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All Blacks 2025

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Sports Talk
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  • ShaquilleOatmealS ShaquilleOatmeal

    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

    @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

    @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

    @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

    @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

    Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

    Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

    Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

    He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

    “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    wrote on last edited by
    #6790

    @ShaquilleOatmeal that line of thinking has been about for many years

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • ShaquilleOatmealS ShaquilleOatmeal

      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

      @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

      @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

      @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

      @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

      Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

      Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

      Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

      He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

      “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

      B Offline
      B Offline
      brodean
      wrote on last edited by brodean
      #6791

      @ShaquilleOatmeal said in All Blacks 2025:

      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

      @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

      @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

      @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

      @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

      Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

      Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

      Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

      He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

      “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

      Correct.

      With regards to Ryan's selections these are my thoughts ( assume he had main say when he was with Foster too ). These are the players that debuted with him as forwards coach.

      Prop
      Tamaiti Williams
      Pasilio Tosi
      Ollie Norris

      Good selections for props.

      Lock
      Sam Darry
      Fabian Holland

      Good selections for locks.

      Loose Forwards
      Christian Lio-Willie
      Du'plessis Kirifi
      Peter Lakai
      Samipeni Finau
      Wallace Sititi

      Picking Lio-Willie and Kirifi over the likes of Papali'i, Sotutu and even Blackadder was a mistake imo. There is just too many small guys in our loose forwards mix. We have the smallest loose forwards mix in the Rugby Championship and the days of outfitting teams are over.
      .
      Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

      Picking Blackadder/Jacobson last year over Sotutu/Ioane.

      Including Vaa'i - picking 5 Chiefs loose forwards this year when they fail every year in SRP finals. They fail to hold their line and they fail to get over the line against the muscled up finals defences. It's the same for Cane's loosies. They do not deliver come finals time when things are on the line. Yet our loose forwards are made up entirely of Chiefs, Canes, and one from the MP bottom dwellers.

      The fact that we currently have zero Blue's and Crusaders loose forwards despite their finals results over the last 5 years in the squad is crazy.

      Ryan has squandered our loose forward strength.

      Hooker
      George Bell
      Brodie Mcalister

      Bell played ok for the AB's but ultimately Ryan picked two guys who were poor lineout throwers compared to Ricky Riccitelli. Riccitelli should have been selected last year and this was a big mistake by Ryan because now he's signed overseas. I don't see the upside of Mcalister. Yes he's strong but he's as slow as a prop and he can't throw to save his life.

      nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
      7
      • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

        @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

        ACT CrusaderA Offline
        ACT CrusaderA Offline
        ACT Crusader
        wrote on last edited by
        #6792

        @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

        @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

        A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

        B 1 Reply Last reply
        3
        • ACT CrusaderA ACT Crusader

          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

          @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

          A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

          B Offline
          B Offline
          brodean
          wrote on last edited by
          #6793

          @ACT-Crusader said in All Blacks 2025:

          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

          @stodders and yet we kick so much possession away.

          A much better pass/kicking ratio by the ABs on the weekend. 1 kick for every 13 passes. Far more positive with the ball.

          That was noticable during the game.

          1 Reply Last reply
          1
          • B brodean

            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

            Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            70.3% TK Howden
            69.8% Corey Kellow
            69.6% Ardie Savea
            68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
            68.2% Anton Segner
            67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

            Dominant Carry %
            56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            45.7 Peter Lakai
            44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
            43.8 Luke Jacobson
            43.1 TK Howden
            39.4 Brayden Iose
            39.4 Jahrome Brown
            39.2 Simon Parker
            39.1 Sean Withy
            37.2 Cam Christie

            Gainline %
            73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            73.5 Jahrome Brown
            72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            71.1 Samipeni Finau
            70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
            69.6 Simon Parker
            68.8 Ardie Savea
            68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
            68.2 Anton Segner
            66.7 Peter Lakai

            Tackle Evasion %
            34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            26.7 Ardie Savea
            22.8 Dalton Papali'i
            20.0 Jahrome Brown
            19.5 Luke Jacobson
            18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
            18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
            18.3 Brayden Iose
            16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
            15.8 Oliver Haig

            Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

            These are the players who appear the most.

            Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

            It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            Dominant Carry %,
            Gainline %,"

            Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

            Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.3% Xavier Numia
            76.9% Ollie Norris
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Asafo Aumua
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            75.0% Pasilio Tosi
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
            73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

            Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.1% Julian Savea
            75.3% AJ Lam
            71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
            67.0% Quinn Tupaea
            65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
            64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
            63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
            63.6% Dallas McLeod
            61.5% Billy Proctor
            59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

            FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

            I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
            Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

            That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

            gt12G Offline
            gt12G Offline
            gt12
            wrote on last edited by
            #6794

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

            Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            70.3% TK Howden
            69.8% Corey Kellow
            69.6% Ardie Savea
            68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
            68.2% Anton Segner
            67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

            Dominant Carry %
            56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            45.7 Peter Lakai
            44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
            43.8 Luke Jacobson
            43.1 TK Howden
            39.4 Brayden Iose
            39.4 Jahrome Brown
            39.2 Simon Parker
            39.1 Sean Withy
            37.2 Cam Christie

            Gainline %
            73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            73.5 Jahrome Brown
            72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            71.1 Samipeni Finau
            70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
            69.6 Simon Parker
            68.8 Ardie Savea
            68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
            68.2 Anton Segner
            66.7 Peter Lakai

            Tackle Evasion %
            34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            26.7 Ardie Savea
            22.8 Dalton Papali'i
            20.0 Jahrome Brown
            19.5 Luke Jacobson
            18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
            18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
            18.3 Brayden Iose
            16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
            15.8 Oliver Haig

            Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

            These are the players who appear the most.

            Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

            It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            Dominant Carry %,
            Gainline %,"

            Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

            Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.3% Xavier Numia
            76.9% Ollie Norris
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Asafo Aumua
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            75.0% Pasilio Tosi
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
            73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

            Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.1% Julian Savea
            75.3% AJ Lam
            71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
            67.0% Quinn Tupaea
            65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
            64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
            63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
            63.6% Dallas McLeod
            61.5% Billy Proctor
            59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

            FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

            I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
            Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

            That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

            Two points:

            1. Issue with reversion to the mean

            My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

            Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

            1. Sharing the carries

            Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

            B boobooB 2 Replies Last reply
            0
            • FrankF Frank

              Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
              As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
              Do we have any?

              H Offline
              H Offline
              hikastags
              wrote on last edited by
              #6795

              @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

              Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
              As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
              Do we have any?

              Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

              FrankF 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • B brodean

                @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                nostrildamusN Offline
                nostrildamusN Offline
                nostrildamus
                wrote on last edited by
                #6796

                @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                Thanks for the update.

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • B brodean

                  @ShaquilleOatmeal said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

                  Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

                  Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

                  Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

                  He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

                  “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

                  Correct.

                  With regards to Ryan's selections these are my thoughts ( assume he had main say when he was with Foster too ). These are the players that debuted with him as forwards coach.

                  Prop
                  Tamaiti Williams
                  Pasilio Tosi
                  Ollie Norris

                  Good selections for props.

                  Lock
                  Sam Darry
                  Fabian Holland

                  Good selections for locks.

                  Loose Forwards
                  Christian Lio-Willie
                  Du'plessis Kirifi
                  Peter Lakai
                  Samipeni Finau
                  Wallace Sititi

                  Picking Lio-Willie and Kirifi over the likes of Papali'i, Sotutu and even Blackadder was a mistake imo. There is just too many small guys in our loose forwards mix. We have the smallest loose forwards mix in the Rugby Championship and the days of outfitting teams are over.
                  .
                  Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

                  Picking Blackadder/Jacobson last year over Sotutu/Ioane.

