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All Blacks 2025

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  • ACT CrusaderA ACT Crusader

    @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

    @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

    A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

    B Offline
    B Offline
    brodean
    wrote on last edited by
    #6793

    @ACT-Crusader said in All Blacks 2025:

    @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

    @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

    A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

    That was noticable during the game.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
    • B brodean

      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      76.7% Cam Christie
      76.5% Oliver Haig
      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
      74.6% Luke Jacobson
      70.3% TK Howden
      69.8% Corey Kellow
      69.6% Ardie Savea
      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
      68.2% Anton Segner
      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

      Dominant Carry %
      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
      45.7 Peter Lakai
      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
      43.8 Luke Jacobson
      43.1 TK Howden
      39.4 Brayden Iose
      39.4 Jahrome Brown
      39.2 Simon Parker
      39.1 Sean Withy
      37.2 Cam Christie

      Gainline %
      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
      73.5 Jahrome Brown
      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
      71.1 Samipeni Finau
      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
      69.6 Simon Parker
      68.8 Ardie Savea
      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
      68.2 Anton Segner
      66.7 Peter Lakai

      Tackle Evasion %
      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
      26.7 Ardie Savea
      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
      20.0 Jahrome Brown
      19.5 Luke Jacobson
      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
      18.3 Brayden Iose
      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
      15.8 Oliver Haig

      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

      These are the players who appear the most.

      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      Dominant Carry %,
      Gainline %,"

      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      82.3% Xavier Numia
      76.9% Ollie Norris
      76.7% Cam Christie
      76.5% Asafo Aumua
      76.5% Oliver Haig
      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
      74.6% Luke Jacobson
      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      82.1% Julian Savea
      75.3% AJ Lam
      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
      63.6% Dallas McLeod
      61.5% Billy Proctor
      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

      gt12G Offline
      gt12G Offline
      gt12
      wrote on last edited by
      #6794

      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      76.7% Cam Christie
      76.5% Oliver Haig
      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
      74.6% Luke Jacobson
      70.3% TK Howden
      69.8% Corey Kellow
      69.6% Ardie Savea
      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
      68.2% Anton Segner
      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

      Dominant Carry %
      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
      45.7 Peter Lakai
      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
      43.8 Luke Jacobson
      43.1 TK Howden
      39.4 Brayden Iose
      39.4 Jahrome Brown
      39.2 Simon Parker
      39.1 Sean Withy
      37.2 Cam Christie

      Gainline %
      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
      73.5 Jahrome Brown
      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
      71.1 Samipeni Finau
      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
      69.6 Simon Parker
      68.8 Ardie Savea
      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
      68.2 Anton Segner
      66.7 Peter Lakai

      Tackle Evasion %
      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
      26.7 Ardie Savea
      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
      20.0 Jahrome Brown
      19.5 Luke Jacobson
      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
      18.3 Brayden Iose
      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
      15.8 Oliver Haig

      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

      These are the players who appear the most.

      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      Dominant Carry %,
      Gainline %,"

      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      82.3% Xavier Numia
      76.9% Ollie Norris
      76.7% Cam Christie
      76.5% Asafo Aumua
      76.5% Oliver Haig
      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
      74.6% Luke Jacobson
      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
      82.1% Julian Savea
      75.3% AJ Lam
      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
      63.6% Dallas McLeod
      61.5% Billy Proctor
      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

      Two points:

      1. Issue with reversion to the mean

      My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

      Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

      1. Sharing the carries

      Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

      B boobooB 2 Replies Last reply
      0
      • FrankF Frank

        Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
        As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
        Do we have any?

        H Offline
        H Offline
        hikastags
        wrote on last edited by
        #6795

        @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

        Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
        As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
        Do we have any?

        Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

        FrankF 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • B brodean

          @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

          Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

          Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

          Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

          He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

          nostrildamusN Online
          nostrildamusN Online
          nostrildamus
          wrote on last edited by
          #6796

          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

          @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

          Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

          Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

          Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

          He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

          Thanks for the update.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • B brodean

            @ShaquilleOatmeal said in All Blacks 2025:

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

            @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

            @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

            @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

            Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

            Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

            Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

            He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

            “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

            Correct.

