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All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Sports Talk
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  • B bobily2

    fc91ff85-6994-432b-9c93-a20f9487b593-image.png

    I've taken last years Super Rugby stats and adjusted them for the amount of game time. The figures are essentially what we might expect from each player if they were to play for 80 mins.

    TimT Away
    TimT Away
    Tim
    wrote on last edited by
    #14

    @bobily2 Where are those stats from? I've found the Rugbypass data to be pretty poor.

    B Dan54D 2 Replies Last reply
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    • TimT Tim

      @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

      @bobily2 that is some godawful reading for Joe & Karl.

      Might be time for both to be dropped, unless they have stellar seasons in SR.

      Hodgman, Ross, and De Groot, with Tu'ungufasi covering both sides?

      Oli Norris as bolter?

      gt12G Offline
      gt12G Offline
      gt12
      wrote on last edited by
      #15

      @tim said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

      @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

      @bobily2 that is some godawful reading for Joe & Karl.

      Might be time for both to be dropped, unless they have stellar seasons in SR.

      Hodgman, Ross, and De Groot, with Tu'ungufasi covering both sides?

      From @Chris post above, Williams might be being set up to be the new Ofa/Moli.

      I'd personally prefer Ofa to focus on TH and us develop another both side option.

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • TimT Tim

        @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

        @bobily2 that is some godawful reading for Joe & Karl.

        Might be time for both to be dropped, unless they have stellar seasons in SR.

        Hodgman, Ross, and De Groot, with Tu'ungufasi covering both sides?

        Oli Norris as bolter?

        BonesB Offline
        BonesB Offline
        Bones
        wrote on last edited by
        #16

        @tim sounds good to me. I thought Norris had a bit of a (maybe rednblack) fan club here?

        TimT 1 Reply Last reply
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        • BonesB Bones

          @tim sounds good to me. I thought Norris had a bit of a (maybe rednblack) fan club here?

          TimT Away
          TimT Away
          Tim
          wrote on last edited by
          #17

          @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

          Norris

          I added him in an edit shortly after my initial post.

          BonesB 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • TimT Tim

            @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

            Norris

            I added him in an edit shortly after my initial post.

            BonesB Offline
            BonesB Offline
            Bones
            wrote on last edited by
            #18

            @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

            gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
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            • BonesB Bones

              @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

              gt12G Offline
              gt12G Offline
              gt12
              wrote on last edited by gt12
              #19

              @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

              @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

              He's had fuck-all game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

              B TimT BonesB 3 Replies Last reply
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              • TimT Tim

                @bobily2 Where are those stats from? I've found the Rugbypass data to be pretty poor.

                B Offline
                B Offline
                bobily2
                wrote on last edited by
                #20

                @tim said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                @bobily2 Where are those stats from? I've found the Rugbypass data to be pretty poor.

                https://super.rugby/superrugby/fixtures/archives/2021-super-rugby-aotearoa/

                The data is from Opta, so the stats provider that NZ rugby uses.

                1 Reply Last reply
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                • gt12G gt12

                  @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                  @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                  He's had fuck-all game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                  B Offline
                  B Offline
                  bobily2
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #21

                  @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                  @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                  @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                  He's had fuck-up game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                  I'll try include actual mins played in anything else I put out there. Ollie Norris had 300 mins.

                  gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
                  1
                  • gt12G gt12

                    @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                    @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                    He's had fuck-all game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                    TimT Away
                    TimT Away
                    Tim
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #22

                    @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                    He's had fuck-up game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                    Yeah, there will be guys who come off the bench late in the game, and will probably get relatively more run metres and less tackles because of that.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • gt12G gt12

                      @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                      @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                      He's had fuck-all game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                      BonesB Offline
                      BonesB Offline
                      Bones
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #23

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                      He's had fuck-up game time so far,

                      Damning.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      1
                      • B bobily2

                        @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                        @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                        @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                        He's had fuck-up game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                        I'll try include actual mins played in anything else I put out there. Ollie Norris had 300 mins.

                        gt12G Offline
                        gt12G Offline
                        gt12
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #24

                        @bobily2 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                        @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                        @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                        @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                        He's had fuck-up game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                        I'll try include actual mins played in anything else I put out there. Ollie Norris had 300 mins.

                        I love this data btw, it's really cool!

                        B 1 Reply Last reply
                        2
                        • gt12G gt12

                          @bobily2 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                          @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                          @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                          @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                          He's had fuck-up game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                          I'll try include actual mins played in anything else I put out there. Ollie Norris had 300 mins.

                          I love this data btw, it's really cool!

                          B Offline
                          B Offline
                          bobily2
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #25

                          @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                          @bobily2 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                          @gt12 said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                          @bones said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                          @tim yeah I saw, I was just surprised he hadn't really been talked about already. I know nothing of him, but the stats look handy.

                          He's had fuck-up game time so far, but I hope he turns out good. That data doesn't have total minutes played, but I assume his are really low.