                  Including Vaa'i - picking 5 Chiefs loose forwards this year when they fail every year in SRP finals. They fail to hold their line and they fail to get over the line against the muscled up finals defences. It's the same for Cane's loosies. They do not deliver come finals time when things are on the line. Yet our loose forwards are made up entirely of Chiefs, Canes, and one from the MP bottom dwellers.

                  The fact that we currently have zero Blue's and Crusaders loose forwards despite their finals results over the last 5 years in the squad is crazy.

                  Ryan has squandered our loose forward strength.

                  Hooker
                  George Bell
                  Brodie Mcalister

                  Bell played ok for the AB's but ultimately Ryan picked two guys who were poor lineout throwers compared to Ricky Riccitelli. Riccitelli should have been selected last year and this was a big mistake by Ryan because now he's signed overseas. I don't see the upside of Mcalister. Yes he's strong but he's as slow as a prop and he can't throw to save his life.

                  nostrildamusN Offline
                  nostrildamusN Offline
                  nostrildamus
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #6797

                  @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                  Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

                  It might be even worse than that. Bringing Wallace back too early, playing Scooter who may have been nursing a longterm injury, playing a quickly injured Blackadder in 2024, a distant love affair with Shannon, Ryan's weak point seems to me to be loose forward selection.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  3
                  • gt12G gt12

                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                    Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                    Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    76.7% Cam Christie
                    76.5% Oliver Haig
                    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                    74.6% Luke Jacobson
                    70.3% TK Howden
                    69.8% Corey Kellow
                    69.6% Ardie Savea
                    68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                    68.2% Anton Segner
                    67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                    Dominant Carry %
                    56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                    45.7 Peter Lakai
                    44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                    43.8 Luke Jacobson
                    43.1 TK Howden
                    39.4 Brayden Iose
                    39.4 Jahrome Brown
                    39.2 Simon Parker
                    39.1 Sean Withy
                    37.2 Cam Christie

                    Gainline %
                    73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                    73.5 Jahrome Brown
                    72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                    71.1 Samipeni Finau
                    70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                    69.6 Simon Parker
                    68.8 Ardie Savea
                    68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                    68.2 Anton Segner
                    66.7 Peter Lakai

                    Tackle Evasion %
                    34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                    26.7 Ardie Savea
                    22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                    20.0 Jahrome Brown
                    19.5 Luke Jacobson
                    18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                    18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                    18.3 Brayden Iose
                    16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                    15.8 Oliver Haig

                    Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                    These are the players who appear the most.

                    Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                    It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    Dominant Carry %,
                    Gainline %,"

                    Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                    Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    82.3% Xavier Numia
                    76.9% Ollie Norris
                    76.7% Cam Christie
                    76.5% Asafo Aumua
                    76.5% Oliver Haig
                    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                    75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                    74.6% Luke Jacobson
                    73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                    73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                    Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    82.1% Julian Savea
                    75.3% AJ Lam
                    71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                    67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                    65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                    64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                    63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                    63.6% Dallas McLeod
                    61.5% Billy Proctor
                    59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                    FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                    I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                    Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                    That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                    Two points:

                    1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                    My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                    Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                    1. Sharing the carries

                    Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                    B Offline
                    B Offline
                    brodean
                    wrote on last edited by brodean
                    #6798

                    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                    Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                    Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    76.7% Cam Christie
                    76.5% Oliver Haig
                    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                    74.6% Luke Jacobson
                    70.3% TK Howden
                    69.8% Corey Kellow
                    69.6% Ardie Savea
                    68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                    68.2% Anton Segner
                    67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                    Dominant Carry %
                    56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                    45.7 Peter Lakai
                    44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                    43.8 Luke Jacobson
                    43.1 TK Howden
                    39.4 Brayden Iose
                    39.4 Jahrome Brown
                    39.2 Simon Parker
                    39.1 Sean Withy
                    37.2 Cam Christie

                    Gainline %
                    73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                    73.5 Jahrome Brown
                    72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                    71.1 Samipeni Finau
                    70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                    69.6 Simon Parker
                    68.8 Ardie Savea
                    68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                    68.2 Anton Segner
                    66.7 Peter Lakai

                    Tackle Evasion %
                    34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                    26.7 Ardie Savea
                    22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                    20.0 Jahrome Brown
                    19.5 Luke Jacobson
                    18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                    18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                    18.3 Brayden Iose
                    16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                    15.8 Oliver Haig

                    Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                    These are the players who appear the most.

