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All Blacks 2025

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  • gt12G gt12

    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

    Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

    Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    70.3% TK Howden
    69.8% Corey Kellow
    69.6% Ardie Savea
    68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
    68.2% Anton Segner
    67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

    Dominant Carry %
    56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    45.7 Peter Lakai
    44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
    43.8 Luke Jacobson
    43.1 TK Howden
    39.4 Brayden Iose
    39.4 Jahrome Brown
    39.2 Simon Parker
    39.1 Sean Withy
    37.2 Cam Christie

    Gainline %
    73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    73.5 Jahrome Brown
    72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    71.1 Samipeni Finau
    70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
    69.6 Simon Parker
    68.8 Ardie Savea
    68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
    68.2 Anton Segner
    66.7 Peter Lakai

    Tackle Evasion %
    34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    26.7 Ardie Savea
    22.8 Dalton Papali'i
    20.0 Jahrome Brown
    19.5 Luke Jacobson
    18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
    18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
    18.3 Brayden Iose
    16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
    15.8 Oliver Haig

    Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

    These are the players who appear the most.

    Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

    It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    Dominant Carry %,
    Gainline %,"

    Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

    Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.3% Xavier Numia
    76.9% Ollie Norris
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Asafo Aumua
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    75.0% Pasilio Tosi
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
    73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

    Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.1% Julian Savea
    75.3% AJ Lam
    71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
    67.0% Quinn Tupaea
    65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
    64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
    63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
    63.6% Dallas McLeod
    61.5% Billy Proctor
    59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

    FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

    I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
    Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

    B Offline
    B Offline
    brodean
    wrote on last edited by brodean
    #6785

    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

    Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

    Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    70.3% TK Howden
    69.8% Corey Kellow
    69.6% Ardie Savea
    68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
    68.2% Anton Segner
    67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

    Dominant Carry %
    56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    45.7 Peter Lakai
    44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
    43.8 Luke Jacobson
    43.1 TK Howden
    39.4 Brayden Iose
    39.4 Jahrome Brown
    39.2 Simon Parker
    39.1 Sean Withy
    37.2 Cam Christie

    Gainline %
    73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    73.5 Jahrome Brown
    72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    71.1 Samipeni Finau
    70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
    69.6 Simon Parker
    68.8 Ardie Savea
    68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
    68.2 Anton Segner
    66.7 Peter Lakai

    Tackle Evasion %
    34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    26.7 Ardie Savea
    22.8 Dalton Papali'i
    20.0 Jahrome Brown
    19.5 Luke Jacobson
    18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
    18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
    18.3 Brayden Iose
    16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
    15.8 Oliver Haig

    Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

    These are the players who appear the most.

    Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

    It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    Dominant Carry %,
    Gainline %,"

    Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

    Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.3% Xavier Numia
    76.9% Ollie Norris
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Asafo Aumua
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    75.0% Pasilio Tosi
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
    73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

    Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.1% Julian Savea
    75.3% AJ Lam
    71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
    67.0% Quinn Tupaea
    65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
    64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
    63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
    63.6% Dallas McLeod
    61.5% Billy Proctor
    59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

    FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

    I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
    Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

    That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

    gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

      @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

      Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

      No QuarterN Offline
      No QuarterN Offline
      No Quarter
      wrote on last edited by No Quarter
      #6786

      @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

      @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

      Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

      Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

      nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
      2
      • No QuarterN No Quarter

        @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

        @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

        Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

        Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

        nostrildamusN Offline
        nostrildamusN Offline
        nostrildamus
        wrote on last edited by
        #6787

        @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

        @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

        @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

        Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

        Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

        Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

        B 1 Reply Last reply
        1
        • nostrildamusN nostrildamus

          @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

          Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

          Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

          Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

          B Offline
          B Offline
          brodean
          wrote on last edited by
          #6788

          @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

          Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

          Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

          Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

          He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

          ShaquilleOatmealS nostrildamusN 2 Replies Last reply
          4
          • B brodean