            With regards to Ryan's selections these are my thoughts ( assume he had main say when he was with Foster too ). These are the players that debuted with him as forwards coach.

            Prop
            Tamaiti Williams
            Pasilio Tosi
            Ollie Norris

            Good selections for props.

            Lock
            Sam Darry
            Fabian Holland

            Good selections for locks.

            Loose Forwards
            Christian Lio-Willie
            Du'plessis Kirifi
            Peter Lakai
            Samipeni Finau
            Wallace Sititi

            Picking Lio-Willie and Kirifi over the likes of Papali'i, Sotutu and even Blackadder was a mistake imo. There is just too many small guys in our loose forwards mix. We have the smallest loose forwards mix in the Rugby Championship and the days of outfitting teams are over.
            .
            Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

            Picking Blackadder/Jacobson last year over Sotutu/Ioane.

            Including Vaa'i - picking 5 Chiefs loose forwards this year when they fail every year in SRP finals. They fail to hold their line and they fail to get over the line against the muscled up finals defences. It's the same for Cane's loosies. They do not deliver come finals time when things are on the line. Yet our loose forwards are made up entirely of Chiefs, Canes, and one from the MP bottom dwellers.

            The fact that we currently have zero Blue's and Crusaders loose forwards despite their finals results over the last 5 years in the squad is crazy.

            Ryan has squandered our loose forward strength.

            Hooker
            George Bell
            Brodie Mcalister

            Bell played ok for the AB's but ultimately Ryan picked two guys who were poor lineout throwers compared to Ricky Riccitelli. Riccitelli should have been selected last year and this was a big mistake by Ryan because now he's signed overseas. I don't see the upside of Mcalister. Yes he's strong but he's as slow as a prop and he can't throw to save his life.

            nostrildamusN Online
            nostrildamusN Online
            nostrildamus
            wrote on last edited by
            #6797

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

            It might be even worse than that. Bringing Wallace back too early, playing Scooter who may have been nursing a longterm injury, playing a quickly injured Blackadder in 2024, a distant love affair with Shannon, Ryan's weak point seems to me to be loose forward selection.

            1 Reply Last reply
            3
            • gt12G gt12

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

              Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              70.3% TK Howden
              69.8% Corey Kellow
              69.6% Ardie Savea
              68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
              68.2% Anton Segner
              67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

              Dominant Carry %
              56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              45.7 Peter Lakai
              44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
              43.8 Luke Jacobson
              43.1 TK Howden
              39.4 Brayden Iose
              39.4 Jahrome Brown
              39.2 Simon Parker
              39.1 Sean Withy
              37.2 Cam Christie

              Gainline %
              73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              73.5 Jahrome Brown
              72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              71.1 Samipeni Finau
              70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
              69.6 Simon Parker
              68.8 Ardie Savea
              68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
              68.2 Anton Segner
              66.7 Peter Lakai

              Tackle Evasion %
              34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              26.7 Ardie Savea
              22.8 Dalton Papali'i
              20.0 Jahrome Brown
              19.5 Luke Jacobson
              18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
              18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
              18.3 Brayden Iose
              16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
              15.8 Oliver Haig

              Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

              These are the players who appear the most.

              Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

              It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              Dominant Carry %,
              Gainline %,"

              Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

              Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.3% Xavier Numia
              76.9% Ollie Norris
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Asafo Aumua
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              75.0% Pasilio Tosi
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
              73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

              Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.1% Julian Savea
              75.3% AJ Lam
              71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
              67.0% Quinn Tupaea
              65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
              64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
              63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
              63.6% Dallas McLeod
              61.5% Billy Proctor
              59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

              FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

              I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
              Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

              That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

              Two points:

              1. Issue with reversion to the mean

              My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

              Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

              1. Sharing the carries

              Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

              B Offline
              B Offline
              brodean
              wrote on last edited by brodean
              #6798

