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All Blacks 2025

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  • B brodean

    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

    Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

    Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    70.3% TK Howden
    69.8% Corey Kellow
    69.6% Ardie Savea
    68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
    68.2% Anton Segner
    67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

    Dominant Carry %
    56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    45.7 Peter Lakai
    44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
    43.8 Luke Jacobson
    43.1 TK Howden
    39.4 Brayden Iose
    39.4 Jahrome Brown
    39.2 Simon Parker
    39.1 Sean Withy
    37.2 Cam Christie

    Gainline %
    73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    73.5 Jahrome Brown
    72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    71.1 Samipeni Finau
    70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
    69.6 Simon Parker
    68.8 Ardie Savea
    68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
    68.2 Anton Segner
    66.7 Peter Lakai

    Tackle Evasion %
    34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    26.7 Ardie Savea
    22.8 Dalton Papali'i
    20.0 Jahrome Brown
    19.5 Luke Jacobson
    18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
    18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
    18.3 Brayden Iose
    16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
    15.8 Oliver Haig

    Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

    These are the players who appear the most.

    Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

    It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    Dominant Carry %,
    Gainline %,"

    Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

    Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.3% Xavier Numia
    76.9% Ollie Norris
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Asafo Aumua
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    75.0% Pasilio Tosi
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
    73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

    Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.1% Julian Savea
    75.3% AJ Lam
    71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
    67.0% Quinn Tupaea
    65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
    64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
    63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
    63.6% Dallas McLeod
    61.5% Billy Proctor
    59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

    FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

    I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
    Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

    That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

    gt12G Offline
    gt12G Offline
    gt12
    wrote on last edited by
    #6794

    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

    Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

    Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    70.3% TK Howden
    69.8% Corey Kellow
    69.6% Ardie Savea
    68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
    68.2% Anton Segner
    67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

    Dominant Carry %
    56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    45.7 Peter Lakai
    44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
    43.8 Luke Jacobson
    43.1 TK Howden
    39.4 Brayden Iose
    39.4 Jahrome Brown
    39.2 Simon Parker
    39.1 Sean Withy
    37.2 Cam Christie

    Gainline %
    73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    73.5 Jahrome Brown
    72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
    71.1 Samipeni Finau
    70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
    69.6 Simon Parker
    68.8 Ardie Savea
    68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
    68.2 Anton Segner
    66.7 Peter Lakai

    Tackle Evasion %
    34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
    26.7 Ardie Savea
    22.8 Dalton Papali'i
    20.0 Jahrome Brown
    19.5 Luke Jacobson
    18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
    18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
    18.3 Brayden Iose
    16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
    15.8 Oliver Haig

    Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

    These are the players who appear the most.

    Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
    Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

    It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    Dominant Carry %,
    Gainline %,"

    Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

    Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.3% Xavier Numia
    76.9% Ollie Norris
    76.7% Cam Christie
    76.5% Asafo Aumua
    76.5% Oliver Haig
    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
    75.0% Pasilio Tosi
    74.6% Luke Jacobson
    73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
    73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

    Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
    82.1% Julian Savea
    75.3% AJ Lam
    71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
    67.0% Quinn Tupaea
    65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
    64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
    63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
    63.6% Dallas McLeod
    61.5% Billy Proctor
    59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

    FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

    I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
    Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

    That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

    Two points:

    1. Issue with reversion to the mean

    My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

    Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

    1. Sharing the carries

    Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

    B boobooB 2 Replies Last reply
    0
    • FrankF Frank

      Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
      As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
      Do we have any?

      H Offline
      H Offline
      hikastags
      wrote on last edited by
      #6795

      @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

      Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
      As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
      Do we have any?

      Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

      FrankF 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • B brodean

        @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

        @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

        @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

        @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

        Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

        Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

        Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

        He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

        nostrildamusN Offline
        nostrildamusN Offline
        nostrildamus
        wrote on last edited by
        #6796

        @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

        @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

        @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

        @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

        @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

        Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

        Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

        Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

        He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

        Thanks for the update.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • B brodean

          @ShaquilleOatmeal said in All Blacks 2025:

          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

          @nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2025:

          @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

          @No-Quarter not sure you can throw much at Razor, Ryan yes, but not Razor.

