in different environments: you need to respect local strengths and traditions. What is All Blacks rugby? Two things: basic skill execution done to perfection and counter-attacking dominance. What has the Rugby Championship shown once again? That the skillsets aren’t good enough and that the counter-attack is basically non-existent.
Perhaps if Robertson had coached Wales, Fiji or Japan, he would’ve realized that you can’t simply shape the team to your own designs without integrating and enabling that country’s strengths. It seems like a remarkably easy lesson but, looking at the ABs’ performances in 2024 and 2025, it’s something that this coaching group has consistently failed to implement.
-
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@No-Quarter I'm really asking for proof that previous international coaching experience is a massive advantage. I'm not entirely sure it is - I think a talented provincial coach is preferable to a bog-standard international coach. And a few rebuttals...
Not really the same argument, I think posters here are arguing that all things being equal, international coaching experience is really important, but they'd agree a talented provincial coach is preferable to a bog-standard international one.
Last year I thought Razor's super experience showed he/his team could be ruthless and effective, and inventive enough. But with the de-internationalisation of Super, the longterms effects of COVID isolationism (perhaps), coaching drain overseas, and arguably a much richer international competition overseas that we are not part of, I think I under-estimated it.
If not Razor then his assistant coaches needed a variety of coaching experiences and I am not convinced overall they have that. Their focused Crusader tactics work at Super level but our Super comp hides too many weaknesses, the teams are too similar and this is exposed in terms of ABs coaching, strategic variety, and ability to innovate and respond not the next game, but the next half! So maybe winning 7 times consecutively (!) at Super level was actually a disadvantage to developing coaching resilience and innovation. Perhaps.
-
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@No-Quarter I'm really asking for proof that previous international coaching experience is a massive advantage. I'm not entirely sure it is - I think a talented provincial coach is preferable to a bog-standard international coach. And a few rebuttals...
Ryan came in with zero international experience and improved the forwards as much as Schmidt did the backs.
They collectively both got thumped by the Jaapies at Twickenham, which was pretty much as bad as losing in Wellington this year.
As I point out above - it is Razor 4 - Schmidt 0 - and you've got to wonder whcich of Razor's 6 losses, Joe would have made enough difference to win?
According to Wiki Joe joined the coaching panel on August 17 2022 and subsequently we shipped losses to:
Argentina 18-25
SA 35-7
France 27-13
SA 12-11Plus a draw with England.
15 wins from 20 = 75%
We've lost to the same group of teams and the percentage is not much better - and with arguably better players.
Good story.
Except, Jason Ryan was the assistant coach of Fiji, working for Vern Cotter, signed through to the WC. He was doing it exactly as it should be done, working his way up with a very experienced hand.
The Fiji forwards were looking so good, there was quite a bit of talk about Ryan. They gave our forwards a good fucking hurry up when we played them.
-
Agree.
I now view SR as a talent indentification program for the AB team.
I dont expect players and coaches to come out of that competition, and immediately have an impact at the next level.
It'd great if they did, and in the past I would have thought that, but not anymore.
When you step up from super to international level, there is now quite a gap.
ABs v Boks/Fra/Eng; is now a very long way from Ders v Canes. -
@antipodean said in All Blacks 2025:
what your eyes are telling you
Yep
The record is 7 and 2 right now.
Which is ok.
But the eye-test aint good. -
@Bones said in All Blacks 2025:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
They collectively both got thumped by the Jaapies at Twickenham, which was pretty much as bad as losing in Wellington this year.
Getting thumped in a throw away game amongst a sea of green is in no way as bad as getting embarrassed at home in the RC, that's a very odd take.
Never have you said a truer word, @Bones!
-
The issue seems that we lack an identity right now, coupled with lack of consistency.
What exactly is it we are trying to do, it is hard to pin point a specific game plan (attack and defence) and when we do show glimpses, we then can't replicate it or do something different, making you wonder if the successful passage was a fluke rather than design.
Years gone by, we had attacking flair like no other, now, what are we? What defines this team?
Inconsistency, erratic and overuse of the boot, lack of finishing, let's hope those tour starts to give a better idea of what this team is trying to achieve.
-
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
It's not a fucking disaster!
Maybe, but what IS a disaster is we ain't going anywhere - just bumping along the bottom. This despite the finest coach in NZ Super Rugby history and international experience not mattering (well, according to the stats).
I've never, ever seen an AB team simply give up as they did in Wellington. And right now I just can't see Robertson's AB's performing under pressure in a tight game like the AB's did in RWC2023 - despite what the stats say.
This EOYT will be a litmus test
-
@nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:
But with the de-internationalisation of Super, the longterms effects of COVID isolationism (perhaps), coaching drain overseas, and arguably a much richer international competition overseas that we are not part of, I think I under-estimated it.
Funnily enough, anyone arguing these very same points between 2021-23 was immediately labelled a Foster apologist.
Progress in a way, I guess - but at a cost.
-
@Victor-Meldrew even though the writing was on the wall pre both Fozzie and Covid.