              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

              Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              70.3% TK Howden
              69.8% Corey Kellow
              69.6% Ardie Savea
              68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
              68.2% Anton Segner
              67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

              Dominant Carry %
              56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              45.7 Peter Lakai
              44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
              43.8 Luke Jacobson
              43.1 TK Howden
              39.4 Brayden Iose
              39.4 Jahrome Brown
              39.2 Simon Parker
              39.1 Sean Withy
              37.2 Cam Christie

              Gainline %
              73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              73.5 Jahrome Brown
              72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              71.1 Samipeni Finau
              70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
              69.6 Simon Parker
              68.8 Ardie Savea
              68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
              68.2 Anton Segner
              66.7 Peter Lakai

              Tackle Evasion %
              34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              26.7 Ardie Savea
              22.8 Dalton Papali'i
              20.0 Jahrome Brown
              19.5 Luke Jacobson
              18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
              18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
              18.3 Brayden Iose
              16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
              15.8 Oliver Haig

              Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

              These are the players who appear the most.

              Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

              It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              Dominant Carry %,
              Gainline %,"

              Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

              Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.3% Xavier Numia
              76.9% Ollie Norris
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Asafo Aumua
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              75.0% Pasilio Tosi
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
              73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

              Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.1% Julian Savea
              75.3% AJ Lam
              71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
              67.0% Quinn Tupaea
              65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
              64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
              63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
              63.6% Dallas McLeod
              61.5% Billy Proctor
              59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

              FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

              I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
              Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

              That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

              Two points:

              1. Issue with reversion to the mean

              My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

              Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

              1. Sharing the carries

              Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

              Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

              If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

              De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

              One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

              Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

              De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

              He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

              MN5M KruseK 2 Replies Last reply
              6
              • B brodean

                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                76.7% Cam Christie
                76.5% Oliver Haig
                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                70.3% TK Howden
                69.8% Corey Kellow
                69.6% Ardie Savea
                68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                68.2% Anton Segner
                67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                Dominant Carry %
                56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                45.7 Peter Lakai
                44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                43.8 Luke Jacobson
                43.1 TK Howden
                39.4 Brayden Iose
                39.4 Jahrome Brown
                39.2 Simon Parker
                39.1 Sean Withy
                37.2 Cam Christie

                Gainline %
                73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                73.5 Jahrome Brown
                72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                71.1 Samipeni Finau
                70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                69.6 Simon Parker
                68.8 Ardie Savea
                68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                68.2 Anton Segner
                66.7 Peter Lakai

                Tackle Evasion %
                34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                26.7 Ardie Savea
                22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                20.0 Jahrome Brown
                19.5 Luke Jacobson
                18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                18.3 Brayden Iose
                16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                15.8 Oliver Haig

                Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                These are the players who appear the most.

                Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                Dominant Carry %,
                Gainline %,"

                Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                82.3% Xavier Numia
                76.9% Ollie Norris
                76.7% Cam Christie
                76.5% Asafo Aumua
                76.5% Oliver Haig
                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                82.1% Julian Savea
                75.3% AJ Lam
                71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                63.6% Dallas McLeod
                61.5% Billy Proctor
                59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                Two points:

                1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                1. Sharing the carries

                Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                MN5M Offline
                MN5M Offline
                MN5
                wrote on last edited by
                #6799

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                76.7% Cam Christie
                76.5% Oliver Haig
                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                70.3% TK Howden
                69.8% Corey Kellow
                69.6% Ardie Savea
                68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                68.2% Anton Segner
                67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                Dominant Carry %
                56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                45.7 Peter Lakai
                44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                43.8 Luke Jacobson
                43.1 TK Howden
                39.4 Brayden Iose
                39.4 Jahrome Brown
                39.2 Simon Parker
                39.1 Sean Withy
                37.2 Cam Christie

                Gainline %
                73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                73.5 Jahrome Brown
                72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                71.1 Samipeni Finau
                70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                69.6 Simon Parker
                68.8 Ardie Savea
                68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                68.2 Anton Segner
                66.7 Peter Lakai

                Tackle Evasion %
                34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                26.7 Ardie Savea
                22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                20.0 Jahrome Brown
                19.5 Luke Jacobson
                18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                18.3 Brayden Iose
                16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                15.8 Oliver Haig

                Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                These are the players who appear the most.

                Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                Dominant Carry %,
                Gainline %,"

                Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                82.3% Xavier Numia
                76.9% Ollie Norris
                76.7% Cam Christie
                76.5% Asafo Aumua
                76.5% Oliver Haig
                75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                74.6% Luke Jacobson
                73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                82.1% Julian Savea
                75.3% AJ Lam
                71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                63.6% Dallas McLeod
                61.5% Billy Proctor
                59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                Two points:

                1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                1. Sharing the carries

                Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                > De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                De Groot is a tall brick shithouse who I imagine is an absolute beast in the weight room.

                Why is it some guys have as much impact with ball in hand as a fly on a windscreen ?

                1 Reply Last reply
                1
                • H hikastags

                  @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                  Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                  As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                  Do we have any?

                  Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                  FrankF Offline
                  FrankF Offline
                  Frank
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #6800

                  @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                  Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                  As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                  Do we have any?

                  Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                  Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                  Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                  nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                  6
                  • FrankF Frank

                    @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                    Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                    As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                    Do we have any?

                    Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                    Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                    Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                    nostrildamusN Online
                    nostrildamusN Online
                    nostrildamus
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #6801

                    @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                    Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                    As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                    Do we have any?

                    Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                    Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                    Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                    I was wondering about him.
                    He's about Patrick's size though, isn't he? Minus 2 kg.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • gt12G gt12

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      70.3% TK Howden
                      69.8% Corey Kellow
                      69.6% Ardie Savea
                      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                      68.2% Anton Segner
                      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                      Dominant Carry %
                      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      45.7 Peter Lakai
                      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                      43.8 Luke Jacobson
                      43.1 TK Howden
                      39.4 Brayden Iose
                      39.4 Jahrome Brown
                      39.2 Simon Parker
                      39.1 Sean Withy
                      37.2 Cam Christie

                      Gainline %
                      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      73.5 Jahrome Brown
                      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      71.1 Samipeni Finau
                      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                      69.6 Simon Parker
                      68.8 Ardie Savea
                      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                      68.2 Anton Segner
                      66.7 Peter Lakai

                      Tackle Evasion %
                      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      26.7 Ardie Savea
                      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                      20.0 Jahrome Brown
                      19.5 Luke Jacobson
                      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                      18.3 Brayden Iose
                      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                      15.8 Oliver Haig

                      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                      These are the players who appear the most.

                      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      Dominant Carry %,
                      Gainline %,"

                      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.3% Xavier Numia
                      76.9% Ollie Norris
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Asafo Aumua
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.1% Julian Savea
                      75.3% AJ Lam
                      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                      63.6% Dallas McLeod
                      61.5% Billy Proctor
                      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                      Two points:

                      1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                      My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                      Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                      1. Sharing the carries

                      Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                      boobooB Offline
                      boobooB Offline
                      booboo
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #6802

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                      Is that possible?

                      gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
                      3
                      • boobooB booboo

                        @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                        two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                        Is that possible?

                        gt12G Offline
                        gt12G Offline
                        gt12
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #6803

                        @booboo said in All Blacks 2025:

                        @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                        two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                        Is that possible?

                        Firstly, shut up pedant.