          Ryan became part of Fozzies team who had not really utilised him either, so that stems back beyond Razor.

          Oh yeah it's mostly Ryan, but Razor is head coach so can tell Ryan to make it work, like Henry did to Hansen when he didn't like a players "attitude". Also, I've heard a lot of comments that Razor is in charge or at least has a lot of say on the loosies, which is probably why we have so many ineffective vanilla players that resemble him in his playing days.

          Yes I'm pretty certain I have read somewhere Razor said he was responsible for selecting the loosies.

          He definitely did at the start of last year but then Ryan said he had ultimate say over the forwards in a podcast after last years first naming. Haven't heard anything since.

          “Ultimate say”? That is absolutely crazy. That’s adding to my theory that Robertson is a motivator and leaves the coaching to others.

          Correct.

          With regards to Ryan's selections these are my thoughts ( assume he had main say when he was with Foster too ). These are the players that debuted with him as forwards coach.

          Prop
          Tamaiti Williams
          Pasilio Tosi
          Ollie Norris

          Good selections for props.

          Lock
          Sam Darry
          Fabian Holland

          Good selections for locks.

          Loose Forwards
          Christian Lio-Willie
          Du'plessis Kirifi
          Peter Lakai
          Samipeni Finau
          Wallace Sititi

          Picking Lio-Willie and Kirifi over the likes of Papali'i, Sotutu and even Blackadder was a mistake imo. There is just too many small guys in our loose forwards mix. We have the smallest loose forwards mix in the Rugby Championship and the days of outfitting teams are over.
          .
          Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

          Picking Blackadder/Jacobson last year over Sotutu/Ioane.

          Including Vaa'i - picking 5 Chiefs loose forwards this year when they fail every year in SRP finals. They fail to hold their line and they fail to get over the line against the muscled up finals defences. It's the same for Cane's loosies. They do not deliver come finals time when things are on the line. Yet our loose forwards are made up entirely of Chiefs, Canes, and one from the MP bottom dwellers.

          The fact that we currently have zero Blue's and Crusaders loose forwards despite their finals results over the last 5 years in the squad is crazy.

          Ryan has squandered our loose forward strength.

          Hooker
          George Bell
          Brodie Mcalister

          Bell played ok for the AB's but ultimately Ryan picked two guys who were poor lineout throwers compared to Ricky Riccitelli. Riccitelli should have been selected last year and this was a big mistake by Ryan because now he's signed overseas. I don't see the upside of Mcalister. Yes he's strong but he's as slow as a prop and he can't throw to save his life.

          nostrildamusN Offline
          nostrildamusN Offline
          nostrildamus
          wrote on last edited by
          #6797

          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

          Picking Jacobson this year when he hasn't even been fit.

          It might be even worse than that. Bringing Wallace back too early, playing Scooter who may have been nursing a longterm injury, playing a quickly injured Blackadder in 2024, a distant love affair with Shannon, Ryan's weak point seems to me to be loose forward selection.

          1 Reply Last reply
          3
          • gt12G gt12

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

            Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            70.3% TK Howden
            69.8% Corey Kellow
            69.6% Ardie Savea
            68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
            68.2% Anton Segner
            67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

            Dominant Carry %
            56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            45.7 Peter Lakai
            44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
            43.8 Luke Jacobson
            43.1 TK Howden
            39.4 Brayden Iose
            39.4 Jahrome Brown
            39.2 Simon Parker
            39.1 Sean Withy
            37.2 Cam Christie

            Gainline %
            73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            73.5 Jahrome Brown
            72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            71.1 Samipeni Finau
            70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
            69.6 Simon Parker
            68.8 Ardie Savea
            68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
            68.2 Anton Segner
            66.7 Peter Lakai

            Tackle Evasion %
            34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            26.7 Ardie Savea
            22.8 Dalton Papali'i
            20.0 Jahrome Brown
            19.5 Luke Jacobson
            18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
            18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
            18.3 Brayden Iose
            16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
            15.8 Oliver Haig

            Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

            These are the players who appear the most.

            Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

            It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            Dominant Carry %,
            Gainline %,"

            Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

            Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.3% Xavier Numia
            76.9% Ollie Norris
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Asafo Aumua
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            75.0% Pasilio Tosi
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
            73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

            Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.1% Julian Savea
            75.3% AJ Lam
            71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
            67.0% Quinn Tupaea
            65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
            64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
            63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
            63.6% Dallas McLeod
            61.5% Billy Proctor
            59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

            FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

            I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
            Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

            That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

            Two points:

            1. Issue with reversion to the mean

            My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

            Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

            1. Sharing the carries

            Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

            B Offline
            B Offline
            brodean
            wrote on last edited by brodean
            #6798

            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

            Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

            Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            70.3% TK Howden
            69.8% Corey Kellow
            69.6% Ardie Savea
            68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
            68.2% Anton Segner
            67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

            Dominant Carry %
            56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            45.7 Peter Lakai
            44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
            43.8 Luke Jacobson
            43.1 TK Howden
            39.4 Brayden Iose
            39.4 Jahrome Brown
            39.2 Simon Parker
            39.1 Sean Withy
            37.2 Cam Christie

            Gainline %
            73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            73.5 Jahrome Brown
            72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
            71.1 Samipeni Finau
            70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
            69.6 Simon Parker
            68.8 Ardie Savea
            68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
            68.2 Anton Segner
            66.7 Peter Lakai

            Tackle Evasion %
            34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
            26.7 Ardie Savea
            22.8 Dalton Papali'i
            20.0 Jahrome Brown
            19.5 Luke Jacobson
            18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
            18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
            18.3 Brayden Iose
            16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
            15.8 Oliver Haig

            Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

            These are the players who appear the most.

            Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
            Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

            It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

            Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            Dominant Carry %,
            Gainline %,"

            Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

            Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.3% Xavier Numia
            76.9% Ollie Norris
            76.7% Cam Christie
            76.5% Asafo Aumua
            76.5% Oliver Haig
            75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
            75.0% Pasilio Tosi
            74.6% Luke Jacobson
            73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
            73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

            Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
            82.1% Julian Savea
            75.3% AJ Lam
            71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
            67.0% Quinn Tupaea
            65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
            64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
            63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
            63.6% Dallas McLeod
            61.5% Billy Proctor
            59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

            FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

            I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
            Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

            That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

            Two points:

            1. Issue with reversion to the mean

            My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

            Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

            1. Sharing the carries

            Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

            Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

            Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

            If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

            De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

            One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

            Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

            De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

            He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

            MN5M KruseK 2 Replies Last reply
            6
            • B brodean

              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

              Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              70.3% TK Howden
              69.8% Corey Kellow
              69.6% Ardie Savea
              68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
              68.2% Anton Segner
              67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

              Dominant Carry %
              56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              45.7 Peter Lakai
              44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
              43.8 Luke Jacobson
              43.1 TK Howden
              39.4 Brayden Iose
              39.4 Jahrome Brown
              39.2 Simon Parker
              39.1 Sean Withy
              37.2 Cam Christie

              Gainline %
              73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              73.5 Jahrome Brown
              72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              71.1 Samipeni Finau
              70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
              69.6 Simon Parker
              68.8 Ardie Savea
              68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
              68.2 Anton Segner
              66.7 Peter Lakai

              Tackle Evasion %
              34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              26.7 Ardie Savea
              22.8 Dalton Papali'i
              20.0 Jahrome Brown
              19.5 Luke Jacobson
              18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
              18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
              18.3 Brayden Iose
              16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
              15.8 Oliver Haig

              Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

              These are the players who appear the most.

              Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

              It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              Dominant Carry %,
              Gainline %,"

              Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

              Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.3% Xavier Numia
              76.9% Ollie Norris
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Asafo Aumua
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              75.0% Pasilio Tosi
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
              73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

              Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.1% Julian Savea
              75.3% AJ Lam
              71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
              67.0% Quinn Tupaea
              65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
              64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
              63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
              63.6% Dallas McLeod
              61.5% Billy Proctor
              59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

              FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

              I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
              Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

              That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

              Two points:

              1. Issue with reversion to the mean

              My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

              Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

              1. Sharing the carries

              Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

              Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

              If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

              De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

              One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

              Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

              De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

              He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

              MN5M Online
              MN5M Online
              MN5
              wrote on last edited by
              #6799

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

              Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

              Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              70.3% TK Howden
              69.8% Corey Kellow
              69.6% Ardie Savea
              68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
              68.2% Anton Segner
              67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

              Dominant Carry %
              56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              45.7 Peter Lakai
              44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
              43.8 Luke Jacobson
              43.1 TK Howden
              39.4 Brayden Iose
              39.4 Jahrome Brown
              39.2 Simon Parker
              39.1 Sean Withy
              37.2 Cam Christie

              Gainline %
              73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              73.5 Jahrome Brown
              72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
              71.1 Samipeni Finau
              70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
              69.6 Simon Parker
              68.8 Ardie Savea
              68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
              68.2 Anton Segner
              66.7 Peter Lakai

              Tackle Evasion %
              34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
              26.7 Ardie Savea
              22.8 Dalton Papali'i
              20.0 Jahrome Brown
              19.5 Luke Jacobson
              18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
              18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
              18.3 Brayden Iose
              16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
              15.8 Oliver Haig

              Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

              These are the players who appear the most.

              Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
              Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

              It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

              Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              Dominant Carry %,
              Gainline %,"

              Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

              Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.3% Xavier Numia
              76.9% Ollie Norris
              76.7% Cam Christie
              76.5% Asafo Aumua
              76.5% Oliver Haig
              75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
              75.0% Pasilio Tosi
              74.6% Luke Jacobson
              73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
              73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

              Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
              82.1% Julian Savea
              75.3% AJ Lam
              71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
              67.0% Quinn Tupaea
              65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
              64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
              63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
              63.6% Dallas McLeod
              61.5% Billy Proctor
              59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

              FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

              I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
              Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

              That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

              Two points:

              1. Issue with reversion to the mean

              My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

              Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

              1. Sharing the carries

              Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

              Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

              If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

              De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

              One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

              Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

              > De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

              He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

              De Groot is a tall brick shithouse who I imagine is an absolute beast in the weight room.

              Why is it some guys have as much impact with ball in hand as a fly on a windscreen ?

              1 Reply Last reply
              1
              • H hikastags

                @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                Do we have any?

                Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                FrankF Offline
                FrankF Offline
                Frank
                wrote on last edited by
                #6800

                @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                Do we have any?

                Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                6
                • FrankF Frank

                  @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                  Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                  As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                  Do we have any?

                  Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                  Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                  Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                  nostrildamusN Offline
                  nostrildamusN Offline
                  nostrildamus
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #6801

                  @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @hikastags said in All Blacks 2025:

                  @Frank said in All Blacks 2025:

                  Who are the hardest running loose forwards in NZ?
                  As in full steam ahead in a straight line, no jinking.
                  Do we have any?

                  Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa, Brayden Iose, Dom Gardiner, Cam Christie come to mind.

                  Josh Beehre is pretty straight ahead.
                  Slightly undersized high workrate locks like him should look at playing 6 at international level.