            @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

            @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

            @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

            @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

            Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

            Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

            Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

            He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

            ShaquilleOatmealS Offline
            ShaquilleOatmealS Offline
            ShaquilleOatmeal
            wrote on last edited by ShaquilleOatmeal
            #6789

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

            @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

            @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

            @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

            Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

            Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

            Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

            He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

            “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

            taniwharugbyT B 2 Replies Last reply
            5
            • ShaquilleOatmealS ShaquilleOatmeal

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

              @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

              @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

              @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

              Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

              Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

              Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

              He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

              “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

              taniwharugbyT Offline
              taniwharugbyT Offline
              taniwharugby
              wrote on last edited by
              #6790

              @ShaquilleOatmeal that line of thinking has been about for many years

              1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • ShaquilleOatmealS ShaquilleOatmeal

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

                B Offline
                B Offline
                brodean
                wrote on last edited by brodean
                #6791

                @ShaquilleOatmeal said in All Blacks 2025:

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

                Correct.

                With regards to Ryan's selections these are my thoughts ( assume he had main say when he was with Foster too ). These are the players that debuted with him as forwards coach.

                Prop
                Tamaiti Williams
                Pasilio Tosi
                Ollie Norris

                Good selections for props.

                Lock
                Sam Darry
                Fabian Holland

                Good selections for locks.

                Loose Forwards
                Christian Lio-Willie
                Du'plessis Kirifi
                Peter Lakai
                Samipeni Finau
                Wallace Sititi

                Picking Lio-Willie and Kirifi over the likes of Papali'i, Sotutu and even Blackadder was a mistake imo. There is just too many small guys in our loose forwards mix. We have the smallest loose forwards mix in the Rugby Championship and the days of outfitting teams are over.
                .
                Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

                Picking Blackadder/Jacobson last year over Sotutu/Ioane.

                Including Vaa'i - picking 5 Chiefs loose forwards this year when they fail every year in SRP finals. They fail to hold their line and they fail to get over the line against the muscled up finals defences. It's the same for Cane's loosies. They do not deliver come finals time when things are on the line. Yet our loose forwards are made up entirely of Chiefs, Canes, and one from the MP bottom dwellers.

                The fact that we currently have zero Blue's and Crusaders loose forwards despite their finals results over the last 5 years in the squad is crazy.

                Ryan has squandered our loose forward strength.

                Hooker
                George Bell
                Brodie Mcalister

                Bell played ok for the AB's but ultimately Ryan picked two guys who were poor lineout throwers compared to Ricky Riccitelli. Riccitelli should have been selected last year and this was a big mistake by Ryan because now he's signed overseas. I don't see the upside of Mcalister. Yes he's strong but he's as slow as a prop and he can't throw to save his life.

                nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                7
                • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

                  @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

                  ACT CrusaderA Offline
                  ACT CrusaderA Offline
                  ACT Crusader
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #6792

                  @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

                  A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

                  B 1 Reply Last reply
                  3
                  • ACT CrusaderA ACT Crusader

                    @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

                    A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

                    B Offline
                    B Offline
                    brodean
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #6793

                    @ACT-Crusader said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

                    A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

                    That was noticable during the game.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    1
                    • B brodean

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      70.3% TK Howden
                      69.8% Corey Kellow
                      69.6% Ardie Savea
                      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                      68.2% Anton Segner
                      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                      Dominant Carry %
                      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      45.7 Peter Lakai
                      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                      43.8 Luke Jacobson
                      43.1 TK Howden
                      39.4 Brayden Iose
                      39.4 Jahrome Brown
                      39.2 Simon Parker
                      39.1 Sean Withy
                      37.2 Cam Christie

                      Gainline %
                      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      73.5 Jahrome Brown
                      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      71.1 Samipeni Finau
                      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                      69.6 Simon Parker
                      68.8 Ardie Savea
                      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                      68.2 Anton Segner
                      66.7 Peter Lakai

                      Tackle Evasion %
                      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      26.7 Ardie Savea
                      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                      20.0 Jahrome Brown
                      19.5 Luke Jacobson
                      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                      18.3 Brayden Iose
                      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                      15.8 Oliver Haig

                      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                      These are the players who appear the most.