                        Secondly, yeah, if he plays 4 games, has 8 runs over those games, and gets over the gain line 6 times.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        5
                        • R reprobate

                          @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                          P Offline
                          P Offline
                          pakman
                          wrote on last edited by pakman
                          #6804

                          @reprobate said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                          Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                          nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                          2
                          • B brodean

                            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                            Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            76.7% Cam Christie
                            76.5% Oliver Haig
                            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                            74.6% Luke Jacobson
                            70.3% TK Howden
                            69.8% Corey Kellow
                            69.6% Ardie Savea
                            68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                            68.2% Anton Segner
                            67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                            Dominant Carry %
                            56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                            45.7 Peter Lakai
                            44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                            43.8 Luke Jacobson
                            43.1 TK Howden
                            39.4 Brayden Iose
                            39.4 Jahrome Brown
                            39.2 Simon Parker
                            39.1 Sean Withy
                            37.2 Cam Christie

                            Gainline %
                            73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                            73.5 Jahrome Brown
                            72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                            71.1 Samipeni Finau
                            70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                            69.6 Simon Parker
                            68.8 Ardie Savea
                            68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                            68.2 Anton Segner
                            66.7 Peter Lakai

                            Tackle Evasion %
                            34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                            26.7 Ardie Savea
                            22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                            20.0 Jahrome Brown
                            19.5 Luke Jacobson
                            18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                            18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                            18.3 Brayden Iose
                            16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                            15.8 Oliver Haig

                            Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                            These are the players who appear the most.

                            Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                            It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            Dominant Carry %,
                            Gainline %,"

                            Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                            Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            82.3% Xavier Numia
                            76.9% Ollie Norris
                            76.7% Cam Christie
                            76.5% Asafo Aumua
                            76.5% Oliver Haig
                            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                            75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                            74.6% Luke Jacobson
                            73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                            73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                            Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            82.1% Julian Savea
                            75.3% AJ Lam
                            71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                            67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                            65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                            64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                            63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                            63.6% Dallas McLeod
                            61.5% Billy Proctor
                            59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                            FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                            I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                            Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                            That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                            Two points:

                            1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                            My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                            Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                            1. Sharing the carries

                            Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                            Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                            Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                            If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                            De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                            One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                            Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                            De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                            He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                            KruseK Offline
                            KruseK Offline
                            Kruse
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #6805

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                            Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                            Great carry Scooter!
                            You're the man Ardie!

                            BonesB 1 Reply Last reply
                            8
                            • KruseK Kruse

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                              Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                              Great carry Scooter!
                              You're the man Ardie!

                              BonesB Offline
                              BonesB Offline
                              Bones
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #6806

                              @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                              Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                              Great carry Scooter!
                              You're the man Ardie!

                              Great haircut Beauden.
                              Thanks Jordie.

                              taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
                              4
                              • BonesB Bones

                                @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                Great carry Scooter!
                                You're the man Ardie!

                                Great haircut Beauden.
                                Thanks Jordie.

                                taniwharugbyT Offline
                                taniwharugbyT Offline
                                taniwharugby
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #6807

                                @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                Great carry Scooter!
                                You're the man Ardie!

                                Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

                                P 1 Reply Last reply
                                4
                                • P Offline
                                  P Offline
                                  pakman
                                  wrote on last edited by pakman
                                  #6808

                                  I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                  Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                  voodooV nonpartizanN 2 Replies Last reply
                                  4
                                  • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

                                    @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                    Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                    Great carry Scooter!
                                    You're the man Ardie!

                                    Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                    Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

                                    P Offline
                                    P Offline
                                    pakman
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #6809

                                    @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                    Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                    Great carry Scooter!
                                    You're the man Ardie!

                                    Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                    Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    2
                                    • B Offline
                                      B Offline
                                      brodean
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #6810

                                      The loose forwards should also complement each other in addition to the compliments.

                                      The compliments shouldn't extend to backs.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      1
                                      • P pakman

                                        I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                        Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                        voodooV Offline
                                        voodooV Offline
                                        voodoo
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #6811

                                        @pakman said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                        Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                        it was the same when Rieko started, not sure people are only now seeing it

                                        ACT CrusaderA 1 Reply Last reply
                                        5
                                        • P pakman

                                          @reprobate said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                                          Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                                          nostrildamusN Online
                                          nostrildamusN Online
                                          nostrildamus
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #6812

                                          @pakman said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                                          Well Eddie should know, he certainly delivered devastating cleanouts at/of the Wallabies.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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