                  I was wondering about him.
                  He's about Patrick's size though, isn't he? Minus 2 kg.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • gt12G gt12

                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                    @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                    Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                    Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    76.7% Cam Christie
                    76.5% Oliver Haig
                    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                    74.6% Luke Jacobson
                    70.3% TK Howden
                    69.8% Corey Kellow
                    69.6% Ardie Savea
                    68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                    68.2% Anton Segner
                    67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                    Dominant Carry %
                    56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                    45.7 Peter Lakai
                    44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                    43.8 Luke Jacobson
                    43.1 TK Howden
                    39.4 Brayden Iose
                    39.4 Jahrome Brown
                    39.2 Simon Parker
                    39.1 Sean Withy
                    37.2 Cam Christie

                    Gainline %
                    73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                    73.5 Jahrome Brown
                    72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                    71.1 Samipeni Finau
                    70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                    69.6 Simon Parker
                    68.8 Ardie Savea
                    68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                    68.2 Anton Segner
                    66.7 Peter Lakai

                    Tackle Evasion %
                    34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                    26.7 Ardie Savea
                    22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                    20.0 Jahrome Brown
                    19.5 Luke Jacobson
                    18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                    18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                    18.3 Brayden Iose
                    16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                    15.8 Oliver Haig

                    Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                    These are the players who appear the most.

                    Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                    Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                    It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                    Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    Dominant Carry %,
                    Gainline %,"

                    Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                    Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    82.3% Xavier Numia
                    76.9% Ollie Norris
                    76.7% Cam Christie
                    76.5% Asafo Aumua
                    76.5% Oliver Haig
                    75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                    75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                    74.6% Luke Jacobson
                    73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                    73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                    Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                    82.1% Julian Savea
                    75.3% AJ Lam
                    71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                    67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                    65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                    64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                    63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                    63.6% Dallas McLeod
                    61.5% Billy Proctor
                    59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                    FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                    I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                    Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                    That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                    Two points:

                    1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                    My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                    Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                    1. Sharing the carries

                    Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                    boobooB Online
                    boobooB Online
                    booboo
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #6802

                    @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                    two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                    Is that possible?

                    gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
                    3
                    • boobooB booboo

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                      Is that possible?

                      gt12G Offline
                      gt12G Offline
                      gt12
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #6803

                      @booboo said in All Blacks 2025:

                      @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                      two runs a game for 75% gainline,

                      Is that possible?

                      Firstly, shut up pedant.

                      Secondly, yeah, if he plays 4 games, has 8 runs over those games, and gets over the gain line 6 times.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      5
                      • R reprobate

                        @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                        P Offline
                        P Offline
                        pakman
                        wrote on last edited by pakman
                        #6804

                        @reprobate said in All Blacks 2025:

                        @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                        Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                        nostrildamusN 1 Reply Last reply
                        2
                        • B brodean

                          @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @gt12 said in All Blacks 2025:

                          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                          Tuipulotu basically smashes the line fairly consistently when he's on and it works for us. He's very underrated imo and should be starting with Holland.

                          Here are the loose forward stats from Super Rugby:

                          Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                          76.7% Cam Christie
                          76.5% Oliver Haig
                          75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                          74.6% Luke Jacobson
                          70.3% TK Howden
                          69.8% Corey Kellow
                          69.6% Ardie Savea
                          68.9% Hoskins Sotutu
                          68.2% Anton Segner
                          67.9% Du'Plessis Kirifi

                          Dominant Carry %
                          56.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                          45.7 Peter Lakai
                          44.2 Veveni Lasaqa
                          43.8 Luke Jacobson
                          43.1 TK Howden
                          39.4 Brayden Iose
                          39.4 Jahrome Brown
                          39.2 Simon Parker
                          39.1 Sean Withy
                          37.2 Cam Christie

                          Gainline %
                          73.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                          73.5 Jahrome Brown
                          72.1 Vaiolini Ekuasi
                          71.1 Samipeni Finau
                          70.8 Hoskins Sotutu
                          69.6 Simon Parker
                          68.8 Ardie Savea
                          68.3 Christian Lio-Willie
                          68.2 Anton Segner
                          66.7 Peter Lakai

                          Tackle Evasion %
                          34.6 Veveni Lasaqa
                          26.7 Ardie Savea
                          22.8 Dalton Papali'i
                          20.0 Jahrome Brown
                          19.5 Luke Jacobson
                          18.9 Christian Lio-Willie
                          18.4 Du'Plessis Kirifi
                          18.3 Brayden Iose
                          16.7 Hoskins Sotutu
                          15.8 Oliver Haig

                          Sititi isn't in the top 10 for any of these stats. I realise he didn't play much and was coming back from injury but I will point at these metrics are percentage based.