                      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      Dominant Carry %,
                      Gainline %,"

                      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.3% Xavier Numia
                      76.9% Ollie Norris
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Asafo Aumua
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.1% Julian Savea
                      75.3% AJ Lam
                      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                      63.6% Dallas McLeod
                      61.5% Billy Proctor
                      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                      gt12G Offline
                      gt12G Offline
                      gt12
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #6794

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      70.3% TK Howden
                      69.8% Corey Kellow
                      69.6% Ardie Savea
                      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                      68.2% Anton Segner
                      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                      Dominant Carry %
                      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      45.7 Peter Lakai
                      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                      43.8 Luke Jacobson
                      43.1 TK Howden
                      39.4 Brayden Iose
                      39.4 Jahrome Brown
                      39.2 Simon Parker
                      39.1 Sean Withy
                      37.2 Cam Christie

                      Gainline %
                      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      73.5 Jahrome Brown
                      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      71.1 Samipeni Finau
                      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                      69.6 Simon Parker
                      68.8 Ardie Savea
                      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                      68.2 Anton Segner
                      66.7 Peter Lakai

                      Tackle Evasion %
                      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      26.7 Ardie Savea
                      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                      20.0 Jahrome Brown
                      19.5 Luke Jacobson
                      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                      18.3 Brayden Iose
                      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                      15.8 Oliver Haig

                      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                      These are the players who appear the most.

                      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      Dominant Carry %,
                      Gainline %,"

                      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.3% Xavier Numia
                      76.9% Ollie Norris
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Asafo Aumua
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.1% Julian Savea
                      75.3% AJ Lam
                      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                      63.6% Dallas McLeod
                      61.5% Billy Proctor
                      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                      Two points:

                      1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                      My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                      Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                      1. Sharing the carries

                      Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                      B boobooB 2 Replies Last reply
                      0
                      • FrankF Frank

                        Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                        As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                        Do we have any?

                        H Offline
                        H Offline
                        hikastags
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #6795

                        @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                        Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                        As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                        Do we have any?

                        Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                        FrankF 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • B brodean

                          @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                          Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                          Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                          Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                          He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                          nostrildamusN Offline
                          nostrildamusN Offline
                          nostrildamus
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #6796

                          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                          Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                          Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                          Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                          He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                          Thanks for the update.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • B brodean

                            @ShaquilleOatmeal said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                            Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                            Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                            Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                            He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                            “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

                            Correct.

                            With regards to Ryan's selections these are my thoughts ( assume he had main say when he was with Foster too ). These are the players that debuted with him as forwards coach.

                            Prop
                            Tamaiti Williams
                            Pasilio Tosi
                            Ollie Norris

                            Good selections for props.

                            Lock
                            Sam Darry
                            Fabian Holland

                            Good selections for locks.

                            Loose Forwards
                            Christian Lio-Willie
                            Du'plessis Kirifi
                            Peter Lakai
                            Samipeni Finau
                            Wallace Sititi

                            Picking Lio-Willie and Kirifi over the likes of Papali'i, Sotutu and even Blackadder was a mistake imo. There is just too many small guys in our loose forwards mix. We have the smallest loose forwards mix in the Rugby Championship and the days of outfitting teams are over.
                            .
                            Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

                            Picking Blackadder/Jacobson last year over Sotutu/Ioane.

                            Including Vaa'i - picking 5 Chiefs loose forwards this year when they fail every year in SRP finals. They fail to hold their line and they fail to get over the line against the muscled up finals defences. It's the same for Cane's loosies. They do not deliver come finals time when things are on the line. Yet our loose forwards are made up entirely of Chiefs, Canes, and one from the MP bottom dwellers.

                            The fact that we currently have zero Blue's and Crusaders loose forwards despite their finals results over the last 5 years in the squad is crazy.