                    Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                    It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    Dominant Carry %,
                    Gainline %,"

                    Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                    Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    82.3% Xavier Numia
                    76.9% Ollie Norris
                    76.7% Cam Christie
                    76.5% Asafo Aumua
                    76.5% Oliver Haig
                    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                    75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                    74.6% Luke Jacobson
                    73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                    73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                    Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    82.1% Julian Savea
                    75.3% AJ Lam
                    71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                    67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                    65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                    64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                    63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                    63.6% Dallas McLeod
                    61.5% Billy Proctor
                    59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                    FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                    I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                    Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                    That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                    Two points:

                    1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                    My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                    Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                    1. Sharing the carries

                    Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                    Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                    Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                    If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                    De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                    One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                    Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                    De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                    He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                    MN5M KruseK 2 Replies Last reply
                    6
                    • B brodean

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      70.3% TK Howden
                      69.8% Corey Kellow
                      69.6% Ardie Savea
                      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                      68.2% Anton Segner
                      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                      Dominant Carry %
                      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      45.7 Peter Lakai
                      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                      43.8 Luke Jacobson
                      43.1 TK Howden
                      39.4 Brayden Iose
                      39.4 Jahrome Brown
                      39.2 Simon Parker
                      39.1 Sean Withy
                      37.2 Cam Christie

                      Gainline %
                      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      73.5 Jahrome Brown
                      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      71.1 Samipeni Finau
                      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                      69.6 Simon Parker
                      68.8 Ardie Savea
                      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                      68.2 Anton Segner
                      66.7 Peter Lakai

                      Tackle Evasion %
                      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      26.7 Ardie Savea
                      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                      20.0 Jahrome Brown
                      19.5 Luke Jacobson
                      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                      18.3 Brayden Iose
                      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                      15.8 Oliver Haig

                      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                      These are the players who appear the most.

                      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      Dominant Carry %,
                      Gainline %,"

                      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.3% Xavier Numia
                      76.9% Ollie Norris
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Asafo Aumua
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.1% Julian Savea
                      75.3% AJ Lam
                      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                      63.6% Dallas McLeod
                      61.5% Billy Proctor
                      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                      Two points:

                      1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                      My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                      Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                      1. Sharing the carries

                      Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                      Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                      Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                      If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                      De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                      One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                      Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                      De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                      He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                      MN5M Online
                      MN5M Online
                      MN5
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #6799

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                      Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                      Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      70.3% TK Howden
                      69.8% Corey Kellow
                      69.6% Ardie Savea
                      68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                      68.2% Anton Segner
                      67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                      Dominant Carry %
                      56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      45.7 Peter Lakai
                      44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                      43.8 Luke Jacobson
                      43.1 TK Howden
                      39.4 Brayden Iose
                      39.4 Jahrome Brown
                      39.2 Simon Parker
                      39.1 Sean Withy
                      37.2 Cam Christie

                      Gainline %
                      73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      73.5 Jahrome Brown
                      72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                      71.1 Samipeni Finau
                      70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                      69.6 Simon Parker
                      68.8 Ardie Savea
                      68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                      68.2 Anton Segner
                      66.7 Peter Lakai

                      Tackle Evasion %
                      34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                      26.7 Ardie Savea
                      22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                      20.0 Jahrome Brown
                      19.5 Luke Jacobson
                      18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                      18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                      18.3 Brayden Iose
                      16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                      15.8 Oliver Haig

                      Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                      These are the players who appear the most.