                          These are the players who appear the most.

                          Luke Jacobson: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Dominant Carry %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                          Ardie Savea: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                          Jahrome Brown: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                          Veveni Lasaqa: (in "Dominant Carry %," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").
                          Hoskins Sotutu: (in "Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers," "Gainline %," and "Tackle Evasion %").

                          It would be good if there was a loose forward who appeared in top 10 for the following 3 but there isn't:

                          Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                          Dominant Carry %,
                          Gainline %,"

                          Patrick Tuipulotu appears in top 10 for all 3 for locks.

                          Forwards Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                          82.3% Xavier Numia
                          76.9% Ollie Norris
                          76.7% Cam Christie
                          76.5% Asafo Aumua
                          76.5% Oliver Haig
                          75.1% Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa
                          75.0% Pasilio Tosi
                          74.6% Luke Jacobson
                          73.6% Patrick Tuipulotu
                          73.3% Tevita Mafile'o

                          Backs Carries Committing 2+ Tacklers
                          82.1% Julian Savea
                          75.3% AJ Lam
                          71.6% Timoci Tavatavanawai
                          67.0% Quinn Tupaea
                          65.0% Leicester Fainga'anuku ( France )
                          64.0% Anton Lienert-Brown
                          63.6% Peter Umaga-Jensen
                          63.6% Dallas McLeod
                          61.5% Billy Proctor
                          59.7% Thomas Umaga-Jensen

                          FYI Lasaqa hits bugger all rucks and makes bugger all tackles.

                          I appreciate the stats and the percentages do make comparisons easier, but would you happen to have the carries per 80 mins as well?
                          Sorry if I missed it and you had a stipulation, but a guy who commits 2 tacklers 75% of the time, but only runs twice a game isn't that useful in comparison to guy who commits 2 tacklers 60% of the time, but runs 12 times a game.

                          That's a valid question worth exploring but I would suggest that if we select several players in the onfield 15 who commit 2 tacklers to a high percentage then you can share the carries across those players which keeps the opposition guessing as to who is going to be the guy that bends the line.

                          Two points:

                          1. Issue with reversion to the mean

                          My reason for asking is that if a guy only has two runs a game for 75% gainline, versus another with 12 for 65%, we should likely expect that the first guy will go down to 65% (or worse) as his number of runs increases.

                          Equally, there could be guys with 50% gainline on two runs who could rise to 75% if they had 12 runs.

                          1. Sharing the carries

                          Given that teams play to specific patterns, you'll need certain players with different skillsets, so while I agree that - all other things being constant - running threats across the park are important, in reality we'll have some guys who do a lot of the heavy lifting in that area. Three really effective ball runners across a forward pack may be much better than 8 average ball runners, assuming there is an attack strategy built to put them in the right places.

                          Look I pretty much agree with you on both points and certainly I'm not suggesting we have 8 average ball runners.

                          Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                          If you have a tight five like the following none of these players are effective close quarter runners that commit tacklers. Taylor is good out wide.

                          De Groot, Taylor, Lomax/Newell, Barrett, Vaa'i

                          One or two guys like Norris, Tosi, Tuipulotu, and Taukei'aho should be in the starting line up and then the bench guys should have a mix of some ball runners and the ruck guys.

                          Guys like De Groot should not be carrying basically. He should be hitting rucks and making tackles outside of his set piece duties and mauling - like Owen Franks.

                          De Groot has made 26 carries this year for 11 metres or 40cm per carry. Out of the 21 forwards who have featured this year De Groot has made the 6th most forward carries and the 6th most passes.