                            Ryan has squandered our loose forward strength.

                            Hooker
                            George Bell
                            Brodie Mcalister

                            Bell played ok for the AB's but ultimately Ryan picked two guys who were poor lineout throwers compared to Ricky Riccitelli. Riccitelli should have been selected last year and this was a big mistake by Ryan because now he's signed overseas. I don't see the upside of Mcalister. Yes he's strong but he's as slow as a prop and he can't throw to save his life.

                            nostrildamusN Offline
                            nostrildamusN Offline
                            nostrildamus
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #6797

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

                            It might be even worse than that. Bringing Wallace back too early, playing Scooter who may have been nursing a longterm injury, playing a quickly injured Blackadder in 2024, a distant love affair with Shannon, Ryan's weak point seems to me to be loose forward selection.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            3
                            • gt12G gt12

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                              Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              76.7% Cam Christie
                              76.5% Oliver Haig
                              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                              74.6% Luke Jacobson
                              70.3% TK Howden
                              69.8% Corey Kellow
                              69.6% Ardie Savea
                              68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                              68.2% Anton Segner
                              67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                              Dominant Carry %
                              56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                              45.7 Peter Lakai
                              44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                              43.8 Luke Jacobson
                              43.1 TK Howden
                              39.4 Brayden Iose
                              39.4 Jahrome Brown
                              39.2 Simon Parker
                              39.1 Sean Withy
                              37.2 Cam Christie

                              Gainline %
                              73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                              73.5 Jahrome Brown
                              72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                              71.1 Samipeni Finau
                              70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                              69.6 Simon Parker
                              68.8 Ardie Savea
                              68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                              68.2 Anton Segner
                              66.7 Peter Lakai

                              Tackle Evasion %
                              34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                              26.7 Ardie Savea
                              22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                              20.0 Jahrome Brown
                              19.5 Luke Jacobson
                              18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                              18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                              18.3 Brayden Iose
                              16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                              15.8 Oliver Haig

                              Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                              These are the players who appear the most.

                              Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                              It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              Dominant Carry %,
                              Gainline %,"

                              Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                              Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              82.3% Xavier Numia
                              76.9% Ollie Norris
                              76.7% Cam Christie
                              76.5% Asafo Aumua
                              76.5% Oliver Haig
                              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                              75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                              74.6% Luke Jacobson
                              73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                              73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                              Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              82.1% Julian Savea
                              75.3% AJ Lam
                              71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                              67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                              65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                              64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                              63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                              63.6% Dallas McLeod
                              61.5% Billy Proctor
                              59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                              FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                              I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                              Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                              That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                              Two points:

                              1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                              My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                              Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                              1. Sharing the carries

                              Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                              B Offline
                              B Offline
                              brodean
                              wrote on last edited by brodean
                              #6798

                              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                              Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              76.7% Cam Christie
                              76.5% Oliver Haig
                              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                              74.6% Luke Jacobson
                              70.3% TK Howden
                              69.8% Corey Kellow
                              69.6% Ardie Savea
                              68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                              68.2% Anton Segner
                              67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                              Dominant Carry %
                              56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                              45.7 Peter Lakai
                              44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                              43.8 Luke Jacobson
                              43.1 TK Howden
                              39.4 Brayden Iose
                              39.4 Jahrome Brown
                              39.2 Simon Parker
                              39.1 Sean Withy
                              37.2 Cam Christie

                              Gainline %
                              73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                              73.5 Jahrome Brown
                              72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                              71.1 Samipeni Finau
                              70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                              69.6 Simon Parker
                              68.8 Ardie Savea
                              68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                              68.2 Anton Segner
                              66.7 Peter Lakai

                              Tackle Evasion %
                              34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                              26.7 Ardie Savea
                              22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                              20.0 Jahrome Brown
                              19.5 Luke Jacobson
                              18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                              18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                              18.3 Brayden Iose
                              16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                              15.8 Oliver Haig

                              Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                              These are the players who appear the most.