                          I'll try include actual mins played in anything else I put out there. Ollie Norris had 300 mins.

                          I love this data btw, it's really cool!

                          Great, I'll try and share little snippets of it where it might be relevant. I don't have much for NPC or All Blacks, unfortunately. But if people find reliable sources for these I can see if i can do something with those too.

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                          • BovidaeB Offline
                            BovidaeB Offline
                            Bovidae
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #26

                            Tu'inukuafe, and Laulala for that matter, played much better when they were at the Chiefs. So did Manu.

                            I would be investing time into de Groot and Norris over the next 2 seasons.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            1
                            • TimT Tim

                              Lets start at number one, loosehead prop.

                              Joe Moody is 33 and can barely carry the ball now, is an average defender, and hasn't been a dominant scrummager at international level for at least two seasons. Still good in the maul. Only in the running as a starter, IMO. If he's in our first choice world cup 23 then we're probably in trouble.

                              The other options in the squad that were allowed to play test rugby were Bower and Tu'inukuafe. Neither are what you'd call dynamic. Tu'inukuafe really only in there for scrummaging and maul work. Bower as injury cover.

                              DeGroot is more athletic, but scrummaging and ability to play at test level are unexamined.

                              Further options are Aidan Ross and Alex Hodgman. Ross was very good in SRA, but faded in SRTT. Hodgman got suspended for a particularly stupid high tackle in SRA, but came back pretty well, and was very good in the SRTT final.

                              Apparently there's a young guy at the Crusaders, but did he play much NPC? I didn't notice him.

                              Atu Moli may play rugby again someday.

                              I suspect that Ofa Tu'ungafasi, with an off-season to recover from injury, will return to his 2019 role, and play a lot at loosehead.

                              sparkyS Offline
                              sparkyS Offline
                              sparky
                              wrote on last edited by sparky
                              #27

                              @tim I rate both De Groot and Hodgman, Bower less so. Karl T is a strength man but doesn't offer much with the ball in hand.

                              B 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • P Online
                                P Online
                                ploughboy
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #28

                                really hoping moli can get back on field. i thing he is listed as a loosehead at chiefs. norris needs to improve scrumming and was second pick for waikato at loosehead. great prospect great workrate but improvements needed to get to next level

                                1 Reply Last reply
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                                • sparkyS sparky

                                  @tim I rate both De Groot and Hodgman, Bower less so. Karl T is a strength man but doesn't offer much with the ball in hand.

                                  B Offline
                                  B Offline
                                  bobily2
                                  wrote on last edited by bobily2
                                  #29

                                  @sparky said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                                  @tim I rate both De Groot and Hodgman, Bower less so. Karl T is a strength man but doesn't offer much with the ball in hand.

                                  Karl T does actually seem to be okay on attack - he just doesn't carry as often as some of the props. Similarly, he doesn't make many tackles. Presumably he needs to keep working on his fitness.

                                  As much as I like the guy, unless he is winning scrums, there doesn't seem to be much reason to be picking him ahead of some of these other options e.g. Hodgman.

                                  BonesB 1 Reply Last reply
                                  1
                                  • B bobily2

                                    @sparky said in All Blacks depth 2022 & 2023:

                                    @tim I rate both De Groot and Hodgman, Bower less so. Karl T is a strength man but doesn't offer much with the ball in hand.

                                    Karl T does actually seem to be okay on attack - he just doesn't carry as often as some of the props. Similarly, he doesn't make many tackles. Presumably he needs to keep working on his fitness.

                                    As much as I like the guy, unless he is winning scrums, there doesn't seem to be much reason to be picking him ahead of some of these other options e.g. Hodgman.

                                    BonesB Offline
                                    BonesB Offline
                                    Bones
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #30

                                    @bobily2 yeah, similar to Franks at the end of his career - unless he's absolutely smashing it at scrum time instead of just being fairly reliable, there's no point unless nobody else can be fairly reliable.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                    • mariner4lifeM Online
                                      mariner4lifeM Online
                                      mariner4life
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #31

                                      Ypu could always rely on Franks to move bodies at ruck time. He was really excellent at it

                                      BonesB 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • mariner4lifeM mariner4life

                                        Ypu could always rely on Franks to move bodies at ruck time. He was really excellent at it

                                        BonesB Offline
                                        BonesB Offline
                                        Bones
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #32

                                        @mariner4life if he got there

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        1
                                        • C Offline
                                          C Offline
                                          cgrant
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #33

                                          October 2023 might be a year too far for Moody, and a year too early for the likes of Norris and Brewis.
                                          Bower's scrummaging and physicality are not at the required level against teams such as England, Ireland, France and SA.
                                          So it is urgent to develop players like De Groot and Hodgman. They are young, big, dynamic and physical. Their scrummaging needs a lot of improvement but this can be fixed. But I am more worried about their lack of mongrel. They must be tested during the series against Ireland where they would face the world's best THP. A serious challenge that should provide some answers or more head-scratching.

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