                      Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                      Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                      It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                      Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      Dominant Carry %,
                      Gainline %,"

                      Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                      Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.3% Xavier Numia
                      76.9% Ollie Norris
                      76.7% Cam Christie
                      76.5% Asafo Aumua
                      76.5% Oliver Haig
                      75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                      75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                      74.6% Luke Jacobson
                      73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                      73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                      Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                      82.1% Julian Savea
                      75.3% AJ Lam
                      71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                      67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                      65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                      64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                      63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                      63.6% Dallas McLeod
                      61.5% Billy Proctor
                      59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                      FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                      I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                      Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                      That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                      Two points:

                      1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                      My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                      Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                      1. Sharing the carries

                      Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                      Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                      Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                      If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                      De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                      One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                      Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                      > De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                      He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                      De Groot is a tall brick shithouse who I imagine is an absolute beast in the weight room.

                      Why is it some guys have as much impact with ball in hand as a fly on a windscreen ?

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      1
                      • H hikastags

                        @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                        Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                        As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                        Do we have any?

                        Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                        FrankF Offline
                        FrankF Offline
                        Frank
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #6800

                        @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                        @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                        Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                        As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                        Do we have any?

                        Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                        Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                        Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                        nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                        6
                        • FrankF Frank

                          @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                          Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                          As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                          Do we have any?

                          Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                          Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                          Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                          nostrildamusN Offline
                          nostrildamusN Offline
                          nostrildamus
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #6801

                          @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                          Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                          As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                          Do we have any?

                          Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                          Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                          Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                          I was wondering about him.
                          He's about Patrick's size though, isn't he? Minus 2 kg.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • gt12G gt12

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                            Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            76.7% Cam Christie
                            76.5% Oliver Haig
                            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                            74.6% Luke Jacobson
                            70.3% TK Howden
                            69.8% Corey Kellow
                            69.6% Ardie Savea
                            68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                            68.2% Anton Segner
                            67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                            Dominant Carry %
                            56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                            45.7 Peter Lakai
                            44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                            43.8 Luke Jacobson
                            43.1 TK Howden
                            39.4 Brayden Iose
                            39.4 Jahrome Brown
                            39.2 Simon Parker
                            39.1 Sean Withy
                            37.2 Cam Christie

                            Gainline %
                            73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                            73.5 Jahrome Brown
                            72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                            71.1 Samipeni Finau
                            70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                            69.6 Simon Parker
                            68.8 Ardie Savea
                            68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                            68.2 Anton Segner
                            66.7 Peter Lakai

                            Tackle Evasion %
                            34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                            26.7 Ardie Savea
                            22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                            20.0 Jahrome Brown
                            19.5 Luke Jacobson
                            18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                            18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                            18.3 Brayden Iose
                            16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                            15.8 Oliver Haig

                            Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                            These are the players who appear the most.

                            Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                            Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                            It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            Dominant Carry %,
                            Gainline %,"

                            Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                            Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            82.3% Xavier Numia
                            76.9% Ollie Norris
                            76.7% Cam Christie
                            76.5% Asafo Aumua
                            76.5% Oliver Haig
                            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                            75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                            74.6% Luke Jacobson
                            73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                            73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                            Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                            82.1% Julian Savea
                            75.3% AJ Lam
                            71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                            67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                            65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                            64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                            63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                            63.6% Dallas McLeod
                            61.5% Billy Proctor
                            59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                            FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                            I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                            Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                            That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                            Two points:

                            1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                            My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                            Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                            1. Sharing the carries

                            Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                            boobooB Online
                            boobooB Online
                            booboo
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #6802

                            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                            two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                            Is that possible?

                            gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
                            3
                            • boobooB booboo

                              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                              two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                              Is that possible?

                              gt12G Offline
                              gt12G Offline
                              gt12
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #6803

                              @booboo said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                              two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                              Is that possible?