                              Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                              Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                              It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              Dominant Carry %,
                              Gainline %,"

                              Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                              Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              82.3% Xavier Numia
                              76.9% Ollie Norris
                              76.7% Cam Christie
                              76.5% Asafo Aumua
                              76.5% Oliver Haig
                              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                              75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                              74.6% Luke Jacobson
                              73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                              73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                              Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                              82.1% Julian Savea
                              75.3% AJ Lam
                              71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                              67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                              65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                              64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                              63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                              63.6% Dallas McLeod
                              61.5% Billy Proctor
                              59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                              FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                              I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                              Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                              That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                              Two points:

                              1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                              My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                              Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                              1. Sharing the carries

                              Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                              Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                              If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                              De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                              One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                              Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                              De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                              He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                              MN5M KruseK 2 Replies Last reply
                              6
                              • B brodean

                                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                                Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                76.7% Cam Christie
                                76.5% Oliver Haig
                                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                70.3% TK Howden
                                69.8% Corey Kellow
                                69.6% Ardie Savea
                                68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                                68.2% Anton Segner
                                67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                                Dominant Carry %
                                56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                45.7 Peter Lakai
                                44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                                43.8 Luke Jacobson
                                43.1 TK Howden
                                39.4 Brayden Iose
                                39.4 Jahrome Brown
                                39.2 Simon Parker
                                39.1 Sean Withy
                                37.2 Cam Christie

                                Gainline %
                                73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                73.5 Jahrome Brown
                                72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                71.1 Samipeni Finau
                                70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                                69.6 Simon Parker
                                68.8 Ardie Savea
                                68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                                68.2 Anton Segner
                                66.7 Peter Lakai

                                Tackle Evasion %
                                34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                26.7 Ardie Savea
                                22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                                20.0 Jahrome Brown
                                19.5 Luke Jacobson
                                18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                                18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                                18.3 Brayden Iose
                                16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                                15.8 Oliver Haig

                                Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                                These are the players who appear the most.

                                Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                                It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                Dominant Carry %,
                                Gainline %,"

                                Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                                Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                82.3% Xavier Numia
                                76.9% Ollie Norris
                                76.7% Cam Christie
                                76.5% Asafo Aumua
                                76.5% Oliver Haig
                                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                                73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                                Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                82.1% Julian Savea
                                75.3% AJ Lam
                                71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                                67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                                65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                                64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                                63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                                63.6% Dallas McLeod
                                61.5% Billy Proctor
                                59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                                FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                                I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                                Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                                That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                                Two points:

                                1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                                My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                                Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                                1. Sharing the carries

                                Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                                Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                                Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                                De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                                One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                                Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                                De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                                He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                                MN5M Online
                                MN5M Online
                                MN5
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #6799

                                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                                Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                76.7% Cam Christie
                                76.5% Oliver Haig
                                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                70.3% TK Howden
                                69.8% Corey Kellow
                                69.6% Ardie Savea
                                68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                                68.2% Anton Segner
                                67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                                Dominant Carry %
                                56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                45.7 Peter Lakai
                                44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                                43.8 Luke Jacobson
                                43.1 TK Howden
                                39.4 Brayden Iose
                                39.4 Jahrome Brown
                                39.2 Simon Parker
                                39.1 Sean Withy
                                37.2 Cam Christie

                                Gainline %
                                73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                73.5 Jahrome Brown
                                72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                71.1 Samipeni Finau
                                70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                                69.6 Simon Parker
                                68.8 Ardie Savea
                                68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                                68.2 Anton Segner
                                66.7 Peter Lakai

                                Tackle Evasion %
                                34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                26.7 Ardie Savea
                                22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                                20.0 Jahrome Brown
                                19.5 Luke Jacobson
                                18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                                18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                                18.3 Brayden Iose
                                16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                                15.8 Oliver Haig

                                Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                                These are the players who appear the most.