                          He just appears in the attack pattern far to often.

                          KruseK Offline
                          KruseK Offline
                          Kruse
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #6805

                          @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                          Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                          Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                          Great carry Scooter!
                          You're the man Ardie!

                          BonesB 1 Reply Last reply
                          8
                          • KruseK Kruse

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                            Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                            Great carry Scooter!
                            You're the man Ardie!

                            BonesB Offline
                            BonesB Offline
                            Bones
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #6806

                            @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                            @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                            Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                            Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                            Great carry Scooter!
                            You're the man Ardie!

                            Great haircut Beauden.
                            Thanks Jordie.

                            taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
                            4
                            • BonesB Bones

                              @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                              Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                              Great carry Scooter!
                              You're the man Ardie!

                              Great haircut Beauden.
                              Thanks Jordie.

                              taniwharugbyT Offline
                              taniwharugbyT Offline
                              taniwharugby
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #6807

                              @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                              @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                              Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                              Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                              Great carry Scooter!
                              You're the man Ardie!

                              Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                              Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

                              P 1 Reply Last reply
                              4
                              • P Offline
                                P Offline
                                pakman
                                wrote on last edited by pakman
                                #6808

                                I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                voodooV nonpartizanN 2 Replies Last reply
                                4
                                • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

                                  @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                  Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                  Great carry Scooter!
                                  You're the man Ardie!

                                  Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                  Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

                                  P Offline
                                  P Offline
                                  pakman
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #6809

                                  @taniwharugby said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @Bones said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @Kruse said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  @brodean said in All Blacks 2025:

                                  Personally I think we should have some players that compliment each other.

                                  Oh Codie, that was such a great throw-in.
                                  Great carry Scooter!
                                  You're the man Ardie!

                                  Great haircut Beauden Razor.
                                  Thanks Jordie Beaudie.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  2
                                  • B Offline
                                    B Offline
                                    brodean
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #6810

                                    The loose forwards should also complement each other in addition to the compliments.

                                    The compliments shouldn't extend to backs.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    1
                                    • P pakman

                                      I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                      Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                      voodooV Offline
                                      voodooV Offline
                                      voodoo
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #6811

                                      @pakman said in All Blacks 2025:

                                      I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                      Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                      it was the same when Rieko started, not sure people are only now seeing it

                                      ACT CrusaderA 1 Reply Last reply
                                      5
                                      • P pakman

                                        @reprobate said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        @nostrildamus Parker prior to this year I remember copping a bit of shit for not going hard enough into contact - big frame, bit soft. I don't think he's soft myself at all, and think he was pretty good in Super rugby, but I'm not sure he's got the explosiveness/pace to sit guys on their arse with ball in hand at test level.

                                        Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                                        nostrildamusN Offline
                                        nostrildamusN Offline
                                        nostrildamus
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #6812

                                        @pakman said in All Blacks 2025:

                                        Eddie Jones was rhapsodising over Parker’s clean outs in first half of Bled 1. The recipients certainly stayed cleaned!

                                        Well Eddie should know, he certainly delivered devastating cleanouts at/of the Wallabies.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        1
                                        • P pakman

                                          I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                          Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                          nonpartizanN Offline
                                          nonpartizanN Offline
                                          nonpartizan
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #6813

                                          @pakman said in All Blacks 2025:

                                          I’ve noticed that 85% of AB backline moves involve NOT passing to Proctor. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that on that basis he’s never going to be an attacking threat.
                                          Hell, in that case they might as well reinstate Rieko and benefit from his superior defence!

                                          For real.

                                          When you rewatch tests it's one of the first things you notice - I swear players actively avoid passing to him even if he is the best option. In Wellington v the Boks Jordan I think it was had the ball and he had Proctor outside him and then Carter outside him. He skipped Proctor (which was the easiest and correct pass) and instead passed it to Carter's ankles for a knock on.

                                          voodooV 1 Reply Last reply
                                          1
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