                              Firstly, shut up pedant.

                              Secondly, yeah, if he plays 4 games, has 8 runs over those games, and gets over the gain line 6 times.

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                              • R reprobate

                                @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

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                                pakman
                                wrote on last edited by pakman
                                #6804

                                @reprobate said in All Blacks 2025:

                                @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                                Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                                nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                                2
                                • B brodean

                                  @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                                  Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                                  Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                  76.7% Cam Christie
                                  76.5% Oliver Haig
                                  75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                  74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                  70.3% TK Howden
                                  69.8% Corey Kellow
                                  69.6% Ardie Savea
                                  68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                                  68.2% Anton Segner
                                  67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                                  Dominant Carry %
                                  56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                  45.7 Peter Lakai
                                  44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                                  43.8 Luke Jacobson
                                  43.1 TK Howden
                                  39.4 Brayden Iose
                                  39.4 Jahrome Brown
                                  39.2 Simon Parker
                                  39.1 Sean Withy
                                  37.2 Cam Christie

                                  Gainline %
                                  73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                  73.5 Jahrome Brown
                                  72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                                  71.1 Samipeni Finau
                                  70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                                  69.6 Simon Parker
                                  68.8 Ardie Savea
                                  68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                                  68.2 Anton Segner
                                  66.7 Peter Lakai

                                  Tackle Evasion %
                                  34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                                  26.7 Ardie Savea
                                  22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                                  20.0 Jahrome Brown
                                  19.5 Luke Jacobson
                                  18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                                  18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                                  18.3 Brayden Iose
                                  16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                                  15.8 Oliver Haig

                                  Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                                  These are the players who appear the most.

                                  Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                  Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                  Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                  Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                                  Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                                  It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                                  Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                  Dominant Carry %,
                                  Gainline %,"

                                  Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                                  Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                  82.3% Xavier Numia
                                  76.9% Ollie Norris
                                  76.7% Cam Christie
                                  76.5% Asafo Aumua
                                  76.5% Oliver Haig
                                  75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                                  75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                                  74.6% Luke Jacobson
                                  73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                                  73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                                  Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                                  82.1% Julian Savea
                                  75.3% AJ Lam
                                  71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                                  67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                                  65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                                  64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                                  63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                                  63.6% Dallas McLeod
                                  61.5% Billy Proctor
                                  59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                                  FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                                  I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                                  Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                                  That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                                  Two points:

                                  1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                                  My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                                  Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                                  1. Sharing the carries

                                  Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                                  Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                                  Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                  If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                                  De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                                  One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                                  Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                                  De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                                  He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

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                                  Kruse
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #6805

                                  @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                  Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                  Great carry Scooter!
                                  You're the man Ardie!

                                  BonesB 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • KruseK Kruse

                                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                    Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                    Great carry Scooter!
                                    You're the man Ardie!

                                    BonesB Online
                                    BonesB Online
                                    Bones
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #6806

                                    @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                    Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                    Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                    Great carry Scooter!
                                    You're the man Ardie!

                                    Great haircut Beauden.
                                    Thanks Jordie.

                                    taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
                                    4
                                    • BonesB Bones

                                      @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                      Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                      Great carry Scooter!
                                      You're the man Ardie!

                                      Great haircut Beauden.
                                      Thanks Jordie.

                                      taniwharugbyT Offline
                                      taniwharugbyT Offline
                                      taniwharugby
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #6807

                                      @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                      Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                      Great carry Scooter!
                                      You're the man Ardie!

                                      Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                      Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

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                                      4
                                      • P Offline
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                                        pakman
                                        wrote on last edited by pakman
                                        #6808

                                        I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                        Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                        voodooV nonpartizanN 2 Replies Last reply
                                        4
                                        • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

                                          @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                          Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                          Great carry Scooter!
                                          You're the man Ardie!

                                          Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                          Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

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                                          pakman
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #6809

                                          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                          Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                          Great carry Scooter!
                                          You're the man Ardie!

                                          Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                          Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

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