                                Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                                It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                Dominant Carry %,
                                Gainline %,"

                                Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                                Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                82.3% Xavier Numia
                                76.9% Ollie Norris
                                76.7% Cam Christie
                                76.5% Asafo Aumua
                                76.5% Oliver Haig
                                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                                73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                                Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                82.1% Julian Savea
                                75.3% AJ Lam
                                71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                                67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                                65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                                64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                                63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                                63.6% Dallas McLeod
                                61.5% Billy Proctor
                                59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                                FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                                I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                                Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                                That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                                Two points:

                                1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                                My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                                Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                                1. Sharing the carries

                                Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                                Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                                Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                                De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                                One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                                Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                                > De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                                He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                                De Groot is a tall brick shithouse who I imagine is an absolute beast in the weight room.

                                Why is it some guys have as much impact with ball in hand as a fly on a windscreen ?

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                1
                                • H hikastags

                                  @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                                  As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                                  Do we have any?

                                  Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                                  FrankF Offline
                                  FrankF Offline
                                  Frank
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #6800

                                  @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                                  As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                                  Do we have any?

                                  Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                                  Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                                  Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                                  nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                                  6
                                  • FrankF Frank

                                    @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                                    As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                                    Do we have any?

                                    Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                                    Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                                    Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                                    nostrildamusN Offline
                                    nostrildamusN Offline
                                    nostrildamus
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #6801

                                    @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                                    As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                                    Do we have any?

                                    Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                                    Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                                    Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                                    I was wondering about him.
                                    He's about Patrick's size though, isn't he? Minus 2 kg.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • gt12G gt12

                                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                                      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                      76.7% Cam Christie
                                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                      70.3% TK Howden
                                      69.8% Corey Kellow
                                      69.6% Ardie Savea
                                      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                                      68.2% Anton Segner
                                      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                                      Dominant Carry %
                                      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                      45.7 Peter Lakai
                                      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                                      43.8 Luke Jacobson
                                      43.1 TK Howden
                                      39.4 Brayden Iose
                                      39.4 Jahrome Brown
                                      39.2 Simon Parker
                                      39.1 Sean Withy
                                      37.2 Cam Christie

                                      Gainline %
                                      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                      73.5 Jahrome Brown
                                      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                      71.1 Samipeni Finau
                                      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                                      69.6 Simon Parker
                                      68.8 Ardie Savea
                                      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                                      68.2 Anton Segner
                                      66.7 Peter Lakai

                                      Tackle Evasion %
                                      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                      26.7 Ardie Savea
                                      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                                      20.0 Jahrome Brown
                                      19.5 Luke Jacobson
                                      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                                      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                                      18.3 Brayden Iose
                                      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                                      15.8 Oliver Haig

                                      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                                      These are the players who appear the most.

                                      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                                      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                      Dominant Carry %,
                                      Gainline %,"

                                      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                                      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                      82.3% Xavier Numia
                                      76.9% Ollie Norris
                                      76.7% Cam Christie
                                      76.5% Asafo Aumua
                                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                                      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                                      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                      82.1% Julian Savea
                                      75.3% AJ Lam
                                      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                                      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                                      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                                      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                                      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                                      63.6% Dallas McLeod
                                      61.5% Billy Proctor
                                      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                                      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                                      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                                      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                                      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                                      Two points:

                                      1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                                      My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                                      Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                                      1. Sharing the carries

                                      Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                                      boobooB Online
                                      boobooB Online
                                      booboo
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #6802

                                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                                      Is that possible?

                                      gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
                                      3
                                      • boobooB booboo

                                        @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                                        Is that possible?

                                        gt12G Offline
                                        gt12G Offline
                                        gt12
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #6803

                                        @booboo said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                                        Is that possible?

                                        Firstly, shut up pedant.

                                        Secondly, yeah, if he plays 4 games, has 8 runs over those games, and gets over the gain line 6 times.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        5
                                        • R reprobate

                                          @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                                          P Offline
                                          P Offline
                                          pakman
                                          wrote on last edited by pakman
                                          #6804

                                          @reprobate said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                                          Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                                          nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
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